Looking Back At My Schedule Predictions: Half Way Through the Season

Last off-season, I put together a post An Average Joe's Schedule Predictions. Looking back at the mid-season point, with the Jags sitting at 8-8, I realize I was way off on some of the game predictions up to the midpoint, but that I was on for some of them. Here we go...

Week 1. Colts.

My prediction was that we would win 24-20. We ended up losing the game, though we would have had a chance to win it had our offensive line been able to slow down Robert Mathis and Dwight Freeny. I talked about how big of an impact the draft choices were going to make if we were to beat the Colts. Eugene didn't have his best game, and the only rookies to make an impact were Terrance Knighton and Derek Cox, who had his first career interception. Mike Thomas, who has emerged as a play maker, wasn't even activated.

Week 2. Cardinals

My prediction was that we would lose 38-34. While we did lose as I predicted, but not quite as close. We struggled most of the game, and Nate Hughes let any chance at a comeback we had slip through his hands.

Week 3. Texans

My prediction was that we would lose 21-17. We ended up pulling this one out because of the nice addition of Mike Thomas, and a new wrinkle to the playbook. I spoke of how the Texans' running game would complement their passing game all too well. Turns out their running game allowed us to win.

Week 4. Titans

My prediction was that we would win 14-10. I was right, but boy was I wrong. We ended up humiliating Tennessee with our passing game. 

After four games, while I didn't predict the games we would win/lose quite right, I did call our record at 2-2 after four games. Remember the pre-season plan was to weather the first four games...

Week 5. Seahawks

I predicted we would win this game 21-20. No comment.

Week 6. Rams

I said we would win this one 35-17. We won, but it was a little closer than that because of mistakes that kept St. Louis in the game the whole time. We ended up going into overtime, and winning with a Scobee field goal. We could have easily blown this team out, both our time of possession and total yards were nearly double that of St. Louis.

Week 7. Bye Week

Week 8. Titans

I predicted we would lose this gritty one 17-16. I got the loss right, but I wish we could have lost by one point. Instead we established ourselves as a must start for opposing fantasy backs...

Week 9. Chiefs

I predicted we would win 31-10. Not too far off until the Chiefs had their little last punch before they died. 

After eight games at the midpoint of the season, I predicted our record to be 5-3, and headed on the right track to a wild card spot. Right now the Jags sit on a respectable 4-4 record, especially with our early schedule. I was off a game, but wasn't off about the possibility of a playoff berth. If we win the rest of the games we know we are capable of winning, 10-6, which is how I projected the Jaguars to finish the season, is still attainable. We need some luck for some of the opposing wild card teams to lose, and we may need some miracles to upset a few teams on our own record. One game at a time, and stay humble. Our best days are ahead of us, but that doesn't mean we have to roll over and be fodder for playoff bound teams.