On Keeping Gerald Sensabaugh:: Players or Picks?
The Jacksonville Jaguars, under the leadership of Gene Smith, are charting a new course in regards to how they build and develop players. One of the quickest ways to renew and refresh a roster is through the acquisition of compensatory draft picks. When a player leaves for another team through free agency, the NFL can award draft picks if the team is seen as having a "net loss". Teams that let players leave and only mildly dabble in free agency can accrue many second day picks this way.
Compensatory Draft Picks, for example, were a big role in how the Jaguars and Titans extracted themselves from their salary cap situations of the early 2000's. One could argue, of course, that it's somewhat unfair for the league to give teams an easy way to replenish the roster after grossly mismanaging the salary cap, but I digress.
So the Jaguars are going into the 2009 free agency period with their hands in their pocket and the checkbook closed. They're going to let players like Reggie Williams, Khalif Barnes, Mike Peterson, and Joe Zelenka enjoy the free agency waters and more than likely lose them to another team. Some, like Barnes and Williams are "good riddance" players, others like Zelenka are harder to swallow.
Gerald Sensabaugh is a player that should not make it to free agency. He's developed under the Jaguars system and had a season in 2008 that was one of the few bright points on defense. Of course, he's playing for a contract and was the only Jaguar with anything to play for in December, which might have helped.
Anyhow, Gerald is going to hit the free market and I think the Jaguars are making a mistake in doing so. Gerald isn't the best free agent safety on the market and he's not going to merit Bob Sanders money. He's a player that the Jaguars have invested time and money into, letting him walk now that he's established himself as a player is a terrible idea. Not to mention that it creates a need at Strong Safety that must be addressed in the draft. (Though, I'll be OK if we get Patrick Chung). The Jaguars have the right idea in building the team through draft picks, but there's no sense in letting a proven player leave. Sensabaugh can be retained without breaking the bank. Besides, didn't we hear all season long that the locker room was broken because of the money given to "outsiders" like Drayton Florence and Jerry Porter? Wouldn't rewarding a player like Sensabaugh address that issue? I'm not all about using contracts as a locker room management tool, but if it has an added bonus, why not?
Maybe I'm not thinking rationally. Maybe the approach of Gene Smith to keep his eyes on the ball two years out is a smart move. Saving money in 2009 for a better year in 2010 isn't the worst idea in the world. I just hate to see the Jaguars enter the draft with more needs than they can realistically begin to address.
What do you think?
-Chris
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27 comments
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Comments
Let me be the first to tell you, I have seen Gerald out of coverage MANY times this year when the Jags were running a Cover 2. He has developed into a decent Safety, however, he is caught out of position more then not! I am not sure what the Jags should do regarding him, it really depends on the teams plans for the Defense. I think he could be even better working with Mel….
by floridafalcons#63 on Feb 3, 2009 4:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
keep 43
I completely agree with Chris on this one. Gerald is exactly the type of player we should want to resign. Won’t break the bank, and someone who’s been drafted and developed by this team who has shown he’s a playmaker.
We have too many needs to let someone like him walk. Plus, last year was really his first year playing for us on a regular basis. His injuries and role as a backup behind Darius and Deon Grant have held him back from possibly being a better safety in this league. He can cover, he can tackle, and he can make big interceptions.
I was ok with letting Deon Grant go because that was a lot of money. I really hope we re-sign Sensebaugh though. He’s worth more than a compensatory pick in my opinion.
by jimbrophoto on Feb 3, 2009 5:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Question...
Chris, can you elaborate as to how compensatory picks are granted. You mentioned that the league can grant them if a team has what is considered a “net loss”. How is this determined, and can a team gain more than one or is it just one pick granted?
I believe that Sensebaugh is a classic example of how a franchise should draft and develop. Which should make a team want to re-sign that player. However, if you can gain extra draft picks why not let him go and test the waters. It’s possible that Gene Smith is allowing him to test the waters, but sign him at a later time if he doesn’t get any offers worth considering in his mind. As much as I would like to keep him, we are in bad need of picks, and that’s all Gene is considering at this point.
With that in mind, I have a bad feeling that next year might me another year of growing pains as Gene works his long term plan.
by JagsCub on Feb 3, 2009 5:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Though it's for the 2008 draft
This post goes into some pretty good depth of the process of awards comp picks
"I smoke. If this bothers anyone, I suggest you look around at the world in which we live and shut your mouth."-Bill Hicks
by FSBlueApocalypse on Feb 3, 2009 10:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He must be resigned!
The defensive backs are the real problem right now on defense (although I agree, the Jaguars must rebuild their lines first)! But let’s remember, Bengals backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick looked like Kurt Warner against us, when this team played in Cincinnati last season. I hope Reggie Nelson will improve under Mel Tucker, but let’s be honest, he not performed like a 1st round pick should play last year… And other then him, there was nobody effective, if we count out Brian Williams, who moved back to cornerback, after Drayton Florance not performed so, like everyone expected. No to free agenc? I’m Ok with that! But let’s keep those players, who performed well here, and show for the Jaguars, that he can be an advantage of this team. So I think, the jaguars must resign Sensabaugh, before the free agency season starts!
by Zoltan from Budapest on Feb 3, 2009 5:56 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
If the price is right
If teams are willing to give Sensy a really large amount than I don’t think it’ll be wise for the Jaguars to get into a bidding war. I’d love for Gerald to come back but again, only if the price is right.
by SoCalStites on Feb 3, 2009 6:24 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Sensebaugh had a horrible injury
that he never commented on and recovered from. I really think it depends on the price, but he seems poised to improve every year. I like him as a Jaguar.
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
by Tkopa on Feb 3, 2009 6:54 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Let him hit the market.
I’m not sure exactly how much money is going to be thrown at him. I say let him test the waters then see how other teams gauge Gerald’s value. Just because a player enters free agency doesn’t mean they can’t come back to their original team.
Jim Brown, Barry Sanders, Fred Taylor. Sounds about right.
by JvilleJag2 on Feb 3, 2009 7:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
I love this strategy and I know Tkopa has mentioned this as his strategy of choice in the past
by SoCalStites on Feb 3, 2009 7:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
HEAR! HEAR!!!
I think this is the best for Gerald and the Jags. If he signs with someone else he gets what we want and we get compensatory draft picks.
by JagsCub on Feb 3, 2009 7:59 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I disagree that it is best for the Jags
A compensatory draft pick is on the second day and that’s when teams look for players that can possibly make the team. With Gerald they already have a starter quality player.
by SoCalStites on Feb 3, 2009 9:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah exactly
The highest comp draft picks are in the last part of the 3rd round, and losing Sensy wouldn’t get us one of those.
"I smoke. If this bothers anyone, I suggest you look around at the world in which we live and shut your mouth."-Bill Hicks
by FSBlueApocalypse on Feb 3, 2009 10:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
everyone is forgetting That Gerald was a 5th round pick... One of Shack late round gems.
We can find another… I say we need to let him test the market. If he wants to give us a home town discount, I wouldn’t be opposed, but otherwise… let someone else overpay. Contract years have a way of bringing out the best in a player…
-Collin
by silencecs on Feb 4, 2009 1:32 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I almost miss Shack already
almost
by SoCalStites on Feb 4, 2009 1:55 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Let me ask you this... Is letting a guy go in FA to get a compensatory pick the virtual equivalent of trading the player to another team?
We must gather the picks I say… Just wanted to hear your opinion Socal
by silencecs on Feb 4, 2009 2:01 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hm...
Good question. I guess when you think about it in terms of players and picks it pretty much is. The major difference to me would be that if you choose that you don’t want to “trade” the player you’ll have to open up the check book.
by SoCalStites on Feb 4, 2009 2:18 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Something to ponder...
When is the line drawn when you either want to resign an emerging player or let him test free agency? I think drafting is better versus pricey free agents, but you cannot possibly always let decent players go just to get more draft picks. There has to be a middle ground. Somewhere. Anyone know where? Hello, Gene? We’ll have to wait and see! IMHO
Sean Jax Beach Bum
by cuffs007 on Feb 3, 2009 10:09 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
There is not a wrong answer
This is a way of seeing if Sensabaugh is pricey. If he isn’t, cool, take him back. If he is, then cool, take the draft picks. Draft picks are never a bad thing, no matter the round. Remember, Sensy himself is a 5th rounder. No matter what happens, nothing bad will happen.
by MoveThoseChains on Feb 4, 2009 12:38 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Glass is half full
That’s the way I like it
by SoCalStites on Feb 4, 2009 12:56 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ok, Price is important
but let’s not forget, Sensabaugh, is developed himself to a true starter caliber(probably anywhere) at safety position. If the Jaguars get that draft pick, they must spend years to develop the guy(best example: see Reggie Nelson-are he based on his performance last year a legitimate starter? Sadly, right now the answer is NO. I hope next yar on the same date today, he will be and he had 2 years already to improve!!!. Now the Jaguars have an almost complete player in Sensabaugh. (If the price to resign him is not so horrible) do you wanna lose a developed player???
by Zoltan from Budapest on Feb 4, 2009 4:12 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
OOups
I don’t know how that line went there, I didn’t plan it: That part with the line is: I hope next year on the same date today, he will be"
by Zoltan from Budapest on Feb 4, 2009 4:14 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The problem is...
you don’t really know if the price is right until you let him test the market. I believe Gene has already assigned a value to Gerald, and Gerald might not have liked the number. Therefore, the Jags are letting him test the market. If he doesn’t get what he wants, then I’m pretty sure he’ll be back. If he gets what he wants then we get a draft pick.
Let’s not forget too that these draft picks could be packaged together to move up in next years draft. If we start with our full compliment (7) of picks, then the extras could be used to move up or draft more players. It’s all good to me. I don’t see how this would hurt the team in the long term. Maybe next year yes, but not the long term, and that’s Gene’s priority.
by JagsCub on Feb 4, 2009 8:09 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
what a drag....
Sensi is a hitter, just what the Jags need right now, but we will get priced out of the market. I know this after seeing Jamal Fudge play in one of the final games for Atlanta. He made a big impression on the fans just subbing in for a few plays. Gerald is not flying under anybodies radar. He will get scooped for a price that would not be wise for the Jags to match. What a bummer… It will be a break-out year too. The heartbreak of re-tooling.
Any guesses on the Freddy T. situation?
by Jaghomer on Feb 4, 2009 8:03 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Gene Smith said...
"We’re still working through that process. Fred is one of the many players we’re talking through as far as their futures with the franchise. Fred is a special guy. I have strong ties to him beyond the player he is. Wayne feels strongly about Fred, as well. I think he can still play, without question, and I think he can help any team in the league,"
Any team in the league?
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
by River City Rage on Feb 4, 2009 10:32 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm
Sounds to me like Fred is on the trading block pending him taking a pay cut
"I smoke. If this bothers anyone, I suggest you look around at the world in which we live and shut your mouth."-Bill Hicks
by FSBlueApocalypse on Feb 4, 2009 11:04 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You guys are reading so much into that quote…. Promise…. (However, there are always changes and options that are always open.)
by floridafalcons#63 on Feb 4, 2009 1:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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