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Week 10: Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets Game Preview


New York Jets (4-4) Week #10
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-4)
  Th_jets_icon_medium

VS.

Jaguars_icon_medium

Date: November 15st, 2009
Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Stadium: The Meadowlands
TV: CBS
Favorite: Jets -7
Radio: Click Here Over/Under: 40.5
Weather:
Mid 50's, no chance of rain
Injury Report:
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SBN Coverage: Gang Green Nation Coverage Map
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The Jaguars travel to the swamps of New Jersey for what is in essence a playoff elimination game. Both teams are part of the logjam of 5-3/4-4 teams in the AFC. A win means they get a leg up on one of their main competitors, a loss means they'll need a lot of help to keep their hopes alive.

The last time the Jaguars went against a Rex Ryan defense was the final game of the 2008 season at Baltimore. It was certainly a low point in a season filled with low points. The Jaguars committed four turnovers and were held to only 245 yards in a 27-7 defeat.

Now the Jaguars must find a way to defend against the defense to keep their playoff hopes alive. In addition, the Jaguars must deal with a hot rookie quarterback, much like last year in Baltimore. Mark Sanchez has played well for the Jets so far, but has had his fair share of rookie moments.

Can the Jags go into the Meadowlands and land one of Jack Del Rio's biggest wins in his career, or will they have another quiet flight home?

Star-divide

Jaguars Offense vs Jets Defense

The Jets have an impressive resume on defense. They're the only unit in football that hasn't given up 100 yard rusher, 100 yard receiver, or 300 yard passer all year. The defense is surrendering only 11.5 points in the game, best in the NFL. They come at you from every angle and any one of the 11 players on the field is liable to blitz at any given time.

However, here is something to ponder with the Jets defense. How will the react to getting smacked in the mouth running the football? The only time the Jets defense had genuinely looked bad was when Miami ran at them with the Wildcat. That is where this game is going to be won or lost.

Maurice Jones-Drew has to start fast for the Jaguars to have a chance. If he gets going running the ball, that'll force a cocky Jets defense onto it's heels and give David a chance to get throws off. If we come out and throw nine straight times again,we'll likely be seeing Luke McCown because David will be on the sideline with broken ribs.

If MJD can get it going, I expect to see alot of screens to Mike Thomas on the outside as well as to Jones-Drew coming out of the backfield. The way you beat a blitz heavy team is to get them aggrivated and then use that against them.

When the Jaguars do decide to test the Jets through the air, the obvious target is going to be CB Lito Sheppard. Sheppard is coming off a quad injury and the Jets' other corner, Darrell Revis, is one of the best in the league. I would try to get Sims-Walker matched up with Sheppard as often as possible to test the quad injury, while leaving Holt to deal with Revis most of the time.

Jaguars Defense vs Jets Offense

Rookie Quarterback Mark Sanchez came out of the gates like a man possessed. However, he has slid back down to reality as the season has progressed. Sanchez was a turnover machine in losses against Buffalo and New Orleans, throwing a combined nine interceptions.

The Jaguars will need to build on the success against the Chiefs and hopefully get into Sanchez's face early. All the indications are that he'll show you early on how he's going to be. If he gets hot, back by the NFL's #1 rushing attack, we could end up with a repeat of the Seattle game.

As I previously mentioned, the Jets have the NFL's #1 rushing attack averaging over 170 yards per game.The Jets leading rusher is Thomas Jones, who has 704 yards and 7 touchdowns so far this season.

The Jaguars' defensive line will have to be the key to stopping the Jets' rushing attack. John Henderson and Terrance Knighton will have to be getting penetration in the back field to help counter for a weak right edge.

Speaking of that right edge, former practice squad player Bryan Smith will be the starting RDE for the Jaguars. As Collin pointed out in his brilliant two part series, he didn't play all the well against the Chiefs. However, Quentin Groves has been such a liability against the run it's not likely things could get much worse.

The basic game plan for the Jaguars has to be stopping the run and putting the ball in Mark Sanchez's hands. Sanchez hasn't looked great over the last five games and he's never had a situation where he's been expected to simply throw it to win.

Intangibles and Special Teams

If the Jets have the best rushing offense and one of the best defenses in the NFL, then why are they sitting at 4-4? Two reasons, turnovers and bad special teams.

The Jets have committed 15 turnovers so far in 2009, eleven being Mark Sanchez interceptions. However, the Jaguars are even worse. The Jaguars are -3 in the turnover department in 2009. David Garrard has thrown four interceptions in the last three games and he'll need to be careful to avoid more on Sunday.

The Jets' Special Teams melt down against the Dolphins two weeks ago has been well documented. However, the unit has been suspect all season. Mike Thomas seems like he's due to finally break a touchdown on a return and this would be a perfect week to do it.

Josh Scobee has been having something of an off year. Scobee is just 9-14, though 4 of those misses have been from 50+ and another one was blocked. Also, here is an interestining tid bit. Scobee leads the league with 6 attempts from more than 50 yards. The next closest is Mason Crosby of Green Bay with 4, then several kickers with 3. Only 5 kickers have had more than 2 50+ yard attempts this year.

Coaching

Jack Del Rio leads the Jaguars to the Meadowlands for the final time as the stadium is scheduled to close after this year. After almost coughing up a win against the Chiefs, it will be interesting to see how the Jaguars respond to that scare.

Rex Ryan is coming off his first bye week as head coach. In an interesting move, the Jets only had two days worth of practice during the bye week, despite losing four of their last five games.

Player On The Hot Seat

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB

The entire fate of the Jaguars offense rests in his hands. If he can't get things going running the ball, then the Jets will have their ears pinned back the entire game and it could get even uglier than Seattle.

Video Killed The Game Preview

Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars 28

New York Jets             24

Mike Thomas breaks a punt return for a touchdown, the Jaguars score following a Mark Sanchez interception deep in Jets territory, and get two long pounding drives thanks to Jones-Drew.

-Jonathan Loesche

0 recs  |  Comment 45 comments |

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Comments

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lol got to love a bit of Rexy

Aint bad for a little ground and pound :D

Looking forward to the game guys, let’s hope all the players comes through without any injuries

Writer
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Nov 12, 2009 10:12 PM EST reply actions  

I saw his prress conferences this weel

The guy is a comedian

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 12, 2009 11:29 PM EST up reply actions  

He really is

I have not seen a press conference this year that didn’t have some laughs, even post Buffalo Bills

Writer
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Nov 13, 2009 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Totally off the mark re the Jets special teams...

Aside from the 2 Ginn returns, the special teams play has been stellar for the Jets.

by Crackback on Nov 14, 2009 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

I'll take your word for it

usually those stats mean nothing unless they give up more like 3 or 4.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 3:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Really looking forward this game too

without injuries too! I like Rex Ryan the guy really makes me laugh and remember this is football. Talking a little trash in this sport is permitted as long as it’s in good fun.
This is going to be some smash mouth football this weekend.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 12, 2009 11:59 PM EST reply actions  

If somehow-

no matter how we could win this game…
I’m telling you watching the 49ers-Bears game(wow how dreddful game was that; even the "bad2 Jaguars would have chance to win that game…) the 49ers will be a much easier game then this one. The Jags can go 7-4 if they beat (somehow) the Jets.

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 13, 2009 4:05 AM EST up reply actions  

I saw a badly played game

on both sides of the ball. But I also saw two teams that on a good day could make us look pretty bad. They were both like the Seahawks in that when hitting on all cylinders they can be pretty deadly.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 13, 2009 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Truth is

Only one of those picks was Jay Cutlers fault

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Nov 14, 2009 12:17 AM EST up reply actions  

speaking of rex ryan

here’s a quote i just read about his relationship with jack del rio:

"I really respect Jack," Ryan said. "We’re very similar. I think our teams are similar. Both teams like to run the football. Both teams are physical football teams. Both teams are 4-4. That’s obvious. Jack and I are similar. … Jack was a great player and he’s good-looking. Apparently, maybe we’re not that similar. Anyway, he’s a heck of a guy, just a real passionate coach. I know he’s going to have his team ready to go.

"I like the way he coaches football," Ryan added. "I admire the way he played football. Again, we’re good buddies, but we’re going to try to kill each other. That’s just the way it goes."

and the home of the... JETS!!!

by dvdvil on Nov 13, 2009 9:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Great

pregame material! haha

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 4:12 AM EST up reply actions  

Thanks the preview John

I must admit the more I read and watch the matchups to this game; the less hope I see for a win. I think the Jaguars need to play their best form so far in ‘09 to get even close in this game!!!!! I don’t know if you heard about it that John Henderson didn’t practiced yesterday and MJD was limited. I hope nothing serious with Maurice(without him we are doomed…) ; and I hope Big John will be active too; because only a good John Henderson-Knighton du can stop Thomas Jones to kill us on Sunday…

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 13, 2009 12:03 PM EST reply actions  

MJD is

unstoppable, don’t worry about him. He’s got a hyperbaric chamber.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 13, 2009 3:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok

He and Big John is listed proable. They both practiced today. Alexander is listed as questionable; I hope he can play somehow-because he is by far the best safety we have!

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 13, 2009 4:27 PM EST up reply actions  

I wouldn't say by far

really Considine hasn’t really let us down.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 4:12 AM EST up reply actions  

I cringe when I see #26 come out to the field though...

If you watch the preview video up top… they even slow down a Russell mis-tackle that matches the Seahawks fans’ GIFs. =(

In the face of adversity, what you do from then on dictates who you really are...

by JagsNguyen on Nov 14, 2009 7:51 AM EST up reply actions  

considine hasnt played well ewd

face the reality. first week he dropped two ints and hasnt done anything impressive since. not suposed to be astarter, id say thats your only point

by harveyismyboy on Nov 14, 2009 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Dropping 2 ints

can also mean at least he’s in position. Better than not being in pos. And he’s been a good tackler thus far.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Go Pot Roast! Go Pot Roast! Go Pot Roast!

I’ll have to come up with a new dance/chant for one of our standout Rookies!

by JagTank on Nov 14, 2009 1:25 PM EST up reply actions  

This game worries me

Strangely enough, I’m not so concerend about our defense. The Jets run the ball very well… and our D is better suited to run defense, so it’s a nice matchup. I honestly think it would be advantage Jaguars if we make the Jets have to rely on Sanchez – he is a promising youngster, but very much prone to melt-downs when under pressure.

The thing that scares the crap out of me is that Jets defense. Our O-line will have to play a LOT better than they have at any point in the season so far for us to have a chance. Obviously, MJD has to get the ball often. BUT, he better run it well enough to avoid any 3rd-and-long obvious passing situations, because I just don’t trust our O-line to protect David from some serious blitz attacks. And we NEED to score a lot of points if we are to put the pressure on Sanchez to deliver.

by KeithG on Nov 13, 2009 1:58 PM EST reply actions  

Nice write up guys

Enjoyed the ream, just thought I would pop in with some updates for you guys to think over. Vernon Gholston won’t play (still think it’s a conspiracy). Lito will play but we are not chancing starting him from the get go, so impressive 2nd year player Dwight Lowery will get the nod again. Cotchery and Brad Smith are healthy and ready to go (Smith is our trick pony, former college QB and takes some end arounds etc)

Just thought you might like knowing who will and wont be playing.

Writer
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Nov 13, 2009 2:24 PM EST reply actions  

I like Dwight

Lowery. I thought he was underrated and I think he was unfairly criticized last year. We acquired DB named Lowery last year. I got all excited until I realized he was named Calvin Lowery, who by the way sucks badly.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 13, 2009 4:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree

He was a rookie, came in and did a hell of a job, he encountered some bumps, what rookie doesn’t. I’m just glad that his confidence didn’t take a big hit after being dropped. He seems to be flourishing this year in this system.

Writer
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Nov 13, 2009 5:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Darrelle Revis

Is coming off an injury right?

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Nov 14, 2009 12:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah he will play but

that Lowry kid will start. If Sheppard is in I would target him. I think he is a bit rusty; not on100% he might be one of our secret chance…

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 14, 2009 2:39 AM EST up reply actions  

He's a vet

he wont be rusty. Finnegan sure wasn’t.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 4:13 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Lito will be ok

Not sure how much he is going to play, but I don’t think he will miss a beat, I just hope that he doesn’t get too physical and give away too many penalties like he did in the pre-season.

Writer
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Nov 14, 2009 12:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I keep waiting ...

… for a breakout game from Zach Miller. This would be a good week for it to happen. A fast tight end who can get open quickly would be a tremendous asset against the variety of blitzes the Jets will throw at us.

by ruffdaddy on Nov 13, 2009 7:30 PM EST reply actions  

Or Mike Thomas

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Nov 14, 2009 12:18 AM EST up reply actions  

And Dillard

But I’M with john on this one; Mike Thomas can be the difference maker IF everything goes well.
(I Still expect a loss though…)

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 14, 2009 2:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Miller will have to play well

especially because we have a lot of TE sets and Wilford is out for this game.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 4:14 AM EST up reply actions  

Has Zack blocked well?

I’m worried about the blitz protection. 2 TE’s every pass play for protection?

by JagTank on Nov 14, 2009 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

By the way...

Win or lose, I’m thrilled we’ll get to see another rookie develop.

by JagTank on Nov 14, 2009 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

His blocking

leaves something to be desired. But he’s improving already. I think because of where the blitzes could be coming I would rather use the vets to do the blocking. Might be too complex otherwise.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Off the top of my head, I can't remember the team

but one team this year ran that a hell of a lot of the time, just left everyone in to block. Think it may well have been Miami in the first game.. not 100% on that though

Writer
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Nov 14, 2009 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Miami did do that in the first game against the Jets...

And effectively. But they also were Wildcatting the Jets to holy hell that game too and was working from a lot of 3rd and shorts. Jets got to Henne in the 2nd game, im sure shutting down the Wildcat was a big part of their success the 2nd time around.

by Crackback on Nov 14, 2009 4:42 PM EST up reply actions  

I wish the Jags would

do a little Wildcat. We got some extra OT’s/G’s, we should probably put them to use.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 14, 2009 6:41 PM EST up reply actions  

It did fail

but this team is way different now than it was early in the season. Uche is playing now, and he’s stronger than Mo. Vinny is playing better and getting stronger from his injury. Meester is getting more acclimated with his teammates. Britton and Monroe are obviously improving. Also the key player for the WIldcat will be…Zach Miller not MJD. Remember, Miller was hurt last time we tried it.

by Ewdtrey on Nov 15, 2009 1:51 AM EST up reply actions  

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