Game Preview Week 11: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars
by Jonathan Loesche on Nov 20, 2009 12:27 PM EST
in Game Preview
55 comments
| Buffalo Bills (3-6) | Week #11 |
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) |
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VS. |
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| Date: | November 22nd, 2009 |
Location: | Jacksonville, FL |
| Time: | 1:00 PM EST |
Stadium: | The Jack |
| TV: | CBS |
Favorite: | Jaguars -9 |
| Radio: | Click Here | Over/Under: | 43 |
| Weather: |
Low 70's, 50% chance of rain |
Injury Report: |
Click Here |
| SBN Coverage: | Buffalo Rumblings | Coverage Map |
Click Here |
First, I want to offer an apology for helping drag this site back down into negative territory. I realize that 99% of the people who come to this site are either season ticket holders or do their best to attend as many games as they can. We all appreciate the support you show this team. Now, we have a game to play Sunday!
The Buffalo Bills travel to Northeast Florida this week as something of an enigma. Head coach Dick Jauron was fired on Wednesday and rumors that the Bills are already in talks with Mike Shanahan have already begun to emerge. Not to mentioned benching Trent Edwards for Ryan Fitzpatrick, having the worst run defense in the NFL, and the malignant locker room cancer Terrell Owens.
The Jaguars are coming off perhaps their most impressive road win since the 2007 Wild Card win over Pittsburgh. Maurice Jones-Drew is already within sight of the franchise's single season touchdown record, needing only two more to tie Fred Taylor's record of 14. Mike Sims-Walker's performance against the Jets seems to have signaled his arrival as a #1 wide receiver. The defense has seen a resurgence under the 4-3, and it seems the Jaguars will have meaningful games past Thanksgiving.
What does this all add up to? Well, under Jack Del Rio this usually means the Jaguars will under perform and either squeak out a win or lose. However, something strikes me as it being different this time. Click below to read why.
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
What happens when an unstoppable force meets an easily pushed around object? We'll find out Sunday as Maurice Jones-Drew gets a golden opportunity going against the Bills run defense. The Bills are averaging giving up 173 yards a game on the ground. Yes, you read that right, 173 yards a game.
The Bills do have a good pass defense though. They rank 9th in the league against the pass, though that may be because teams realize they don't need to throw that much to beat them.
The Jaguars will see the return of long time defensive tackle Marcus Stroud. Stroud was traded to Buffalo during the 2008 off season after several injury filled season's seemingly signaled the end of his great career. However, it seems that wasn't the case as Stroud has played in all 25 games since joining the Bills and putting up repectable numbers to boot. If any Bills player will care about the out come of Sunday's game, it will be Marcus.
Move along nothing to see in that last paragraph.
Offensively, expect the Jaguars to pound the ball to Jones-Drew early and often to see if they even need to throw the ball. The Jaguars managed to gash the Jets #1 rush defense very well last week, and If you have both Sims-Walker and Jones-Drew on your fantasy team, I think it's obvious who to sit and who to start.
Jaguars Defense vs Bills Offense
This is the match up that be worried. The Jaguars will be without Rashean Mathis and Justin Durant this week because of injuries. That means almost certainly Reggie Nelson will once again be at corner. Let me put this into perspective, Reggie Nelson one on one with Terrell Owens. TO may be over the hill, but I still don't like that match up one bit.
If however, premadonna TO shows up and doesn't care, then I don't think the Bills have much of a chance this week offensively. Marshawn Lynch has been banged up and more of an off the field problem than anything else. In fact, Fred Jackson is their leading rusher at this point in the season. Ryan Fitzpatrick torched the Jaguars last year in Cincinnati, but that 2008 team would lose 34-7 to this year's Jaguars.
Special Teams and Intangibles
Simple this week, the Bills fired their head coach and are being lead out by a man who already knows he doesn't have a chance to even play himself into the position. Some are saying this will lead them to come out being fired up, but I say this team comes out flat and disinterested, only to get even more disinterested when Jones-Drew gets 7 yards everytime he touched the ball.
Player On The Hot Seat
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB
Jones-Drew has the franchise TD record in his sights, and he is going against the worst run defense in the league. Not to mention he'll be needed to chew up clock in case TO and the Bills offense does decide to show up Sunday.
Prediction
Buffalo Bills 10
Maurice Jones-Drew goes off for 210 yards and four touchdowns while the Bills get their only points in garbage time.
-Jonathan Loesche
0 recs |
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I hope John the prediction of yours will be the reality
I have 2 scenarios:
Negative scenario(Operation “Trap game”).
The Jaguars star slow; Bills score a TD via Evans. The Jaguras trailing all day behind the Bills-forcing David to make erros. The Bills are starting to enjoy gamke; and do everything right. The jaguars pull of a ’"04 Texans game". Result Bills 21 Jags 17
Chance to that :15%
Positive scenario (Sponsored by my bold self)
The Jaguars starts hot and fast; score in the first 2 drived 2 TDs. 80% of the Bills players quit. MJD has his best game ever: over 200 yards 3-5 TDs. The Bills doen’T score and Edwards game late in the game. He score in the last drive to escape a bolwout:
Jags 42-Bills 7 Chance to that: over 60%
I hope my bold self will get it right…
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 20, 2009 12:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Someone develop to me the edit button for comments....
I’m starting to be dreddfull…
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 20, 2009 12:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Zoltan, i'm alright and i will continue to be a big fan of this site
I’m just frustrated because my team is on the verge of relocation and there isn’t nothing more i can do about it besides buy my own season tickets. I just wish i could do more or express to the people who’s on the fence to believe in this team. I have hope that touchdown 2 is going to make a big difference because according to the Pep Rally i attended this Tuesday, they already is getting some of the former big businesses in this town to reinvest their dollars in the team. I want to do more for the Jags and it’s like my support for them is not enough to save them.
by leopold332002 on Nov 20, 2009 5:25 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
what do you mean if you don't mind me asking you?
by leopold332002 on Nov 20, 2009 7:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd means he thinks the post was very good
Big Cat Country Radio, Every Wednesday Night at 10 PM EST
by Jonathan Loesche on Nov 20, 2009 7:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
recomendable
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 20, 2009 9:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
John and TealDeal nailed it
I thought it was an excellent post, I agree with it, and I recomend it. If you look at your post you’ll see that 3 people have recommended it so far – they do this by clicking on “actions” and then they click “rec”. If you get a certain number of recs, your post will be highlighted with a thumbs up icon. I don’t know what that number is set to on this site but on others 3 recs usually gets you a thumbs up.
John, Collin. Terry. Chris – what is the number of Recs needed if you don’t mind my asking?
by OGN on Nov 21, 2009 7:15 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
When you get three rec's we will tell you.
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
by Tkopa on Nov 21, 2009 8:58 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
well - Leopold has 3 recs and I don't see anything??????
by OGN on Nov 21, 2009 9:14 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
We ran out of Green paint
I went and got some
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 21, 2009 6:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
well I'll be damned - that's the first time I've ever seen that on this site
looks like 5 recs is the majic number and not 3 – unfortnately, most people do the +1 thing and don’t rec.
by OGN on Nov 22, 2009 7:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
We have a very liberal use of recs, for fanposts and comments, at BCC.
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 22, 2009 8:36 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i’m not asking for an explanation… but “verge of relocation” ??
Sean Jax Beach Bum
by cuffs007 on Nov 20, 2009 10:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I say that because of our current attendance problems.
I love and respect Wayne Weaver and i truly believe him when he say that the team isn’t for sale. However, He’s human too and if for whatever reason that he gets the idea basis on our current attendance the city don’t want the team anymore. He might just sell it just so that he won’t have to stress about it anymore. I just hope he maintains his faith in us until we can bond the next generations of fans like me to support the team unconditionally.
by leopold332002 on Nov 21, 2009 6:25 AM EST up reply actions 2 recs
MJD is on pace for 19 td's.
Thats playing the stat game but it is interesting all the same. This is a great analysis for the game. I really think you covered everything. The only thing I have is that the Jags go into the game expecting to win. I do not want another beat down like the Tits gave us. I hope they go in focused and hungry. One game at a time.
by JagSoldier on Nov 20, 2009 12:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
actually 22 but
I hope MJD explodes this week, unlike sometimes when a RB is paired with a pourous run D and they play run all day so he ends up with 90 yards on 30 carries. It happens. But I just have a good feel to this game. I think we own them, even with Reggie at corner (very scary though! i wish we’d try brackenridge)
by harveyismyboy on Nov 20, 2009 3:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I know we all worry
but we really need to have the confidence that the coaches know and see more than we do and if Brackenridge truly is better at CB than Nelson, they’ll be playing him there.
by pksiv on Nov 20, 2009 4:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sounds
Like the Chiefs game.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
by Bestjagfan on Nov 21, 2009 11:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No worries we get what you are saying.
by JagSoldier on Nov 20, 2009 12:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Thanks Jon
How the things going In Iraq?
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 20, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No worries, no worries!
I did not go to the Arizona game this year, but have been to every game since. Well, before the Titans game (we live in Ocala and it takes us a while to get there) we got a late start getting ready and I was forced to throw something on as my wife was hurrying me out the door. I ended up wearing this terrible blue checkered thing she calls shorts, and a black polo shirt. Man, I looked horrid, but I figured nobody would see me once we got there so who cares. So we left, got to the stadium in time, bought a pin (my wife likes having little things to remember events by) and made our way to our seats. Obviously the Jags won, and we drove home happy.
Well, before the St. Louis game we got up early and I was not going to be rushed. As I walked out she said, what are you doing, you have to wear the get up from the other game. It brought them luck! Again, I figured nobody there, who cares, if it makes her happy. So we did the exact same thing, bought the pin, drove home happy.
Come KC, saturday night she had the shorts and shirt ironed and ready to go. Woke up, did the exact same thing. Drove home happy.
Needless to say, the shirt and shorts have a special place in the closet now and they are ready for this weekend. If you see me at the game (and you will know if you do) please don’t let my wife know I wrote this! LOL!
Anyway, home games without me and dressing like a fool… 0-1
Home games with me and dressing like a fool……. 3-0
I’ll be there sunday, dressed foolishly…. The jags got this one in the bag!
Ps. Out of curiousity, does anyone have any habits they continue as long as the team keeps winning? Is anyone superstitious? I know one thing, if my foolish attire makes it through this season undefeated and the Jags make the playoffs I might start being a little superstitious myself.
by imike29 on Nov 20, 2009 1:15 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
haha
Imike, I really like that story dude.
by harveyismyboy on Nov 20, 2009 3:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Beat them, or else!
No, really good luck guys.
Don't question my fandominium.
"the notorious D.I.B."- samdaman
by dolphinsinbuffalo on Nov 20, 2009 3:19 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
FSBlue
you just jinxed Marcus Stroud by saying he’s played all 25 games. He’s now, according to rotoworld, being ruled out for the game with a knee injury.
by Ewdtrey on Nov 20, 2009 3:47 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
O and the Jets
didn’t have the number one rush defense. They were ranked 16th in the league going into our game, and are now ranked 18th. And I think they were second against the pass and hoovered around the top of the league in total D.
by Ewdtrey on Nov 20, 2009 3:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
STROUD IS RULED OUT
for Sunday’s game. Alongside with starter LT Demetrius Bell and strater LB
LB Keith Ellison. The other starter DT Kyle Williams alongside with Defensive Rookie of the year candidate Jairus Byrd and CB Terence McGee is questonable.
Dear Dirk Koetter: the game plan for sunday is this: Run; run; run; run; run a bit more; run; run; 50 yard TD pass/run
MJD could go 200+ yard-I’M serious!!!!
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 20, 2009 4:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I hope you're right, John
It feels good that the Jags have won all but the first home game for us. Being there for the win, helps to wash away the troubles of the week. It’s refreshing. It makes it all worth it. If the team continues the trend it’s bound to begin attracting more fans. They are winning for us. Why wouldn’t you want to be a part of that? I know most of the games have been close, but close can be exciting.
Go Jaguars!!!
Vae Victis!
by viator on Nov 20, 2009 5:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Marcus Stroud has been ruled out by Buffalo
http://www.buffalorumblings.com/2009/11/20/1166816/stroud-one-of-three-bills-starters
Hey all. If you have any questions throw them at me here. I’ll do my best to answer them.
"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
by MattRichWarren on Nov 20, 2009 9:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Questions
Draft Needs?
Who was last year’s draft picks for the Bills?
Opinion on TO?
Who is your biggest rival in the AFC North?
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 20, 2009 9:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Draft Needs: #1 QB, OT, LB for sure. DT and DE are secondary needs but needs nonetheless
Last year’s picks: Aaron Maybin, Eric Wood, Jairus Byrd, Andy Levitre, Shawn Nelson, Nic Harris. Byrd is a DROY candidate. Wood and Levitre have played well if inconsistent as starters on the OL. Nelson is emerging after some injury trouble to be a great pass catching option. Maybin has done little as has Harris.
T.O. has been the victim of terrible quarterback and terrible OL play. He has shown flashes of the great player he is. I wish we could have used him better to this point.
Biggest Rival in the AFC North? Probably the Browns. They’ve beaten us in close games each of the last two years and are just a short trip across Lake Erie (or down the expressway) from Buffalo.
"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.
by MattRichWarren on Nov 20, 2009 9:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Alright
Anybody you particularly like in the next draft? Just for conversation’s sake
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 20, 2009 9:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Me personally? I haven’t looked at a single college game or a lot of draft stuff. I do that in January when other teams are in the playoffs. :-)
With that being said we have a whole scouting team at Rumblings who puts stuff together. http://www.buffalorumblings.com/search?scope=community&type=&order=date&q=Rumblings+Draft+Scouting&btn=Search
"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.
by MattRichWarren on Nov 20, 2009 10:11 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Who were
the biggest negative and positive surprises this year so far?
Are you support or disaprove the head coach change what was made on this week?
Any player who you recoomend to our attention from the Bills team who is not in the center of the attention?
Do you think that The Jaguars ravaged secondary (looks like 2 key starters are out) and the good Wrs of the Bills can result a surprise win; or the Bills D is just to bad right now; to be challenge a Top 10 offense (Which the Jaguars have)?
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 21, 2009 3:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Negative surprise – Has to be Trent Edwards. We were hoping he would take the next step and he has regressed if anything. T.O.’s performance, which goes hand in hand with Edwards, is second.
Positive surprise – Jairus Byrd. This kid is leading the league in interceptions as a rookie after making a position switch from corner to safety, missing all of minicamp with Oregon’s final exams, all of training camp with a holdout and groin injury, and he has still come in and been productive in only 5 games. Unbelievable.
It had become clear that Dick Jauron wasn’t going to coach this team in 2010. If the Bills thought that by making the change now they could get a big name I’m all for it. We were beginning to hear leaders on this team like Aaron Schobel and Josh Reed saying things that could lead to the locker room falling apart. It probably was the right thing to do before all hell broke loose.
The player I want you to keep an eye on is Fred Jackson. He threw a touchdown pass out of the wildcat last week and was on fire through three games while Marshawn Lynch was out with a suspension. He has been our best offensive player this year.
If your offensive coordinator is smart enough to call a lot of runs, I don’t see a way the Bills can win. If you guys go Panthers on us and throw when you don’t need to the Bills can certainly win. Yeah the Bills may get some nice pass plays against your backups but the only way the Jags lose is if they beat themselves.
"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.
by MattRichWarren on Nov 21, 2009 8:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanky you very much for your answers!
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 21, 2009 12:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No prob.
Any more questions between now and Sunday I’ll come back and answer later.
"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.
by MattRichWarren on Nov 21, 2009 12:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Any predictions on the outcome?
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 21, 2009 6:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
John - telling the truth NEVER requires an apology
now onto the game – The Bills appear to be depleted on the defensive side of the ball so I agree with you – a heavy dose of MJD. I wouldn’t be shocked if he gets 30 touches.
However – our D is also depleted and we still do not have a pass rush (stay tuned to next off season for that) – that coupled with the loss of our best cover guy and best LB – I’m not very comfortable.
The Bills also had a major earthquake shakeup in their organization. There are 2 schools of thought on this – 1) the Bills will be distracted and not even show up or 2) this may light a fire under them and we get an inspired effort. I lean towards number 2 on this. You add the fact that JDR teams tend to be like yo yos and there is a real potential for disaster.
The Jags should win but don’t be surprised if it’s much to close for comfort. With that said my prediction:
Bills 24
Jags 7
**PLEASE NOTE – this was my prediction for the Jets game and we played great – so I’m not messing with Karma – I will also be waring the same shirt, underwear and pants from last week too --Zoltan, you “feeling me” on this brother??? :-) :-)
by OGN on Nov 21, 2009 7:55 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I'll be in my battleteal on Sunday
as always; Clay
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 21, 2009 8:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Do what you have to do to make us Win
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 21, 2009 8:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
But beaing a dead horse does require apology
There is no sense is talking about attendance and ramifications. It has already been said everywhere else. Use this site for new and fresh material. Use it to lift up the knowledge. That is all.
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
by Tkopa on Nov 21, 2009 9:01 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Brian Russell Released
I posted the link in FanShots… but it’s in the dead area of the site, so here’s the link.
I wonder why they picked up someone for the o line… thought we were pretty deep there. Nevertheless, it’s one less miss tackle!
In the face of adversity, what you do from then on dictates who you really are...
by JagsNguyen on Nov 21, 2009 6:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Thank God
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 21, 2009 6:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Terrell Owens
I wouldn’t say he doesn’t care. The Bills just don’t have the tools to get him the ball. When they’ve thrown it to him, he’s made big plays. The guy is the ultimate winner, he really just wants to win.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
by Bestjagfan on Nov 21, 2009 11:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
-1
Thumbs down disagree… He’s the most selfish player ever… I might agree with that
Molōn labe!
The End Is Nigh... www.infowars.com
by silencecs on Nov 22, 2009 12:20 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
TO makes "meshawn" johnson look like a team player...
sit-ups in the front yard, gameshows, he’s a joke. He can play though, I’ll say that. Hes not what he was, but hes good when he tries hard
Molōn labe!
The End Is Nigh... www.infowars.com
by silencecs on Nov 22, 2009 12:22 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He Always Tries Hard
I didn’t say he wins with a team mindset, he thinks the only way to win is through him… but he still wants to win the game. I really don’t understand why Buffalo hasn’t gotten him the ball. He makes things happen when the ball heads his direction.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
by Bestjagfan on Nov 22, 2009 12:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
and if he catches the ball that heads in his direction
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Keeper of the "That's what she said"
by TheTealDeal on Nov 22, 2009 8:37 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
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