Jaguars' 2011 Rookie Prognostications: CB Rod Issac
With an end to the lockout seemingly just around the bend, the time has come to take a look at this years draft picks. The Jaguars had five picks in the 2011 draft, each of whom I will discuss in this series. Rookie prognostications will include a look at the position(s) the player plays, his skill set, and his competition for playing time. I'll predict several key statistics and include a primary position as well. Any sort of prognostication is only one person's best guess and cannot factor in injuries and free agents who have not been signed yet.
With that said, let's look at the Jaguars draft picks (in reverse order) starting with 5th round pick, CB Rod Issac.
Rod Issac, the defensive back from Middle Tennessee State, was picked with the 16th pick in the 5th round (147 overall). He did not get invited to the NFL combine, but had a good pro day. He ran a 4.41 40 yard dash, but showed good acceleration with a 1.56 ten-yard split. He also showed off his almost 34-inch vertical. From what I can see, he's got pretty good change of direction skills and, more importantly, Issac likes to hit.I don't imagine that the Jaguars will be looking to add any pieces at the Cornerback position in free agency. The team has come out in support of its two starters at corner after some troubles in the secondary last year. The teams sees the Safety position as the trouble spot.
I think Issac will quickly find himself a place on the kickoff team. He won't start at corner, since the two starting spots are already taken by two established starters in Derek Cox and Rashean Mathis. Issac will primarily compete for the role of Nickel corner with Tyron Brackenridge (who saw some time at Safety last year as well) and William Middleton. I believe the team would like for Issac to earn the Nickel spot, and I believe he will. Neither Brackenridge or Middleton are really anything special and Issac should find his way on the field pretty quickly. Worst case scenario, Issac takes over at nickel corner after 6-8 weeks have gone by, but that would only happen if Issac struggles with the playbook.
As for my predictions, starting at nickel and playing special teams, I think he'll get on the field enough to get a decent tackle total. The Jaguars organization called Issac "the most physical corner" in the 2011 draft, so I can see the team sending him on blitzes and playing the run fairly well in his rookie year. Good COD makes me think he'll get deflections, mostly on quick passes in the slot, and I could see him getting an interception or two, though more through lucky bounces than superior plays.
2011 Predicted Stats:
Tackles: 30-35
Sacks: 0.5-1.5
Interceptions: 1
Pass Deflections: 3-5
Tomorrow, I'll make my predictions for the 121st overall pick, DB Chris Prosinski.
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" Good COD makes me think he'll get deflections... "
I know you mean Change Of Direction (or, at least, I hope you did), but it made me immediately think that a certain type of fish will give him super powers on the football field. I like my immediate thinking better. HA!
Sean
Pax Armis Acquiritur
"COD" does mean "change of direction"
I’m saving all the magical fish to eat myself.
Twitter: BLByline Youtube: BLByline
I'm willing to drink the Kool-ade, but I'm hungry for the truth.
by Brian Levenson on Jul 4, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Personally
I don’t think his change of direction skills are that great. Not bad, but not above average for an NFL NB; better than Middleton however but as good as say Starks was. I also think with the lockout and the fact that Middleton is a similar player already(Very physical with straight line speed and good on ST’s), I think it might be a little longer for Issac to steal the NB job.
IMO, Middleton didn’t really bring much to the table. I think with 4.4 speed and Issac’s physical presence, he’ll be in the picture pretty early on.
Twitter: BLByline Youtube: BLByline
I'm willing to drink the Kool-ade, but I'm hungry for the truth.
by Brian Levenson on Jul 4, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Middleton
didn’t bring much in the form of PBU’s, but he was a good physical tackler and he has the same speed and size as Issac.
Pass Break Ups is my guess
Here's hoping we have NFL football in 2011
makes sesnse. Thanks
You see the video of this kid running down a receiver from about 20 yards away?
Issac
Could turn out to be good value. It’ll be interesting to see how many corners the team decides to keep, as I wouldn’t be fast personally to throw out Brackenridge and Middleton. Both are aces on special teams.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
Right now, my guess is 9 DBs. 4 corners, 4 safeties, and a guy who can play both. That’ll probably save Brackenridge and Middleton and maybe keep Don Carey around as well.
Twitter: BLByline Youtube: BLByline
I'm willing to drink the Kool-ade, but I'm hungry for the truth.
by Brian Levenson on Jul 4, 2011 9:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Yea
That would make sense. We would have to go light somewhere else though, but we don’t usually have too many linebackers on the roster anyway.
I know Gene Smith wants to keep Carey around to cover his own ass, so I’m sure he’ll still be on the team. I just hope they let him play his natural position this year… corner.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
I really don't get that assertion that Gene keeps Carey around to cover his ass
Carey was only in the conversation for FS because he was the best of the worst. In my opinion, what Gene Smith did was the same thing as a baseball player stealing signs or yelling out “I got it” when there’s an infield fly. He broke “code” he didn’t break any rules.
Here we are writing off Carey after what was effectively his rookie year and there’s a lot of sentiment to keep Derrick Harvey? I don’t get it.
I don't want either of Harvey or Carey playing.
but I feel like the team will probably keep both of them on the roster.
Twitter: BLByline Youtube: BLByline
I'm willing to drink the Kool-ade, but I'm hungry for the truth.
by Brian Levenson on Jul 5, 2011 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm in the minority I guess. I think Carey can improve based on his baptism by fire last year.
Maybe not starter, but contributor, namely special teams.
Don't
Get me wrong, I’d love to keep Carey at corner, like I said above. My problem is Gene released/traded all the true safeties to insert one of “his guys.” The Browns raised hell when we “stole” Carey from them, I think he was forced into that role he played last year even more than we know.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
I'd like to see him
at NB. He’s got the size, physicality, speed/quickness, IQ to play the position.
So even if they make big strides toward improvement
you don’t want them ?
Or you hope that at their previous level of play, they’re not good enough to take up a spot on the roster ?
Here's hoping we have NFL football in 2011
too many people around here have this idea that no one can improve
I think Carey going through the rigors last year will make him a better player, whereas a guy like a Reggie Nelson faced adversity for the first time while a pro and could not shake it. He was all world at UF and from the looks of it, never changed his approach from college to the pros. Carey has natural ability and I think playing safety will help him in the future as he would in my view become that corner who spells Mathis or Cox for a few plays.
We all thought Sensabaugh was average, now he’s one of the better DBs available as a FA.
Agreed.
Anyone who thinks Gene Smith is going to keep a guy that’s not the best guy is foolish. He would actually make himself look worse by keeping him, and releasing someone better if that was the case.
Here's hoping we have NFL football in 2011
He already did
Traded away Reggie Nelson and Anthony Smith when we already had one of the weakest secondaries in the AFC. Sorry, I just can’t fall all over Gene and praise him about every move he makes. I still don’t get the safety trades, and I still don’t get the releasing of Drayton Florence.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
I'm not saying every move he makes is right
but you’re suggesting that even though he knows he made a bad move last year, he’s going to hold on to Carey so he doesn’t look bad releasing him now. That’s just nonsense.
He released guys in an effort to improve. It might not have worked last year, but we pretty much knew Nelson wasn’t getting any better and the hope is that Carey idea is that Carey hasn’t reached his upside potential. If that proves to not be the case, he’ll be gone too.
Here's hoping we have NFL football in 2011
Florence was a turd. All he did last year was take Favre out of a game
He didn’t want to be here and the Jags didn’t mind.
Teams release players all the time. Everyone thought Coach Hoodie was insane when he let Milloy go and traded Seymour. Did it work out for them?

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