Possible Draft Day Trade Partners
It has been no secret that Gene Smith and the Jaguars wish to trade down come draft day and acquire more picks, specifically a 2nd rounder to replace the one lost for Derek Cox. To trade down, obviously there must be a team to trade up and there lies the problem. Unless a highly rated player on another team's board is available come draft day, the Jaguars will be stuck with their #10 pick and will be unable to trade it away.
There are certain criteria that a team must have in order to consider them a candidate to want to trade up. Most importantly, the team must feel that they are only a few players, if not one, away from being a Super Bowl contender. Do not expect the Lions to trade away the entire back half of their draft and their second round pick to acquire pick #10, because that just wouldn't make sense under any circumstance.
The exception to this rule is the quarterback position. If the price is right, teams that might still require rebuilding may consider trading up for a quarterback that they consider to be a guy that can be a franchise guy for them and lead them into a new era.
The option for the Jaguars to trade back will be largely dependent on the prospects on the board when it comes time for them to pick. How the first 9 picks fall will decide whether or not certain teams will be interested in trading to acquire the #10 pick. So we'll take a look at what teams may be interested in trading up if certain prospects are available.
Target #1: C.J. Spiller - RB - Clemson
Trade Candidate: San Diego Chargers (28th)
While it would cost a lot for the Chargers to move from 28th to 10th, their need for a RB is obvious. The 2009 season consisted of Philip Rivers carrying the Chargers through the regular season and into the playoffs with hardly any help from a running game. San Diego quickly addressed this issue by releasing both of their only two running backs with starting experience, Ladainian Tomlinson and Darren Sproles. While they will probably address the need in free agency, the need for a solid future at the position wont be found in free agency and needs to be addressed in the draft.
At their current draft position they will likely have the decision to draft Ryan Mathews or Jonathan Dwyer with the 29th overall pick. They will have to decide if the difference between either of those backs and Spiller is worth the amount it would cost to jump 18 spots to #10. Spiller did the Jaguars a favor by running a blazing 4.37 40 yard dash which could only boost his stock and value. In the Chargers offense, they value pass-catching running backs and Spiller is without a doubt the best in the draft class at that.
Target #2: Dez Bryant - WR - Oklahoma State
Trade Candidates: Miami Dolphins (12th); Cincinnati Bengals (21st)
One pick behind the Jaguars at 11th in this year's draft are the Denver Broncos. A team that in all likelihood could be without #1 receiver Brandon Marshall who they are looking to trade. Many believe that the Broncos will be interested in acquiring another talented receiver to take over the #1 receiving spot. It appears that Dez Bryant can be that guy. Any team that would wish to draft Dez Bryant would likely need to trade past the Broncos at 11 to ensure picking him.
The Dolphins cannot be happy with the wide receiver position. Davone Bess has been plus for them offensively, but he's not a #1 receiver and Ted Ginn Jr. isn't even close. The position will need to be addressed again and Dez Bryant is one that can come in right away and contribute a lot to their offense. The cost to move up two spots would be relatively inexpensive for the Dolphins and could net them with the most talented receiver in the draft.
The Bengals are another team in need of a playmaking WR to provide a threat in the passing game for Carson Palmer. With the loss of T.J. Houshmandzadeh in free agency and the tragic loss of Chris Henry, Cincinnati has been left with only one starting-quality receiver and no playmaking tight ends worth noting. The Bengals were even so desperate as to sign former Jaguar Matt Jones even after what some in the organization believe was one of the worst workouts they've seen. Golden Tate is a possibility for the Bengals, but Dez Bryant is the top talent at the position and as for character issues, we all know that doesn't matter to them.
Target #3: Joe Haden - CB - Florida
Trade Candidates: Tennessee Titans (16th); Pittsburgh Steelers (18th); Atlanta Falcons (19th); Houston Texans (20th); Minnesota Vikings (30th)
The Texans and Titans are teams within the division so the odds that the Jaguars would be willing to give Haden to them and the odds that either team would give up the draft picks to the Jaguars are both doubtful. The need is there though. Dunta Robinson will be gone from the Texan secondary next year and they will need to draft to replace him, while the Titans have to be sick of watching Nick Harper get torched. Secondary is the most pressing need for the Texans and Haden would have a huge impact on their defense. Haden would also have a huge impact for the Tennessee defense, but defensive end may be a higher priority.
Historically the Steelers haven't been a team very willing to trade up in the draft. But with cornerback as one of their most pressing needs this offseason, they might consider Haden to be worth the costs to trade up and acquire him.
At 19th, the Falcons need to find a #1 corner in the draft. In 2009 they largely relied on rookies Chris Owens and Brent Grimes and neither played well enough to believe they will be the future starting corners for the team. With Mike Smith as a friend of the Jaguars this isn't an unfathomable trade and maybe Gene Smith could hook him up with a discount.
For the Vikings to move all the way to 10th, the price would be staggering, but the need is definitely there. The Vikings were needy at the position even before starter Cedric Griffin tore his ACL which will likely hold him off the field until sometime during the 2010 season. They will address the position and have to think that they are only a piece or two away from a championship, especially if Brett Favre decides to return for his 35th season in the NFL. A team in that mindset is the most likely to want to get the best player at their position of need rather than settle with the pick available at their spot in the draft.
Target #4: Rolando McClain - LB - Alabama
Trade Candidates: Miami Dolphins (12th); New York Giants (15th); Pittsburgh Steelers (18th)
The Dolphins and Steelers both have a need for a 3-4 ILB and Rolando McClain is a perfect candidate. According to McClain himself, he is better suited for a 3-4 system and he believes he will be more successful in that system. The price tag for moving up isn't too ridiculous considering both teams are within 10 picks from the Jaguars.
The Giants have released Antonio Pierce and are now missing a central piece to their defense. The MLB needs to be filled and McClain would be the best person to fill the spot. I don't know how much of a connection remains between Tom Coughlin and the Jaguars, but you have to imagine that Tom knows the phone number.
Target #5: Jimmy Clausen - QB - Notre Dame
Trade Candidates: Denver Broncos (11th); San Francisco 49ers (13th and 17th); Seattle Seahawks (14th)
If Clausen lasts until the 10th pick, which is doubtful due to the fact that he is a QB and that is always overdrafted, he will probably be a hot trade commodity. The Broncos traded away their franchise quarterback to Chicago and need to find another one before they can truly be considered a Super Bowl contender. A one spot trade with Jacksonville would ensure that the Jaguars don't keep Clausen to themselves.
The 49ers claim to be set with Alex Smith, but a part of me believes that they would jump at the opportunity to get in front of the Broncos and take Clausen. The 49ers know better than anyone how valuable the QB position can be for a franchise after winning many championships on the backs of Steve Young and Joe Montana.
The Seahawks probably wont pass on Jimmy Clausen if he is available at #6, but if they do they might pull a Cleveland Browns move and trade up to get a player they passed on earlier in the first round.
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First of all very impressive article Adam!
Second of all: If Haden and/or McClain is there; unless we get the king’s ransom;back-Pick those 2 players!
Spiller: He is very interesting. I have no problems picking him; but if San Diego moving up for him-Do the trade!!!!
Bryant: Now if NEITHER Haden or McClain is aviable; then yeah trade down; let someone pick Bryant; and get a Iupati or a Price at the 1st. Then I’M OK with a trade.
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by Zoltan from Budapest on Mar 2, 2010 7:23 PM EST reply actions
Zoltan, buddy...
Wouldn’t Haden look good in a Texans uniform? :)
Realistically, the Chargers are the best bet if Spiller’s on the board still. Maybe they’d be happy with Dwyer or Mathews, but they should be willing to give a decent deal for the 10. Cromartie and a few draft picks (from this and next year) seems plausible.
I don't think the Jaguars would do a deal with the Texans or the Titans
As for the Chargers trade, I don’t think the Jaguars would be interested in acquiring Cromartie. Too many character problems for a team on a character kick. If the Jaguars were desperate at the CB position, then maybe, but they’re not.
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I have a feeling any deal San Diego does will include Cromartie. Or they’ll at least want that. What kind of trade do you think it’d take to get the #10 pick away?
I imagine they would want it that away
Well hopefully they could ship Cromartie off to another team before the draft and give them a few more bargaining chips to work with.
With their current picks it would cost a lot. I’m sure the Jags would give them a discount on the full value according to the trade value chart just because it would be such a huge trade, but even with a discount it would definitely have to cost a 2nd and maybe a 3rd. If not a 3rd then a 4th and a late round pick.
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If we are gonna target anyone
it should be at positions of need, and that doesn’t mean WR either. haha
I would target DL players like Price, Morgan, Brandon Graham
or DB’s like E Thomas, Kyle Wilson(If it’s real late), or Haden if he falls far enough
Yeah we have 2 starting CB’s; but really, most teams start 2 CB’s. And that’s especially true when playing the likes of the Texans and Colts.
As last year...
the Jags are in a terrible spot. It’s hard to see potential in someone wanting to come up. But last year worked in our favor with Monroe falling hard. As long as the Raiders and St. Louis are before us – anything can happen.
Great article, all seem to be likely scenarios
The draft gurus always get it wrong, a great player almost always falls down the board because teams draft for need or fall in love with players and draft them too early. So #10 is a good spot and we’ll probably either end up with a stud or sucker somebody into jumping up and giving us some picks.
Personally I’d love the Jags to trade down AND get Cromartie. That is a win-win.
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To the stronger or faster man;
But soon or late the man who wins
Is the one who thinks he can.
Maybe we should just....
Maybe we should just keep our slot and get Spiller. BAP right? We need another good back and Spiller could be the Latter half on what could become the best RB tandem in the league.
Also you can’t underestimate the immediate Special teams impact he will make while he’s being groomed to share the load. So Spiller should give us both immediate impact (which we need to stay alive as a franchise) and a 2nd solid RB for the future.
Finally, not part of my argument for him, just an added bonus: a pick like Spiller is exciting and might help spur the fans’ interest a bit.
GM Gene will definitely have his eyes on certain players. That being said, if we do trade down, it will be Gene looking for the to get put in the right position to draft said player or players, assuming someone wants to trade up and give us our desired pick.
Also, what do y’all think about Spiller turning into a Welker type player? Of course he will be a return specialist but I think that if maybe he sheds some weight, he has the ability to be an incredible slot-type receiver. And with our lack of someone like that, except for occasionally Mike Thomas, he could fit in perfectly for us running crossing routes, slants, screens, etc. Or is that a bad idea or a waste of potential runningback talent?
I'd rather keep him
as a RB that can catch really well. Making him a slot guy kinda ruins his value. Not to mention Mike Thomas’ value.
We could
Wait until the third and get a slimmed down Spiller like you said. Joe McKnight from USC. I think he’ll end up being a better NFL role player than college lead back. Though I’d put him in the backfield more often than the slot, he does have value as a legit pass catcher.
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I would say Spiller...
makes no sense… but I thought the same about Miami taking Ted Ginn, Jr and that seamed to work out for them pretty well. IMO he is the best of the RB’s and is a weapon on any team so to speak. It would be a good pick just to keep other teams from getting him. Normally, I say big men or QB’s in the first round, but C.J. is a top ten pick. We could go the all offense route like the Saints and patchwork the defense.
He is the only scenario I can see to trading down, but then he will be on someone else’s team.
HUUUUUGGGEEEE BUST
For a receiver, drafted 9th overall (hmm, that’s where Reggie Williams was drafted too, right????), you need to average more than 34 yards receiving/game after 3 years in the league. After 5 years with the Jags Reggie Williams averaged 29 yards rec/g.
That’s pretty much BUST!
Ignore the hype; look at the results.
if McClain is still on the board at #10
I understand that Pitt may have an interest in him — not so much in Haden since they drafted a couple of DBs last year — safety is of more concern in the D backfield for Pitt I think than CB.
19th to 10th wouldn't cost them a 2nd
But if you’re saying they’ll be more conservative because they have less picks, I can understand that.
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Spiller ran a 10.22 in college.
He has world class speed. I think Chris Johnsons best 100m time was 10.3.
Yeah
but your comparing Johnson’s high school time to Spillers college time. And eve then they are only a split second difference. Which is almost nothing for such a long race.
I didn't know where to put it, but...
In last day or two teams have cut some decent player that could help us a lot.
I would like to see some action in FA and unrestricted free agent area.

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