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Around SBN: Upon Further Review: Bo Knows Longreads

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars Should Draft Clausen With the 10th Overall Pick


Yesterday I wrote a story about how the Jacksonville Jaguars should draft Jimmy Clausen if he's available at pick 10. It revolved around a lot of side-bar reasons, such as the fact that Jacksonville has ignored the position since 2003, the last time the Jaguars drafted a quarterback, and some other reasons such as tickets and job security.

Well, now I am going to tell you exactly why he should be drafted at pick 10.

Star-divide

I'll mention, but I'm not going to rehash some of the reasons I mentioned yesterday. Aside from the talent standpoint of Jimmy Clausen, here are a few non-talent reasons to draft him.

  • Drafting Clausen will address a position that's been ignored longer than any other NFL team.
  • Drafting Clausen will sell tickets and energize a portion of the fan base.
  • Drafting Clausen will put Garrard on notice and legitimately challenge him.
  • Drafting Clausen will buy Jack Del Rio and Gene Smith security.

There are a lot more pros to Jimmy Clausen's game than their are cons. First of all, he was very productive his sophomore and junior season on a Notre Dame team that really wasn't all that talented. In Clausen's sophomore season at Notre Dame he had more turnovers than one would like to see, but his improvement from 2008 to 2009 was monumental.

YEAR CMP ATT CMP % YARDS YPA TD INT RAT
2008 268 440 60.9 3172 7.21 25 17 132.49
2009 289 425 68.0 3722 8.76 28 4 161.43

As you can see, statistically Clausen got better across the board from his sophomore season to his junior season, which is to be expected from a big time quarterback prospect.  What should first jump out from comparing those two seasons is how much better his decision making has gotten. He completed a significantly higher percentage of passes, more touchdowns, and significantly less interceptions all while throwing less passes than the previous season.

Another positive from look at the raw numbers of Notre Dame is the fact that they really did not have a running game to fall back on. In 2008 their leading rusher (Armando Allen) had only 585 rushing yards. In 2009 their leading rusher (Armando Allen, again) improved but still had only 697 rushing yards.  Part of the reason Allen's rushing numbers jumped is because of the success of the passing game and Jimmy Clausen.  Teams needed to back off defensively to better defend the passing attack, which naturally opens running lanes by unclogging the box.

While Clausen did have a talented receivers in Golden Tate and Michael Floyd, neither is looking to be a top flight player in the NFL.  Golden Tate is a fringe first round pick right now, and most scouts peg him as a slot wide receiver at the next level.  Michael Floyd should project well to the next level, but he was injured much of the 2009 season, which left Clausen with essentially one weapon in the passing game, of which both he and Tate were still wildly successful statistically.  This wasn't a case of a quarterback strictly benefiting from having a loaded team offensively, a la Matt Leinart.

Some of the concerns with Jimmy Clausen have to do with his intangibles.  Many feel he's not a "winner" yet is very cocky.  I don't have so much a problem with the "cocky" label for Clausen.  He's a southern California kid who was highly recruited by the best schools in the nation and ranked as the No. 1 quarterback prospect out of high school... I'd kind of expect him to have a big head. Some call is cockiness, I call it moxie. He feels that he is the best at his position and can get the job done.  I don't really view that as a bad thing.  As far as the "not being a winner" stigma that seems to be attached to him... he doesn't play defense.  Offense at Notre Dame under Jimmy Clausen and Charlie Weiss was never the issue, it was always defensively.  Notre Dame simply couldn't score enough to win a lot of their football games.  It wasn't an issue of Clausen not performing either.  In the majority of Notre Dame's losses, Clausen generally had impressive games.

Some of Clausen's biggest positives are exactly what you look for when projecting a quarterback to the next level.  One huge positive, as we all know, is the fact that he played his whole collegiate career in a pro-style offense.  This will ease his transition to the pro game, as he's accustomed to taking snaps under center and 3, 5, 7 step drops. He's comfortable reading a defense from his drop back and after turning his back to the defense on play-action.  He is also deadly accurate.  While many quarterbacks coming from the NCAA post almost video game-esque completion percentages, rarely is it from making NFL style throws.  In Clausen's case, the majority of his throws were not short timing patterns, short slants, and bubble screens.  While Clausen doesn't have a rocket for an arm, it's good enough.  He has enough zip on the deep out patterns and can push the football down the field when necessary.  I would compare his arm to that of Mark Sanchez of the New York Jets, whom many questioned entering the draft last season.  Sanchez did not have much issue in the New York weather and arm strength. His decision making has been fantastic as he progressed through college and mechanically he's exactly what you're looking for.

There are a lot of comparisons made between Clausen and his predecessor at Notre Dame, Brady Quinn, who so far has been a complete bust in the NFL.  To be fair to Quinn, he really hasn't been given a real chance at the NFL level, but I still don't feel he'll amount to much.  That being said, Quinn and Clausen went to the same school and played quarterback... which is about where the similarities end.  Clausen was highly touted coming out of high school and Quinn kind of burst on to the scene in Charlie Weiss' system.  He always looked like a system quarterback and never really improved one year to the next.  Quinn looked nearly identical both seasons.  Clausen also has a much stronger arm than Brady Quinn, better mechanics, pocket presence, and is much more accurate than Quinn ever was a Notre Dame.  Quinn also had the luxury of a real running threat in Darius Walker, who ran for over 1,000 yards in his final two seasons with the Irish.

All in all Clausen isn't a perfect quarterback prospect for the NFL, but who is?  Clausen is however, exactly the type of quarterback Jacksonville needs. He's a pocket passer who can punish teams with his accuracy and decision making.  He would also have a nice nucleus of young players on the offensive line, receiver position, tight end position, and runningback position to grow with. If Gene Smith feels like Clausen can be the quarterback of the future for the Jaguars, he should jump on the chance to draft him 10th overall if the opportunity presents itself. Of course, if the Jaguars brass do not feel Clausen is the answer or are blown away with a trade offer, they should pass on him.  I tend to think Clausen will be long gone by the time Jacksonville picks and it may be moot, but there is an outside chance another quarterback could fall in his lap.

Now, let's look at some Pros and Cons of Jimmy Clausen from some draft sites around the web:

Courtesy of Draftbible.com:

Pros: Clausen has an NFL arm and throws one of the prettiest deep balls of any quarterback in the nation. Just as impressive has been his toughness fighting through turf toe and a bruised hand, not to mention his clutch play in the fourth quarter. Many of Notre Dame’s wins have been of the come from behind variety.

Cons: He doesn’t always use the whole field and many of his numbers come courtesy of acrobatic catches made by his talented wide outs.

Courtesy of Mockingthedraft.com:

Accuracy: Clausen has the incredible ability to complete just about every pass of 15 yards or less. Puts very good touch and zips on his short and intermediate throws. When his deep pass is on, he leads the receiver well. Needs to improve his trajectory on deep throws. His throws tend to come in low on deeper passes. Can throw on the move well and his passes don't lose a lot of velocity. Completed 68 percent of his passes as a junior.

Arm strength: While Clausen's arm is strong enough for the NFL, he can't accurately make all deep throws. On deep outs Clausen will take some zip off the ball and not deliver it as quickly. It will also take him a while to get deep passes out as he has to rely on his body to get the ball out. His arm will never be confused for Joe Flacco's or Matt Stafford's, but it's every bit as strong as Mark Sanchez's.

Athleticism/mobility: Clausen has good quickness in the pocket to slip around rushers and get rid of the ball. When he's on the move, Clausen needs to do a better job of securing the ball while he's on the move. Players at the next level will be more capable of stripping the ball away. Won't make a lot of deep runs in the open field. Runs mostly erect.

Decision making: Rarely will you see Clausen throw into bad coverage situations. Even when he does, he tends to put the ball only where his receiver can catch it. Intelligently throws away passes instead of passing into coverage or taking a sack.

Field vision: Works through his progressions better than just about any quarterback in college football. This is a display of his excellent football intelligence. When Clausen's first two reads are unavailable, he frequently found tight end Kyle Rudolph or checked off to a running back. As a junior, Clausenreally improved his ability to move safeties with his eyes.

Mechanics: Possesses a quick, smooth delivery. Has a slight windup, but it's very correctable. Looks to have great balance and control driving back from under center. Quickly gets his feet into position. Clearly most comfortable in five-step drops. Where Clausen could improve is planting his feet in the ground. He'll frequently shuffle his feet in the pocket.

Pocket awareness/poise: Clausen is generally calm and poised in the pocket, but he'll often get antsy and start shuffling his feet around. This was especially evident following a mid-season foot injury. Loses some steam on his passes in the face of pressure when he tries to get rid of the ball more quickly.

Final word: After Notre Dame fired head coach Charlie Weis, there was no reason for Clausen to return to school. Playing for a new coach, Clausen's pro potential could have only struggled by switching offensive systems. He also would have risked injury.

Poll
Should we draft Jimmy at #10?
Absolutely, if he even makes it there!
223 votes
No way... Too much risk, and he won't sell tickets
126 votes

349 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 43 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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He will be taken loooooong before the Jags pick

So I think this article is a bit of waste of time….

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Apr 2, 2010 9:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Not so fast Zoltan...

Word is… Colt McCoy had a better workout than Sam Bradford. If this is the case, McCoy may actually become the 2nd best QB over Clausen and he truly could be be available at our pick.

In the face of adversity, what you do from then on dictates who you really are...

by JagsNguyen on Apr 2, 2010 9:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

IMO though... I'm pretty sold on us drafting McClain

In the face of adversity, what you do from then on dictates who you really are...

by JagsNguyen on Apr 2, 2010 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm too

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Apr 2, 2010 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah

That is true

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Apr 2, 2010 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Word

McCoy needs to change positions.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gadget player

Punt returner, water boy…

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dome

Doesn’t make that much of a difference.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh come on.

That’s not really fair. What has he ever done to you? I’d say he’s comparable to at least a damp paper towel.

by Kbot on Apr 2, 2010 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

you can't be serious

There is no way Colt McCoy breaks into the first round. Also from what I’ve heard, Bradford had a better workout that McCoy

by sgillespie on Apr 2, 2010 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I have been...

pushing for McCoy for awhile now. I think he is the best quarterback in this draft and would do well in Jax. He will definitely have the MJD chip that he has always been in someones shadows and has something to prove.

by hokiewolf on Apr 5, 2010 6:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

The fact that Clausen will have interviewed with 4 other teams before the Jags pick will be telling.

If he’s still there at 10 than he did something really wrong.

Currently Playing: God of War III
PS3 ID: Nole1021

by Jonathan Loesche on Apr 2, 2010 9:35 AM EDT reply actions  

*FIST PUMP*

frankDUBZ aka Frank Silba

"You have to stand for something, or you will fall for anything" - Me

by FRANKdubz on Apr 2, 2010 9:55 AM EDT reply actions  

All comes down to Gene's board

I am in the draft one of the top two safeties boat, but if Gene takes Clausen at ten for me that would be the next best thing. Clausen’s offensive line at Notre Dame was garbage. He was always getting knocked down, and always got right back up. He is a really tough kid, and such a competitor I just don’t see him failing at the next level.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 10:53 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm all for us drafting Clausen...

But not at #10, and not just because we haven’t drafted a QB in years. We have much bigger needs than QB right now, and even as BAP I don’t believe he’s worth the 10th pick, and we won’t have another pick until the 3rd round if we draft him there.

I believe he will fall, a la Brady Quinn, and he’ll be available later in the first round for us if we can trade back. Otherwise, we need to go defense.

Life's battles don't always go
To the stronger or faster man;
But soon or late the man who wins
Is the one who thinks he can.

by JagGameFace on Apr 2, 2010 10:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Brady Quinn's

Fall was so publicized by the media because they had overrated him; NFL teams knew he wasn’t worth anything. Clausen has a lot more ability. I don’t think he falls past 15-16.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

He is this year's Mark Sanchez

and QBs are overdrafted

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Apr 2, 2010 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not

Many teams in the top five are going to take QBs. St. Louis will probably take Suh, and many think that Bradford will be the first off the board anyway. Clausen is better, but for some reason everyone loves Bradford. Tell you the truth all of this is speculation. Except for Suh, Gerald McCoy, and Okung we have no idea who will be going in the top ten.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Start by who will go for sure.

We know right off the bat Suh, McCoy and Bradford are gone.

by Slvrgun on Apr 2, 2010 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

True

But even Berry could be argued against. Top ten safeties don’t have a good record going for them.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd

Love for him to fall to Jacksonville though. He’d instantly start if not at free safety, than somewhere in the secondary. He can play everything.

If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik

by Bestjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 10:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

This would be the "Eugene Monroe Scenario"

Meaning a player never expected to fall in our laps is actually available. Contrary to last year I believe the play this time around would be to trade the pick for a late first & second round pick. It would be a no-brainer for Gene et al considering the front end talent of this draft and the potential QB talent available in the 2011 draft. That said, there is no way Clausen is there.

by VTjagfan on Apr 2, 2010 10:54 AM EDT reply actions  

I agree

The Jags can use a guy that can pass the ball from the pocket.

Clausen is severely underrated and IMO will be the best QB from the 2010 class.

by mclaren_is_the_best on Apr 2, 2010 11:20 AM EDT reply actions  

I hope GM Gene drafts Clausen

If and only if he is the top rated player on his board

by sgillespie on Apr 2, 2010 12:20 PM EDT reply actions  

less than 3 weeks

needs to hurry so we can stop talking scenarios and start analyzing what did happen!

by J-Villain on Apr 2, 2010 12:57 PM EDT reply actions  

I like the "Eugene Monroe" Scenario

Can you imagine if a talent like Suh or McCoy drops to us? Gene would certainly not let that pick go at that point. If Clausen is available, we wil trade the pick because teams will be desperate, which is what you want. I like the 10 spot because it will breed someone desperate or smart (Eagles or Patriots) who have multiple picks in rounds 2 – 4 and can make a deal without hurting their draft. How would Suh look in teal?

by DeeMoe on Apr 2, 2010 3:02 PM EDT reply actions  

He won't sell tickets for us

But I do hope he falls to 10. That will help us sell tickets in a round about way.

Vae Victis!

by viator on Apr 2, 2010 5:21 PM EDT reply actions  

I get what you're getting at

and I do want to trade down. But not for him, especially not in the second round.

by Ewdtrey on Apr 2, 2010 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

No not second

But you’re hounding the right scent.

Vae Victis!

by viator on Apr 2, 2010 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am involved in a Mock Draft at Pride of Detroit and Clausen was available at #10.

I picked…….sorry, can’t say as my pick will not be posted until tomorrow at 11:00 AM.
But I am surprised by the high percentage of voters who say that you should take Clausen.

Don’t get me wrong, I am not a Clausen hater and frankly am very surprised that our mock has bypassed him until # 10. He is by far the best value available and I just do not see all of Washington, Seattle, Cleveland, Oakland, and Buffalo passing on him.

But I don’t see that the Jags are in the market for a new QB. Garrard is only 32 and has done pretty well without many weapons, besides MJD, to work with. I would think that you would want to give him a chance with a better team and if you draft a QB, draft one who is a bit of a project and may take a couple of years to season. Nudge, nudge. Wink, wink.

by NorthLeft12 on Apr 2, 2010 8:12 PM EDT reply actions  

I wouldn't say

that I want a project, but I’d rather have someone with some more upside. And someone I actually like outside of football.

by Ewdtrey on Apr 3, 2010 4:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

By the way, congrats Alfie!

And thanks to RCR for all his hard work on this excellent site. It has made me a Jags fan. Well, after my beloved Lions.

by NorthLeft12 on Apr 2, 2010 8:14 PM EDT reply actions  

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