Why is everyone so quick to write off the Jaguars?

I was watching an episode of NFL Live where the guys were talking about the Jags. Mr. Faulk decided to say we are not in a position to pass the Colts in the AFC because, the Colts are not showing any signs of " slowing down". Okay, no first round draft pick in this years draft is a sign. They do not have the talent on the defensive side of the ball to not draft in the first round. Am I alone in this line of thought?