I honestly think Smith is trying to find someone to get at #8 that wouldn't do what Harvey did, they'll fail and take someone who isn't in the best interest of the team, like 2000, anyone? 2004?2005? However he'll try and flip the pick and get past number 10, or 15 towards the later half of the 1st, the only time the jaguars picked between 10-20 and suceeded was 1998, with Darius at 20.
I think they'll go for the flashy pick and aim for Harvin, Moreno or someone flashy and end up having a half-dozen later picks that are worth more then the first, and probably the 2nd round pick this year will be better again, as in the years of one draft decider-person they have whiffed several 1sts away.
Coughlin's choices were Pro-Bowl sometimes but the last 1st round choice to make it to the ProBowl was 1996, Kevin Hardy. However Jones-Drew will make it by his 5th season, Mathis is the only since 2000 and he wa a 2nd. But dont care about the 1st, the Jaguars are like five-for-sixteen or something like that. Durant is a better contributor then Nelson (Nelson was left in the wrong application all last year, he was built to be a rover and had to cover deep which is diffucult for most 2nd year safeties from the SEC especially, like Guss Scott or even Micheal Boulware).
Obviously Lewis is not as important as MJD, especially given Wrightster and the emergence of the undrafted Estandia. Groves was more worth it then Harvey but the jury is still deliberating.
In 2005 Barnes actually did more then Jones for most of the time. Daryl Smith is just hmm a shade better then Williams. 2003 saw fourteen future ProBowlers including 4 drafted consecutively after Leftwich, the 2nd rder being Mathis, the 3rd Manuwai, and Wrightster the fourth. Actually the 2003 Draft saw five undrafted ProBowlers and Asante Samuel go in the late 2nd and the Jaguars passing on Robert Mathis, Cato June and the ....Antonio Gates!
2002 was better but did pick "Baby Boselli" over Clinton Portis, Brian Westbrook and Chris Luzar over Aaron Kampman. 2001 was a toss-up but did lose Steve Smith in the third and TJ Houshmanzadeh in the sixth, there were so many All-Pros Maurice WIlliams was a B in the group. 2000 was the one where Keith Bulluck went right after Soward and we passed Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila late along with the one eveyone whiffed (Tom Brady). 1997 and 1999 were toss-ups, but 1998 we whiffed outside of Taylor.
Thus don't worry so much about the 1st round