Jaguar Playoff Berth: Ideal Scenario 2 and the Wednesday Injury Report
by silencecs on Oct 2, 2008 2:50 AM EDT
in News
11 comments
Our first installment of "Ideal Scenario" games didn't go as we'd have liked, so we'll hope for better luck this week.
WRAP-UP OF LAST WEEK'S KEY AFC MATCH-UPS
1. Chiefs slaughtered the Broncos... Not Ideal
2. Jets demoralized Cardinals... Not Ideal
3. Titans won...NEVER IDEAL
4. Chargers beat Oakland after the Raiders completed their textbook 4th quarter meltdown. Not Ideal
5. Buffalo Won... IDEAL!!! That was the single bright spot of this week's scenario because we need them to win their division so we are not in competition with them for a wild-card birth as they own the tie-breaker against us.
6. Baltimore Lost to the Steelers... Not Ideal, but Pittsburgh is in disarray after that win. They are battered and their O-line just lost the equivalent of our Vince Manuwai in Kendall Simmons. He was their right guard and was stout against the pass rush and could over power all but the best. They are hurting badly.
Cleveland beat Cincy... A tree just fell in the forest, but no one was around...
THIS WEEK'S KEY AFC MATCH-UPS
Titans at Ravens : We want a Titan loss, as if that wasn't obvious already.
Chiefs at Panthers : In AFC vs NFC match-ups, always root for the NFC unless it's a team we want to win their division.
Colts at Texans : Put a stake in 'em Houston, the dynasty that never was, is no more... ponder that
Chargers at Dolphins : We want a San-Diego loss. They need to fall behind before they get healthy, they could be a direct competitor for a wild-card spot, unless they overtake the Broncos; a possibility if the Broncos lose this week and lose to us the following week.
Bills at Cardinals : The Bills at 5-0?!? That would be best because we don't want to compete for a wild-card with them without the tiebreaker.
Bucs at Broncos : If the Broncos lose this week and we beat them then that's ok because we'll own the tie breaker against them in a bid for a wild-card spot. If they lose this week and then beat us, that's really bad; we'd lose the tie-breaker and most likely be in direct competition with them for a wild-card spot. If they win and San Diego loses, that's IDEAL for our playoff scenario.
Patriots at 49ers : Root for the NFC, we want Beel Beelichick's team to fall far, far behind.
WEDNESDAY INJURY UPDATE:
Below is the Wednesday injury report, don't be too frightened... Unless you're a Steeler fan, in which case you should be afraid... be very afraid.
A slug-fest on Monday night that one could only describe as grueling, took place between Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Two Pittsburgh players are done for the year now, their 1st round pick Mendenhall, and their stalwart RG Kendall Simmons. Simmons is a bigger loss; he is too good to be replaced, thus a drop-off in run and pass blocking is inevitable for the Steeler offensive line. Hopefully we'll blitz a little less.
Defensively, Pittsburgh is without their star nose tackle, Casey Hampton. One of their starting defensive ends, Keisel, is also out of the game due to an injured calf. These two men are fixtures against the run and without them, the Steelers will likely HAVE to commit 8 or 9 to stopping the run. That means Troy Polamalu (related to Jaguars RB coach Kennedy Pola) will be on the line of scrimmage, and not back intercepting passes!
Harvey and Groves will have to show us something this week. Hayward should likely play, but if he's hampered, he'll likely see limited action. Hopefully we'll see Justin Durant make his triumphant return, along with Reggie Nelson. I haven't heard about Florence's injury, if anyone knows anything... let us know.
-Collin
 VS  |
||||
| Name | Position | Injury | Practice Status | Game Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | ||||
| Patrick Bailey | LB | Hamstring | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Carey Davis | RB | Ankle | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Nick Eason | DE | Groin | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Keyaron Fox | LB | Back | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Andre Frazier | LB | Concussion | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| James Harrison | LB | Quadricep | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Troy Polamalu | S | Quadricep | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Ben Roethlisberger | QB | Right Shoulder | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Marvel Smith | T | Not Injury Related | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Hines Ward | WR | Not Injury Related | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Santonio Holmes | WR | Neck | Limited Participation in Practice | -- |
| Casey Hampton | DT | Groin | Out (Definitely Will Not Play) | -- |
| Brett Keisel | DE | Calf | Out (Definitely Will Not Play) | -- |
| Willie Parker | RB | Knee | Out (Definitely Will Not Play) | -- |
| JAX | ||||
| Drayton Florence | CB | Groin | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Reggie Nelson | S | Knee | Did Not Participate In Practice | -- |
| Justin Durant | LB | Groin | Full Participation in Practice | -- |
| Tony McDaniel | DT | Biceps | Full Participation in Practice | -- |
| Reggie Hayward | DE | Hamstring | Limited Participation in Practice | -- |
| Rashean Mathis | CB | Shin | Limited Participation in Practice | -- |
| Brad Meester | C | Biceps | Limited Participation in Practice | -- |
| Chris Naeole | G | Knee | Limited Participation in Practice |
-- |
0 recs |
11 comments
Email
Print
Comments
Jags vs Pitt
Tough to call this one. I like us at home and we have definately had Pitts number. Pitt is also banged up. Last week, our offense woke up to the fact that they will have to pass — and as a result – they actually put some points on the board. It remains to be seen if they can develop consistency in the passing game. If they can – that’s great news.
Our D — here’s where I have an issue about this game. We now see that we have a mediocre D that gives up points in critical situations and can’t get off the field. The fact that Pitt has lost it’s running backs is almost a non issue. Pitt has had issues with pass protection this season. Our D has NO pass rush.
This match up comes down to the “moveable object” vs the “resistable force” – it’s weakness vs weakness. If Pitt can pass protect and Big Ben get’s hot – that spells trouble.
However, I have to pick the Jags in this one – home field, recent dominance over Pitt, Pitt injuries (including Big Ben) are just too much to ignore. Jags in a squeaker (until O proves consistency at scoring).
As for the division – now that the Titans have their best QB playing – I think they’ll run away and hide this year. I agree that Indy is definately on the decline – but they’re still dangerous.
by OGN on Oct 2, 2008 7:14 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Steelers' take
Read my comment about the injuries in the Steelers post, but the biggest thing I want to point out is that you’re miscasting Simmons. Don’t let his draft status or contract extension fool you into thinking he’s the anchor of the line. Our line is terrible, and he was either the 4th or 5th best guy on it. He hasn’t been a bust, but he was diagnosed with diabetes and had a major knee injury that have untracked his career. They only reason we signed him is because it was a given at that point that Faneca was leaving. Losing him is a loss (mainly of depth), but the dropoff to the backups isn’t a big one. Once again, that’s not because our backups are great, but because he’s not much better than a backup.
As far as the running game goes, yes we’ll miss Hampton, but with the same DL we limited a Baltimore running game that up to that point had been running the ball well. In this game, it looks like a fight between capable backups, which should make it interesting. You guys have a serious advantage in the “holding James Harrison and not getting called for it” department, though; I’ll set the O/U for missed holding calls against him at 7 ;)
charity standing orders
by BadMaafala on Oct 2, 2008 12:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I've really only heard positive things about Simmons. It's nice to get a Steeler fan's perspective, and I didn't know he was diabetic, nice tidbit.
Thanks for stopping by and Good Luck Sunday!
-Collin
by silencecs on Oct 2, 2008 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If anyone is interested, Nick Eason, our backup DE that was getting PT is not likely to play on Sunday. He was probably our top backup DE, so with all the other problems, this really puts us in a place where we don’t have a quality rotation. We’ll sign a PS guy, probably.
charity standing orders
by BadMaafala on Oct 2, 2008 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know it’s horribly, horribly pedantic, but the word should probably be “berth.” This is a great recurring feature, otherwise I wouldn’t have been so tempted to be Mr. Know-it-all.
by Cowtown on Oct 2, 2008 5:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I checked and you were right on brother!
Thanks for terhe heads-up, it wasn’t a typo on my part, I just didn’t know better, so thanks for the info. I won’t make that mistake again.
Glad you are enjoying the new feature; this is a big week for the standings. Indy vs. Houston, Tenn Vs. Baltimore, and Broncos Vs Bucs. Those three match-ups will go a long way toward clearing things up.
The term berth is used to describe a bed on a boat or train, or a location in a port or harbour used specifically for mooring vessels while not at sea (or as a verb to describe bringing a vessel alongside – to berth), or for describing playoff positions for teams with no initial competition in sports.
-Collin
by silencecs on Oct 2, 2008 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
WOW
That’s all I can say about the Steelers’ injury report. If the Jaguars don’t beat them by a decent margin, then there is a problem.
by jagsfanbrunell on Oct 3, 2008 10:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The injuries are decieving
that’s all I gotta say. Their only true weakness is at LT. Their D line isn’t what it used to be, but it is servicable.
by Ewdtrey on Oct 3, 2008 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We are missing
some critical players ourselves. Reggie Nelson and Drayton Florence. Nelson is a playmaker, and Florence is a lot better than any of the guys we picked up off the street. Watch for Moore to take advantage of Will James. I have to believe that Williams will be the NB because of his experience and that would make Will James as a starting CB. That doesn’t bode well against either Santonio Holmes or Hines Ward. Also Mathis is playing banged up. They may try to run on his side a lot (usually offensive right lately) especially considering he wasn’t the best tackler anyhow. I also noticed Pitt doesn’t like running to their left. Probably to avoid having to rely on Smith(LT).
by Ewdtrey on Oct 3, 2008 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly right Ewdtrey...
Our Secondary is hurt and that is bad news against a team that has to throw to move the ball. Sensabaugh and Williams must step up big time for this game! Getting Durant back would even help some in pass coverage.
-Collin
by silencecs on Oct 3, 2008 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Personally,...
I think that the key to victory for the Jaguars is to keep the Steelers offense off the field via the running game. ( You know, Jack, that thing we used to beat Indianapolis) No offense, no TD passes. Easy math.
To be master of oneself and never waiver in ones resolve.
- Maximus Desimus Meridius
by jagsrock on Oct 3, 2008 9:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Certain photos copyright © 2009 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
