At 3-4 the Jaguars are not terrible. The losses though, have been by an average of 25 points. The last two losses have been hard to watch and many fans believe that it would be optimistic to see this team finishing with a 7-9 record. Yet, looking at the state of the franchise and honestly believing that we are in year two of a rebuilding project I ask is it better to lose this year securing a position in the draft to get "the guy" and more young talent on a team that is lacking it. Also, with the new CBA it may be less economically draining to have another top "10" pick. Also, if the pick is a QB then we are at least paying a premium position.
Is it to early to give up on a season in which the expectations were raised to make the playoffs, and "win the division". Yes. Yet, this is more than a condolence piece to the ailing fans that are disgusted with the style of recent play.
If the current expectation of limited to no success in future games comes to fruition then we are looking at a 5-11 to 7-9 season. I think having a better draft position maybe more beneficial to the long term success of the franchise and for keeping the Jaguars in Jacksonville.
Typically having a record under .500 is going to give you a pick in the top 10.
10th pick in the draft and correlating record -
2007 - Houston Texans - 8-8
2008 - New Orleans - 8-8
2009 - San Fran 49ers -8-8
2010 - Jacksonville Jaguars - 7-9
With a final record in the 5-11 to 7-9 range it is probable we will get a top 10 draft pick. This may be crucial in getting "the man" here in Jacksonville. I have a feeling that the 2011 draft is the most important draft in this franchise's history and securing a higher position is crucial to get the players that Gene Smith wants. This is the year we should be putting some walls up in the metaphoric house that we are building through the draft.
This also creates my second point; it makes us have better picks throughout the draft to secure a young nucleus of talent for an explosively good and consistent future of football in Jacksonville. Let's say that we finish 6-10 giving us the 8th pick in the draft. With that pick we take the QB of our future.
Then we have the 40th pick, the 72, and the 104th picks. So we now have 4 of the top 104 players in this years draft and with Genes ability to find talent with the later picks we could be building a winner in Jacksonville. This is the most important part. Jacksonville needs a winner.
I believe that this city is a true NFL city that loves its team. Yet, it has won 1 playoff game in the past 10 years and has not had a top 15 QB since Marky Mark Brunell or arguably David Garrard in 2007. This city has been amazing so far this year with out a blackout in the first 4 home games. The energy has also been amazing. We all will remember this season for this.
Wait or skip 50 seconds to see kick. But that was a badass fly over wasn't it.
don't think a fan in that stadium will forget how great that game was. I also know that if this team was a consistent winner we would not have the controversy that we have today. I like the rebuilding that has taken place, I think that the 2008 draft class was superb. If the injury's did not happen to D'anthony Smith and Scotty Mcgee we could make a better evaluation of this draft class but in all Gene has so far done a good job of creating an ascending team.
Now to the boring / objective / economics of it all.
|2010 NFL Payroll|
|NFL Teams||Total Payroll|
|NFL Oakland Raiders Team Salaries||$ 152,389,371|
|NFL Dallas Cowboys Team Salaries||$ 146,401,600|
|NFL Minnesota Vikings Team Salaries||$ 133,354,045|
|NFL Cleveland Browns Team Salaries||$ 131,916,300|
|NFL New Orleans Saints Team Salaries||$ 131,531,820|
|NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Team Salaries||$ 128,815,061|
|NFL Tennessee Titans Team Salaries||$ 126,017,443|
|NFL Arizona Cardinals Team Salaries||$ 122,110,110|
|NFL Jacksonville Jaguars Team Salaries||$ 122,109,207|
|NFL Chicago Bears Team Salaries||$ 120,065,819|
|NFL San Francisco 49ers Team Salaries||$ 118,766,239|
|NFL New York Jets Team Salaries||$ 116,910,097|
|NFL St. Louis Rams Team Salaries||$ 116,677,660|
|NFL New York Giants Team Salaries||$ 115,816,180|
|NFL Miami Dolphins Team Salaries||$ 114,649,660|
|NFL Buffolo Bills Team Salaries||$ 113,364,927|
|NFL Carolina Panthers Team Salaries||$ 112,114,711|
|NFL Washington Redskins Team Salaries||$ 111,963,684|
|NFL San Diego Chargers Team Salaries||$ 111,813,340|
|NFL Cincinnati Bengals Team Salaries||$ 109,727,880|
|NFL Philadelphia Eagles Team Salaries||$ 109,557,398|
|NFL Houston Texans Team Salaries||$ 108,445,418|
|NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Team Salaries||$ 104,329,311|
|NFL Seattle Seahawks Team Salaries||$ 102,985,710|
|NFL Atlanta Falcons Team Salaries||$ 96,391,525|
|NFL Detroit Lions Team Salaries||$ 95,827,117|
|NFL Denver Broncos Team Salaries||$ 95,599,778|
|NFL Green Bay Packers Team Salaries||$ 94,018,300|
|NFL Indianapolis Colts Team Salaries||$ 93,373,915|
|NFL New England Patriots Team Salaries||$ 92,734,120|
|NFL Baltimore Ravens Team Salaries||$ 90,713,965|
|NFL Kansas City Chiefs Team Salaries||$ 83,623,776|
As you can see we have the 9th highest payroll of any franchise with almost 30 Mil more than perennial playoff teams such as the Colts, Patriots, and Ravens. This is because of the amount of money in 1st round picks. Derrick Harvey is a 13 Mil dollar man this year. Aaron Kampman is making a healthy 4 million. We all would agree that those numbers should be switched if performance paid. With the new CBA likely to put a rookie salary cap of sorts it is time to get an economic option at QB.
So I am ready to watch it unfold and enjoy the ride. I just hope that the Jaguars put a competitive product out, people put butts in seats, we calm down about firing Jack, and lose some games!
I kid about losing, if we finish 12-4 and make the playoffs I will shave my head in excitement. I just think that we are a team that needs talent in the most premium position and more talent on every position on the roster.