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Path to the Playoffs "Prediction Edition"



Here we are in the month of December, and all is well in Big Cat Country!  Instead of dreaming of sugarplums, chestnuts roasting on an open fire, a Victory Hammer in my driveway...Sorry! That's my dream...we the fans of our beloved Jaguars are dreaming of a #5 or #6 seed in the 2009 NFL playoffs!  What a dream it is!

I for one didn't expect much of this season.  I and many of you only expected our team to be competetive, and show some improvement over last year.  In 08 we were out of it early.  In 09 we are in the hunt for a playoff berth, and looking to prove that we are worthy of discussion not only nationally, but locally as well.

JDR has shown that he is moving the team in the right direction, and is looking like he will be kept on in the future.  Love it or Hate it.  That's the facts.  This is a young team, and making the playoffs with such a high turnover in our roster from last year would put JDR in the discussion for Coach of the Year.  I'm not saying that he's a "Great" coach, but it is worth noting.  The "GREAT" will come with consistently winning.  Now on to the predicitons.

Star-divide

As of right now, If the season were to end, we would be the #6 seed.  I know you've all seen this before, so please bear with me.

Current Division leaders:

AFC North:  Cinncinatti Bengals (9-3)

AFC East:  New England Patriots (7-5)

AFC West:  San Diego Chargers(9-3)

AFC South:  Indianapolis Colts (12-0)

Current Wild Card leaders:

Denver Broncos (8-4)

Jacksonville Jaguars (7-5)

In the hunt:

Balitmore Ravens (6-6)

Miami Dolphins (6-6)

New York Jets (6-6)

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-7)

With 4 weeks left in the season, there is still alot of football to be played.  There are still 2 divisions that are up in the air, and atleast 5 teams alive for the final Wild Card spot.  Here are my predictions for the Divisional Champions.

AFC North:  Cinncinatti Bengals 

Remaining schedule:  at Minnesota (L), at San Diego (L), K.C. (W), at Jets (w)

Final Record: 11-5        Seeding: #3

AFC East:  Miami Dolphins

Remaining schedule:  at Jacksonville (L), at Tennessee (W), Houston (W), Pittsburgh (W)

Final Record:  9-7         Seeding #4

AFC West:  San Diego Chargers

Remaining schedule:  at Dallas (W), Cinncinatti (W), at Tennessee (W), Washington (L)

Final Record: 12-4        Seeding #2

AFC South:  Indianapolis Colts

Remaining Schedule:  Denver (W), at Jacksonville (L), Jets (W), at Buffalo (W)

Final Record:  15-1      Seeding #1

Now, some of you are looking at the AFC East prediction, and are scratching your heads.  The reason I have Miami winning the division is for a number of reasons.  1.  With Chad Henne at the helm as a full time starter, the Dolphins are learning to win without Ronnie Brown and the Wildcat.  2.  The Patriots look old, and their Defense looks lost.  3.  The idea that "Bill is God, and we do what he says with no questions asked" has been lost on the new personel that the Pats have brought in.  With the loss of Vrabel, Bruschi, and Seymour comes a loss in team leadership, and the idea that the players police themselves.  With Adalius Thomas questioning the coach, and others texting Seymour about how much they need him back, it's not all it seems in Pats country.  Bill Belichick is starting to see his team unravel into disarray, and it looks like MUTINY!  I see the Pats fading, and the Dolphins coming on strong over the next 4 weeks.

The AFC West although only separated by 1 game this divison will go to the Chargers.  They are playing their best ball right now, and have won 7 straight.  Rivers is on fire, and wothy of MVP talk along with Manning, Favre, and Brees.  By beating the Bengals, the Chargers will own the head to head and rest players the last game of the season, and cruise into the bye week with the #2 seed.

The AFC North has been decided, but the Bengals will secure a home field playoff game in the Wild Card round.  If the Jaguars finish as I have predicted then this is where we wil play the first week of the playoffs.

The AFC South is ruled once again by the much hated Colts.  That being said...with a win this week the Colts lock up home field throughout the playoffs, and rest most of their starters on December 17 against the Jaguars.  With a loss against the Broncos then we will see Manning and company as they try to shore up home field.  However, I believe they win this week, and we will knock them from the perch of the undefeateds, and remain in the hunt for the #6 seed.

Now for the Wild Card spots:

AFC Wild Card : 

Denver Broncos

Remaining Schedule:  at Indianapolis (L), Oakland (W), at Philadelphia (L), Kansas City (W)

Final Record:  10-6       Seeding #6

Jacksonville Jaguars

Remaining schedule:  Miami (W), Indianapolis (W), at New England (W), at Cleveland (L)

Final Record:  10-6      Seeding #5

New England Patriots

Remaining Schedule:  Carolina (L), at Buffalo (W), Jacksonville (L), at Houston (L)

Final Record: 8-8       Miss Playoffs for 2nd year in a row.  Time to rebuild the Defense.

Balitmore Ravens

Remaining Schedule:  Detroit (W), Chicago (W), at Pittsburgh (L), at Oakland (L)

Final Record:  8-8       Offense is improving, but just not enough.

New York Jets

Remaining schedule:  at Tampa Bay (W), Atlanta (L), at Indianapolis (L), Cinncinatti (L)

Final Record: 7-9         Mark Sanchez is their future.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Remaining schedule:  Green Bay (L), Balitmore (W), at Miami (L)

Final Record: 7-9         They could get in, but would need alot of help.  I say stick a fork in them.  It's time to rebuild both lines.

This scenario is based on the Jaguars having a better AFC record since there is no head to head match up here.  The Jags would finish with a 9-3 Conference record and the Broncos would be 8-4 in the Conference.  So, there you have it sports fans.  I'm not sure how outlandish you think these predictions are, but feel free to comment and give you predictions.

[The outcome was originally for the Jags to be the 6th seed, but due to an error that has been pointed out, it has changed to the 5th seed.]

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good article

If ur prediction is right about the broncos they would be 10-6, they are 8-4 now. I agree super bowl champs are pretty much done, after losing to Oak, Cle, Kc, they dont deserve playoffs. Hopefully they can atleast pull it together to knock off Bal. I think Ne will win atleast 2 of their final four, but I think they are just too dysfunctional wiht a poor D and Brady is obviously not what he used to be, so they miss out. I think Bal has a legitimate chance to win out so I think we need to take care of business.
But the biggest thing is, the Jags hold their own destiny and can knock out another playoff opponent Sun against Mia.

by jags2732 on Dec 11, 2009 3:02 PM EST reply actions  

Ah! Man! now that I made the correction that you pointed out...

I have to go back, and check to see if the Jags would have the 5th or 6th seed. Just when you think you got it right! Thanks for pointing out my error.

Duuuuvvvvallllllll!!!!!....Damn, I miss Paul Spicer!

by JagsCub on Dec 11, 2009 3:09 PM EST up reply actions  

It's amazing

Garrard is actually starting to look like one of the better QB’s in the AFC. Ben isn’t winning in the 4th QTR and neither is Brady. But guess who has been. That’s right Mr. David Garrard. Of all the QB’s in the playoff picture: Big Ben, Tom Brady, Carson Palmer, Philip Rivers, Chad Henne, Peyton Manning, and Joe Flacco; I think only Rivers and Manning are playing better. That’s a far cry from what people would have thought coming in to this season. Try to argue with me I got a million reasons I think Garrard is playing better than these name players.

by Ewdtrey on Dec 11, 2009 4:45 PM EST up reply actions  

+Infinity

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Dec 11, 2009 6:17 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

When the O-line looks half decent Garrard looks great, but when the O-line struggles, for obvious reasons Garrard struggles. The emergence of some weapons on offense such as MSW, Holt, and deep seem threat Mercedes

by jags2732 on Dec 12, 2009 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

agreeed

but honestly i dont think we lose to cleveland
and i dont think we beat New England

by hawk16lx on Dec 12, 2009 12:58 PM EST reply actions  

i think the reason he has us losing to cleveland

would be us resting for the playoffs because we would of secured the 6th spot against NE

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Maurice Jones Drew is The Best RB in the AFC--Please Disagree with me

by TheTealDeal on Dec 12, 2009 2:43 PM EST up reply actions  

whoa - hoooollllddd on thar partner

this team STILL does not play consistently and not even God almight himself, knows which Jags team will show up from week to week. If we can get blown out 41 – 0 to a sorry Seabags team – we can loose at Clev.

We can’t take anything for granted — I totally agree with you that we SHOULD win that one, but would’ve, should’ve, could’ve don’t pay the rent.

Go Jags!

by OGN on Dec 12, 2009 8:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Their D front

could put some serious hurt on our offense. Our D should easily handle their offense.

by Ewdtrey on Dec 13, 2009 6:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Moot point now

No way this team beats either Indy or the Pats, a win at Cleveland will salvage 8-8. Ravens play their way in, Jaguars play their way out.

by Lancers46 on Dec 13, 2009 7:28 PM EST up reply actions  

They're going to win Thursday

If I was a gambler, which I’m not and never will be, I’d be more than willing to put a hefty amount on that upset.

by Adam Stites on Dec 13, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions  

The pendolum swings back into our favor.

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Maurice Jones Drew is The Best RB in the AFC--Please Disagree with me

by TheTealDeal on Dec 15, 2009 7:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Just so You Know

Caldwell: Colts will play starters this week
Posted by Gregg Rosenthal on December 14, 2009 1:50 PM ET
The NFL Network and every AFC team competing for a Wild Card spot just got an early Christmas present.

Colts coach Jim Caldwell said at his press conference Monday in no uncertain terms that the team would treat this Thursday’s game against Jacksonville “exactly” like the previous thirteen.

“We’re going to play ball and approach it like we do every week,” Caldwell said. “The only thing that will deter anyone from playing time is a health issue.”

Caldwell didn’t appear to be leaving himself wiggle room by mentioning the health issue. He was clear throughout his press conference he wanted to “maintain rhythm” by continuing to play to win.

We suspect that the Colts organization didn’t adopt this approach because they were reading Florio. The Colts have traditionally rested starters early, but they have never clinched homefield advantage with three full games remaining.

Starting to rest now would mean five weeks between meaningful games. Caldwell wouldn’t promise anything about next week’s game.

“That’s all I’m going to deal with is this week. I’m not going to look beyond this game. That’s served us well,” Caldwell said.

Even if it only lasts another week, Caldwell’s decision also serves the league well.

The NFL Network game is far more attractive now, and the Jaguars won’t get a competitive advantage over other playoff contenders.

by Ufanforreal on Dec 14, 2009 2:09 PM EST reply actions  

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