Let Me Explain: Compensatory picks are like trades

Listen to the Vets, Rook.
I'll be starting a new column during this offseason called "Let me explain", please list in the comments any obscure football concepts you'd like explained. Some of my planned articles will include: Restricted Free Agency, the year 2010 in the NFL, how to scout a lineman, how to read a defense before the snap, and the reasoning behind personnel shifts. Any others you'd like to see, or any of those that are especially interesting (or boring) to you, let me know. I'll adjust my plans accordingly. By the way, It's good to be home and writing again. So, without further adieu...
Let me explain…
The case for compensatory picks.
The Jaguars got two compensatory picks in this year’s draft. These were used to select Liberty RB Rashard Jennings, and Rutgers WR Tiquan Underwood. Whether or not either player makes the final 53 man roster isn’t what matters here, what matters is that we now own the rights to two players we wouldn’t have had the opportunity to see had we not been awarded the picks to draft them with. There was no chance either Tiquan or Jennings would have signed with the Jaguars had we no selected them. We gave two players in our backfield new contracts during the offseason, MJD and Montel Owens. Very few RB’s would agree to sign with a team who tied up their backfield as we did. WR was another area of focus both in the draft and free agency, and it is unlikely Tiquan Underwood would have come to a team that just drafted 2 top quality college players, and signed a future hall of famer.
These two picks epitomize the philosophy of Gene Smith and the future of Jaguars’ football. Compensatory picks (not necessarily these players in particular), are the future of the Jaguars. We will not resign players past their prime, we will not waste valuable dollars to prevent players from leaving in free agency, and we will not get involved in bidding wars with other teams. We will likely not get much in the way of compensatory picks next season, probably close to what we got this year (two 7th rounders). The signings of Torry Holt and Tra Thomas virtually guarantees that, however, this philosophy will take time to fully implement, as the debacle of the Shack Harris regime is only a few months removed. Big spending in February is soon going to become a thing of the past, and once it is fully phased out, expect multiple compensatory picks to become the norm, not the exception.
If you support the concept of trading players for picks, then it doesn’t get much better than the compensatory route. Think of compensatory picks as a trade you are making with the NFL itself, as opposed to trading with other teams. The real value of compensatory picks, however, lies in the pocket book. When you re-sign a player, there is almost always a signing bonus or guaranteed cash that the team has to pay out. When you let a player walk in free agency, you not only prevent yourself from having to pay out these big guaranteed dollars, but you force your competition to pick up the tab. On top of that, your team is award picks by the league based on the signing. Talk about the best of both worlds!
Contrary to popular belief, the NFL draft is actually 8 rounds. The 32 picks that would make up the eight and final round are all compensatory selections and are interspersed throughout rounds 3 through 7. If less than 32 total compensatory picks are awarded by the league, then the remainder are added to the end of the seventh round and go to the worst teams by record (one each) until the remaining selections are exhausted. The only downside to compensatory picks is a minor one; teams are forbidden to trade the selections away.
Welcome to a new era of football, Jags’ fans. The remorseless, calculating hand of our new Emperor is as reassuring to you as it is to me. We have a man who is a top talent evaluator making our choices. He values heart, character, and skill. He will not reach for need, and he will not be fleeced in a trade. Relax… Gene’s got the conn…
-Collin Streetman
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Welcome back!
I like the idea of the column. I would like to know more about the different techniques on the DL (5 tech, 3 tech, etc.). Which ones are best oriented to the 4-3 and 3-4.
Welcome back Collin!
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
I have a feeling this could be my favorite reoccuring column
On this particular concept I feel I had a pretty good amount of prior knowledge, but I can’t wait to learn about RFA and scouting guys.
Looks like
we will have an interesting series this year. Very good work Collin.
Now here’s my view about it. I agree with compensatory picks and the whole concept of rebuildng this team via drafting. Specially after this draft which looks like a very good one, and there is a good chance that we will remember this new players names for good for a long time.
Now let’s speak about free agency: Well I agree on that part, that it was the right time to end insane spending on risky players. Not to mention that 24 million dollar mess, what 2 players mean right now to us…
BUT! Free agency is a very usefull thing, if you are wise. If you make inteligent contracts, like the Jaguars made this year so far. Until you sign players in free agency, like contract, which says"You wanna be payed? Than you must produce on the field, BIG!" That was the Holt contract about right?
Of course, I don’t wanna see 13 new players (You think these are insane numbers? Just check who was signed so far in Denver…) But 2-3 proven veteran, specially in positions, where you lack, or have very few talent are always good. I think Torry Holt, Tra Thomas, and even Sean Considine will prove to us, why they were signed.
If you are a high character guy, a good teammate, you can still play in a high level, and you wanna NOT break the bank immediatly, then welcome to Jacksonville!
Until a wise men is in the position of the GM (and finally that is the case here at the Jaguars), then you are able to use FA wisely. Wanna see goodexplains? See the Steelers. watch the Patriots! When they spend, they spend there money with reason and wisdom. Learn that from these teams, and one day (I hope not far from now) you can reach their success!
by Zoltan from Budapest on May 3, 2009 11:53 PM EDT reply actions
Excellent point about the structure of contracts... You are right about that...
Unfortunately, low guaranteed cash typically means that a player either is coming off an injury, or is an aging vet (Tra Thomas)…
Guys coming off their rookie contracts who are proven players will always command more guaranteed money, and if you don’t pay it, you don’t get their services…
Sign players to plug holes temporarily in FA, but focus on the draft. That’s the happy medium.
The End Is Nigh... www.infowars.com
Veterans are not
means, oh they can’t play. Again as the Patriots. They sign Fred and Joey Galloway. I agree these players are patches for 1 at best 2-3 years, but that is all you need smetimes. Time,, to draft later a long time solution.
And more thing I left out: I thing 1 or max 2 times per 4-5 years you almost must sign a free agent for big money as well. It is good for two reasons: One fans in this media crazy ages need to be feed time after time. once in 3-5 years you must “feed” them like this. And 2 it proves to other players on the league, that they get in Jacksonville a good money. After the salary cap will gone, it will be a factor (sadly) But if you can structure wisely contracts even that can’t be a problem.
by Zoltan from Budapest on May 4, 2009 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions
it amazes me how jags fans are growing with the organization. we seem to all be on the same path
except for the “dummies”. they are everywhere
\
Zoltan, Collin was referring to signing guys to 30 million dollar contracts when they are 26 years old. I would wager the two of you agree but are on different sub-topics
1. dont sign expensive free agents
2. only sign free agents if it helps your campaign for BAP and you have an ultra serious need at that particular position.
3. incentive-laden contracts
4. dont abuse free agency, keep it limited
5. if your talent level has run dry due to bad drafting for whatever reason, or maybe your guys left in FA….then yeah, every few years sign “the guy” that fits the checklist of talent, character, and production. we do need the superstars to contend but lets not expect this to happen.
am i off here?
Surreal to be Teal
You know what though?
I bet Tra Thomas has a chapped ass right now. I would. He came in here with no signing bonus and with plans to earn his money through incentives. However, with Monroe and Eben drafted, he’s got a chore in front of him to stay in the starting lineup. If your not playing, your not going to make your incentives. It doesn’t matter how well he plays, in my opinion. It will only be time before the franchise wants their franchise LT to start.
How does that affect players like Thomas? Well, he’s screwed. He won’t produce, because he’ll be sitting the bench. His career might end here in Jacksonville watching from afar.
Thomas
well, I’m not worry about him. If he is a good competitor, he will see this as a challenge. He will push himself and Eugene to the limit. I think he knows, he’s best is behind him, these are his last 1-2 years. I hope he can be a force for us in this season, he will get the oppurtunity from Jack that’s sure. If he can show, that he is better then Eugene yet, than he is the starting LT. And for the worst case for him, he will mean something, that we missed sooooo much last season! REAL DEPTH at the offensive line, at LT, a very, very key position.
He will play this year. He will get the chance to show if really there is something left in the tank. I count on him, that he will handle the situation, no matter what will be for him. And in the end, he will leave the Jaguars(and most llkely the NFL)with a positive taste in his mouth!
by Zoltan from Budapest on May 4, 2009 2:50 AM EDT up reply actions
No
You are right!
I share Collin’s view, in every way, but I made some extension to it. Free agency is what drives fans crazy from february to match (then the draft buzz is in full swing). And don’t be fooled, every year there is 2-3 names that create posts from fans who filled Vic’s post to “why the Jaguars didn’t sign/trade” X & Y.
No matter if it’s Jason Taylor, Boldin, or whoever hits the market or there is a rumour that he is not satisfied where he is, some fans wanna see the guy here, right now. Imagine Torry Holt would ended up in Tennessee, what would be the reaction! There will be crying and “why the jags dindn’t pick him” all day long! Free Agents are a risky buisness (we see that lately…) but sometimes you can hit home runs (Michael Turner last year). That’s why it is something you just can’t ignore.
Once again, don’t misunderstood me. I would never be happy paying 100 million dollar to 1 player(even if it’s Tom Brady)!!!! I would pay a free agent big bucks, if I almost 100% know that he will be that good for me as well(Contract structuring-the best weapon a WISE fron t office got and must have!)
But I would take a big name free agent once in 5 years(with a wisely created contract, with an almost no-risk kind of guy), to satisfie the fans, and show the rest of the league: “hey big boys, I can do what you doing too, IF I WANT!”
by Zoltan from Budapest on May 4, 2009 2:42 AM EDT up reply actions
I love the idea
but I’m still a little foggy on compensatory picks. Do the teams that sign your free agents give you a draft pick, or does the nfl? What determines how high/low a draft pick you get?
Wow... that's a whole other article unto itself... I was focusing this on how Comp picks are like trades...
I’ll do a compensatroy picks part two, that will explain the ins and outs of what the league looks at in their secret formula to determine how many picks are awarded to a team based on losses during FA the prior year… it’s complex stuff.
The league gives you the pick. Not the team that signed the guy. The amount of money, production, starts, and age all play a factor in the number of comp picks you get.
The End Is Nigh... www.infowars.com
loooking forward to read that, Collin!
and of course i try to help to generate a debate there as well too!
by Zoltan from Budapest on May 4, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Here is a great indepth read
regarding the process. AdamJT13 has done this projection for the past 8 years with quite a degree of success. Here is a link to the info he has come up with to determine how the formula is used to determine Comp. picks.
let me explain
it will be cool to know about the tyoe of offense the jags run and how it has changed over the yeas
Very Intruiging sil,
I like the idea and can’t wait to log on BCC and see your next article. I got a suggestion for an article. Even since the early 2000s when i got interested in NCAA 2007, Madden 2006 etc. My Suggestion is an Article detailing the “Hail-Mary”. That play is one of my favorites, up there with the option and the “Bomb”, (the bomb would also be a suggestion, wink wink). I don’t understand why except in NCAA, Teams wouldnt just do for that pass. The last time i’m seen a play of its type was at Buffalo when WIlford caught hte ball with less than 10 seconds , last play, game winning catch. But Alas it was a short jumpball pass =(, Also, thanks again for your appreciation in the posts i do, makes me smile =P.


































