Time to black out the NFL's blackout?
By Tim Keown
This is on espn.com, and wasn't written by me. However, it is very relevent in Jacksonville. Considering we are facing blackouts this season.
The NFL's blackout rule has always struck me as one of the more self-defeating ideas in the marketplace. By withholding local television coverage in markets that don't sell out games, the NFL employs a passive form of blackmail: Go to the game, or miss it altogether.
This isn't an issue in most markets, but those of us in the Bay Area are intimately familiar with the blackout rule. It's just another of the many gifts provided by the Oakland Raiders. And while you might consider those in the NFL who devised the rule to be angels of mercy -- pay to watch the Raiders in person, or stay home and watch Colts-Patriots? -- just spend a moment considering it from a business standpoint.
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Jed Jacobsohn/Getty ImagesAs always, there are plenty seats and plenty of blackouts in Oakland.
It's a big world out there, and not everybody roots for their local team. It isn't 1976 anymore. You can pay a few hundred bucks and watch every game, every week, which means even if you live in Hayward, Calif., your kid might grow up to be an Eagles fan. Or a fan of every guy on his fantasy-league team (buy your insurance today!), in which case he's as distracted and split-screened and attention-span deficient as the kids at the skate park.
If the DirecTV package isn't in the family budget, the kid can sit in front of the computer and follow his Eagles while he's watching the Seahawks and Broncos on the local CBS affiliate. He can get text-message alerts on his phone every time one of his fantasy-leaguers fulfills his fantasy. Meanwhile, down the road, the Raiders are losing to the Redskins in near-total anonymity.
So the local team doesn't mean as much, or carry the same amount of power as it did when John Madden and Tom Flores wrote the playbook. It might be easier to get their officially licensed coasters and barbecue utensils at the mall, but that's about it. And if you're the local team, trying to market your guys to the kid in Hayward with the green-and-white Vick jersey and the fantasy-league fetish, you want to get your guys in front of them as often as possible, no matter how many people are in the stadium.
And no matter who your guys are, and what their record is, you want to showcase them as often as possible. Accessibility is key, and television provides the accessibility. It's a 3½-hour commercial every Sunday. But if the Hayward kid isn't going to the game, the only distance he's worried about on a Sunday afternoon is the distance from the couch to the screen. That distance is the same everywhere, no matter how fiercely your dad might believe the autumn wind is, indeed, a Raider.
Restricting access to the product seems antithetical to practical economics, but there's never been anything practical about the loyalty of NFL fans. But in the current financial climate -- California's unemployment rate: 11.9 percent -- is it still valid? Can the NFL expect fans in Detroit and Oakland and St. Louis to continue to support terrible teams run by terrible organizations if they punish them for refusing to pay inflated prices to see an inferior product?
The NFL says yes. Dan Masonson, a spokesman for the league, told me as much yesterday. "The blackout policy is not changing, and we haven't had any discussions about changing it," Masonson said. "It's been a successful policy long-term."
Would you believe the blackout rule was implemented only eight times last year? Hard to believe, but only eight games -- four Lions, three Raiders, one Rams -- were blacked out in the 90-mile local area.
We can argue cause and effect all day long. Does the fact that a game is not on television spur fans to attend the game? In Oakland, at least, it seems the sellouts are dictated by the opponent. The Broncos and Chargers sell out; the Bengals probably don't. The NFL, however, is convinced the policy is the thing. It might be simply coincidental, but they have statistics: 4 percent of games were blacked out in 2008, 14 percent in 2000, 39 percent in 1990.
"The purpose of the policy is to sell tickets, but it also makes televised games more attractive," Masonson says. "A sellout is more attractive to the networks and viewers as well."
I asked Masonson about an idea I borrowed from San Francisco Chronicle sports columnist Bruce Jenkins, who suggested the NFL suspend the blackout rule for a year in a nod to the economic climate. Not as many fans -- or corporations -- are as flush as they had been, so why not make a good-faith gesture to those longtime customers? It might also sway the kid in Hayward.
"We haven't discussed that," Masonson said. "We've worked with teams to address the current economic situation by creating some variable pricing plans. We're working with them on flexibility and options. Some teams are allowing fans to pay for season tickets on installment plans."
That's the idea: Add to your debt by paying for tickets over time. The NFL has numbers on its side right now -- 96 percent sellouts! -- so it's hard to blame them for sticking to an outdated policy. Masonson is very straightforward and friendly about the whole deal. To put it simply: It's not a problem, so why change it? The time might come, though, when they'll wish that kid in Hayward grew up with a stronger tie to the local team. If it frays, it'll fray from the inside out.
If I were the owner of a team that lost local TV access to the blackout rule, I would think it serves no purpose other than distracting my fans and making them fans of someone else. But then again, maybe it's all the same to everybody involved. To the NFL, a fan of the Eagles is a fan of the league, regardless of location. To the local team, revenue sharing means a cut of every jersey sale and ticket purchase anywhere in the league. So maybe the argument against the blackout rule is as outdated as the rule itself.
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25 comments
Comments
Wouldn't it be nice...
If the NFL developed on their website the ability to see any teams games from anywhere online? Games that have already played would be recorded on kept on the site for 3 days. They could set up a subscription model where maybe you pay like $25 a month for the length of the NFL season? Or maybe they could price the online service at the price of a “nosebleed” ticket. IDK
by Slvrgun on Aug 25, 2009 6:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
they have that, $40 for season. The soldiers could get it
https://gamerewind.nfl.com/nflgr/secure/registerform
very well written article, thanks for bringing it to my attention
LateRoundPick.com
by Surteal on Aug 25, 2009 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good Article, But I Am Still Not Convinced
I think we need to accept that the majority of Jacksonville prefers their football to consist of eleven games a season with plenty of blow outs, QB keepers, reverses, and marching bands. It really is pathetic, since on average the Jaguars field a good product in a good stadium at a fair price, yet people still don’t attend. We have heard all the excuses, but just a few; they suck, the QB sucks, Fred Taylor is gone, JDR sucks, its too hot, its too cold, my seat is too small, and I am a communist and I hate America (Ok, I made the last one up). For whatever reason Jacksonville has forgotten what it was like before the Jaguars, it was all Gators all the time and if you weren’t/aren’t a fan, well tough. Then Jacksonville got the Jaguars and suddenly we were a city that we were a major league city. We are going to lose this team if people don’t start attending the games. Yeah, black outs suck and I am not sure if they help or hinder the situation, but the truth is it probably doesn’t have much effect one way or the other……. And, I am not talking out of my ass, I renewed my tickets and plan on driving down from Savannah for all the games.
by Kingfysh on Aug 25, 2009 11:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
amen
what amazes me is how many gator fans there are that didn’t go to UF…where was everyone during the ron zook era?
by jlana24 on Aug 26, 2009 12:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
…sitting at home saying “…next year…” is where I was.
by nineohfour on Aug 26, 2009 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was a fan during and before Zook came
for why i am a non-gator alumni is because i’m not old enough :) steve Spurrier was the coach when i got into the gators.
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
by TheTealDeal on Aug 26, 2009 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pure BS of an anlysis
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
by Tkopa on Aug 26, 2009 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ZOOK put that 1st championship team together!!!!!
those were his players he brung in
by Elmer T on Aug 26, 2009 1:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
How's it BS?
Do you think the Jaguars are secure in this city with an aging owner and faltering support from the fans? If you read ‘Ask Vic’ he mentions it all the time, read between the lines he is warning the Jaguars fans that we need to support this team or it will leave. The NFL is a business and Weaver is a businessman if he isn’t making money or doesn’t feel that his investment is appreciating at an appropriate rate he will sell the team…… I also have to say that I don’t think the problem lies with people that regularly read Big Cat Country or Ask Vic, I believe that the majority of these people attend the games that can afford it. The problem lies with the people that make statements about buying tickets when the team is good or they get a better QB or the get a new coach or they draft Tim Tebow the messiah of football.
by Kingfysh on Aug 26, 2009 9:49 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
- Pure BS
Big Cat Country!:: The Official Home of the Unofficial Blog of the Jacksonville Jaguars!
by Tkopa on Aug 26, 2009 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Really? Explain how a region that still worships football is allowing its pro team to become part of a whisper campaign to move it to LA? They have reduced seating capacity as the city has grown, created imaginative ways to pay for tickets, built and maintained a quality stadium and on average fielded a good football team. Don’t blame it on the economy either since this is not a particularly new problem. The economy has exacerbated the current sales deficit, but it is not sole reason.
by Kingfysh on Aug 26, 2009 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
every team has its growing pains
then the fans realize that they can’t live without it and buy tickets and get into their team, in the worst cases the team goes away.
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
by TheTealDeal on Aug 26, 2009 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hate to comment because
I am a traveling Jags fan and not a Local. I have been following the Jags since 95 where ever I have lived. I think one of the aspects of the declining ticket sales is the casual fan like myself. I don’t believe Season ticket sales is as much an economic issue as it is a time issue. Face it… being a dedicated fan and staunch supporter requires a certain amount of dedicated time. I just don’t think people have as much leisure time as they once did. I have lived in the suburbs of Cleveland, Atlanta, Orlando (not much a sports town) and the city of New Orleans proper and bet I can count the season ticket holders to sporting events that I worked with or knew personally on one hand. I will make my travel again one time this year to support the Jags, but I think sporting leagues need to re-evaluate the upcoming fan genre and adjust appropriately what ever that may be.
by Jaghomer on Aug 26, 2009 10:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You’re right, it does take a fair level of commitment to be a season ticket holder and I agree that the key to this whole mess is the casual fan. However, I disagree with your comparisons to other cities. Most of those other cities have other professional sports teams vying for the publics’ entertainment dollar, so theoretically it should be harder to sell out a stadium. Also, I don’t believe any of the football teams in those markets is markedly better than the Jaguars. Until hurricane Katrina hit the Saints were rumored to be moving out of New Orleans.
I am not sure how you get the casual fans motivated to attend Jaguars games on a more reliable basis, but black outs are bad for the Jaguars and Jacksonville. I will not make the argument that the Jaguars caused all the growth in Jacksonville, but they do keep a little bit of the national spot light on Jacksonville. If the Jaguars were to leave a major PR machine for the city would be leaving as well.
by Kingfysh on Aug 26, 2009 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're right about the Saints...
I was there 3 years and Benson was holding that city hostage with threat of moving out.
I would like to know the numbers from corporate support from team to team. I would expect these numbers to be dropping too.
by Jaghomer on Aug 26, 2009 12:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If one these things happen the Jags will sell out almost every game.
1. UF and FSU both go under 6-6 for two years.
2. Jags make a playoff run to the SuperBowl
3. Another Superbowl is played here in the near future.
by kujo24 on Aug 26, 2009 2:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
i think two consecutive trips to the playoffs does it
LateRoundPick.com
by Surteal on Aug 26, 2009 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That and another player becomes the face of the franchise
Like in next years draft, which the team can rally along with, and also along with MJD.
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
by TheTealDeal on Aug 26, 2009 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or Maybe a Pro Bowl Player
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
by Bestjagfan on Aug 26, 2009 8:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about more than 1 probowler
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
by TheTealDeal on Aug 26, 2009 8:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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