Consistent Inconsistency: We're Not Out of the Woods Yet
by Adam Stites on Dec 15, 2009 11:33 PM EST
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In May of this year, Collin wrote an article titled "Consistent Inconsistency: Why the Jaguars haven’t sustained success." In the article, he talked about the impact Gene Smith will have on the franchise, coming to a conclusion proclaiming:
Welcome to the third era of Jaguars football, an era that will be marked by leadership, frugality, and a team-first mentality. Say good-bye to being consistently… inconsistent.
While I can't say I disagree with that completely, I'm not going to agree with it fully either. Gene is going to usher in this new era, of that I'm sure; however, I believe our Editor-In-Chief may have been a little premature in his declaration.
It has been commonly said throughout Big Cat Country that Jack Del Rio is to blame for an extremely inconsistent tenure as head coach, and that there will be no consistency until he is fired and replaced. It is hard to disprove this, however, it is my opinion that David Garrard is the one creating this perception. It is his erratic play that has cost the Jaguars in important games throughout the last 3+ years.
David Garrard is by no means a terrible quarterback, or one that is not capable of getting the Jaguars to the playoffs. Whoever the young quarterback of the Jaguars' future is, will hopefully receive the opportunity to learn behind a veteran player like David who can teach him the intricacies of being an NFL quarterback. The problem with David is simply that he doesn't not play like a good quarterback on a consistent basis.
The chart above is done by ProFootballFocus.com and shows David's inconsistent year from a game-by-game standpoint. The Jaguars lost in weeks 1, 2, 5, 8, 12, and 14, which just happen to be the 6 worst performances by Garrard of the season. Only in the San Francisco game did he earn a rating over 1.5, and I don't think anyone would describe an 0-4 in the redzone performance as good enough. It's clear that when David plays poorly the Jaguars follow. Here are the charts of some of some of the NFL's elite quarterbacks who all model consistency:
Now before the offensive line starts taking the blame, here are some interesting stats. According to ProFootballFocus's stats, Garrard has seen pressure on 164 of his 476 passes. Under pressure Garrard has thrown 1 interception, with the other 5 coming with no pressure.
In other words, we may have to wait a year or two more before we can officially declare an end to the consistent inconsistency. Until then, expect the unexpected from the Jaguars.
-Adam Stites
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Oh the 14th week stats are out?
I will check the lineman stats.
What a remarkable piece is this Adam. Yeah I don’t like that the Jags are still like a rollercoster; once up once down. David had a bad game in SF; he rebounded against Houston. He had a bad game vs the Phins. I bet he will play good or very goof Thursday night. Inconsistentcy is a trademark of the Jags. When a new QB will be under the huddle we wiill know it was David or the team as a whole the reason.
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Dec 15, 2009 10:28 PM EST reply actions
Rec'd.
Not because I necessarily agree, but because it was very well written and I like the graphs.
I will say if weeks 15, 16, and 17 aren’t in the green by a long ways, we won’t play week WC…
-Collin
Molōn labe!
The End Is Nigh... www.infowars.com
Playoffs!
If we beat Indy and NE in back to back weeks, I could care less.
Associate Editor of Big Cat Country the #1 Jacksonville Jaguar site on the net
Big Cat Country Radio, Every Wednesday Night at 10 PM EST
by Jonathan Loesche on Dec 16, 2009 12:03 AM EST up reply actions
Also, screw it, I'm starting the draft Christian Ponder in 2010 movement
Associate Editor of Big Cat Country the #1 Jacksonville Jaguar site on the net
Big Cat Country Radio, Every Wednesday Night at 10 PM EST
by Jonathan Loesche on Dec 16, 2009 12:04 AM EST reply actions
Is he gonna be in the draft?
I thought he was staying in school. Looked good to me before getting hurt.
Ah hell, so 2011 then
Christian Ponder in 2010! Bring him home Wayne, he an actually play QB in the NFL
Big Cat Country Radio, Every Wednesday Night at 10 PM EST
by Jonathan Loesche on Dec 16, 2009 12:38 AM EST up reply actions
got that telescope out again?
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
What?
I would like a QB like Ponder as the nexct jags QB. But I think the future QB of the Jags will come from this draft (and I’m NOT talking about #15-of course…)
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Dec 16, 2009 7:30 AM EST up reply actions
Jacksonville St.
Used to go to LSU, but got dismissed after some sort of fight or something. Has some big time ability playing at a small school. Sounds like a Gene Smith pick to me.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
I think you'd better read up on his story again
He was given all sorts of chances at LSU, but finally his immaturity caused him to be kicked off the team for violating way too many rules too often. He’s also had trouble at Jacksonville St. In other words, there are MAJOR red flags for character issues. He’s the opposite of a Gene Smith pick.
In Gene We Trust.
by MoveThoseChains on Dec 16, 2009 5:58 PM EST up reply actions
Ahh
Looks like a pretty nice guy. Seriously though, I don’t see the risk in taking him in the 6th or 7th and giving him a shot. First time he commits a major screwup he could be gone. You can’t let character completely turn you away from pure talent, which Perrilloux has; especially in the later rounds.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
That's true, sort of.
But by the time someone in this organization decides that his upside outweighs his character issues I’m sure some team like the Bengals will have picked him.
Oh god no
Gene would never draft him.
In Gene We Trust.
by MoveThoseChains on Dec 16, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions
Tony Pike, Dan Lefevour, Tim Hiller, Bill Stull, maybe
Skelton from Fordham, just to name a few.
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Maurice Jones Drew is The Best RB in the AFC--Please Disagree with me
by TheTealDeal on Dec 17, 2009 11:18 AM EST up reply actions
lol
How about the Tebow kick everyone else but us seem to be on for our first round pick? Is that driving anyone else mad besides me?
He's saying
that everyone but the Jags and their fans are on this “Jags will draft Tebow in the first round” kick.
I think.
Rec'd by Kuharsky!
Well done Adam!
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Dec 16, 2009 3:58 PM EST reply actions
THANK YOU SOCAL!!! AWESOME STUFF
I’ve been harping on this very issue since preseaon – it’s been (dare I say it – Wait for it) obvious – at least to some. David’s play has been inconsistent and it’s a problem. The Jags go as David goes – when he’s hot, we usually win – when he sucks, we lose — it’s pretty simple.
I really like the graphics – good presentation.
Yeah when Garrard plays badly
the team plays badly. But lets not forget this is a symbiotic relationship, and the rest of the team doing bad is gonna make Garrard look bad too. It’s across the board. And keep in mind the scouting takes into account Garrard holding on to the ball too long and etc, and puts that on him not the OL.
Just look at the OL “stats”:
Eben
Monroe
Uche
Meester
Manuwai
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