Why Jacksonville will win the AFC South

by Casey Byron Adkins on Aug 2, 2011 2:20 AM EDT

Jacksonville Jaguars have long been the Colts' play things. Year after year the Colts win the division and Jacksonville usually ends up crying.

Not this year.

Jacksonville will win the AFC South and here is why.

More after the jump

I am going to break this down showing why the other three teams will not win and then tell why Jacksonville will capitalize.

Tennessee Titans- The Titans have way too many issues to win the division. Their WR corp has no recognizable name except for Kenny Britt. They had Moss but we all see how that went. Their star RB is holding out for a huge contract and there are rumors they want to trade him. Their QB's are Matt Hasselbeck and Jake Locker. Matt spent some time on the bench last season and Locker just doesn't have the experience (the lack of talent is not helping). Jacksonville will place above these guys because they are more complete team. Their Defense should not place near the bottom again.
Houston Texans- The paper champs it appears. I even had these guys winning until recently. Yes they have one of the best DC's and yes the have one of the best WR/RB combos in the league. What they do not have is experience in the new system. It will be the defense that will be the Texans downfall just like it was last year. They have no reliable NT so MJD and CJ can run up, their secondary looks scary but we saw how that worked out (go find a video of "The Rebound"). Their defense is a 3-4 and is in their first year. Its going to be that lack of proven rush prevention that is going to place the Jaguars above them.
Indianapolis Colts- This is going to be short and simple. The Colts are nothing without Peyton Manning. Go look at the pre-Manning years and you will see what I mean. If Manning gets a season ending injury, their goose is cooked. The Colts signed him to a five year contract when I give it two before he calls it done. They improved their O-Line but fail to sign their first round pick because he "isn't proven". Well neither was Manning. They let Linebackers go as if they were the plague. Jacksonville took one of those LB's and I think good ole Clint Session is ready to prove a point. The fact they shuffle LB's so much and the possible lack of Manning is going to ruin their day.

As you can tell, the Jaguars should win. There are too many issues with the other teams. Yes the Jags have their issues but they are the most complete team.

This has been the ForeverRanger and I am out

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Comments

where are you getting the info from that we will

trade Chris Johnson, thats a stupid accusation

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yeah, i want some views...

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by Ice0ne (CAJ) on Aug 2, 2011 11:20 AM EDT reply actions

Agreed

as much as i think the Jags will be better than the Titans, I think the argument of not having a big name receiver besides Britt is ridiculous. Also, CJ has been in their system for 3 years now and knows all of the plays. He’s a RB so he doesnt really need to be in camp. Also, as a Jags fan I find that argument for the receivers yet again dumb considering we have the least amount of big names out of any team in the NFL at the WR position. Does that mean they will suck? no, but using that argument to prove why someone will not be good is dumb. I agree with the Texans, but until Manning misses a game, I wouldnt expect him to be injured during the regular season. Also, losing Session for him is not going to cause them to lose the division. It will be the fact that they have 3 rookies starting on the O line and that Saturday spent all offseason in negotiations. Just saying

by Dwalk1217 on Aug 2, 2011 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions

I don’t think they will win it this year, but I don’t think 1st place is all that far away. I think the roster is slowly creeping up to the level of a division leader, but I don’t know if they have enough differencemakers yet. Id say if the Jags were a TV show, it would be “to be continued”…

by Jagged Edge on Aug 2, 2011 12:50 PM EDT reply actions

So this prediction is based on Manning having a season ending injury?

I agree, and this sounds weird to say given the last few years, we are the most complete team in the division. But we don’t know how the QB situation will work out, I think its most likely that we will be making a switch during the season and who knows how that will affect the Division title.

by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Aug 2, 2011 7:46 PM EDT reply actions

Wade Phillips 3-4 does NOT call for a typical 3-4 NT.

A standard 3-4 is a two gap system meaning the NT has to be big enough to play both gaps around him.

The Phillips 3-4 is a ONE gap system because Phillips brings an extra linebacker on a blitz in almost all plays..

This means your DL actually functions more like a 4-3 line where you are simply disguising who the 4th lineman is.

This is why defenses under wade phillips have improved in their first year everywhere he has gone despite the “its a new sytsem” argument.

It IS a new system, but it is NOT the massive change people seem to want to believe it is.

Obviously I am biased as a Texans fan, but I see the Texans winning the division with the Jags and Colts duking it out for second place.

I think when you look at it objectively you can reasonably arrive at the following conclusion:

Jags Offense vs Texans Defense = Neutral
Texan offense vs Jag defense = Advantage Texans

At the end of the day, I just think that Garrard’s best days are now behind him and Gabbert is certainly not ready to take the reins just yet. I believe the Jags qb play will be the downfall of the teams hopes for winning the division.

"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."

by TexansForever on Aug 3, 2011 2:31 PM EDT reply actions

You got one thing right

Obviously I am biased as a Texans fan

by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Aug 3, 2011 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Pretty sure

Everyone here is biased… But me. Everyone else is wrong 0.0…

"Ha, I'd swear Monty you're the devil himself..." " WHAT, WHO TOLD YOU I mean oh yes... yes..."- The Simpsons

I don't know who bacon is. - Indyshockwave

by Candlebox on Aug 4, 2011 12:55 AM EDT up reply actions

Yeah

You can keep Clint Session, we really didn’t want him back unless it was for Vet Minimum… Not 30 Mil, he’s not worth near that much.

Whole thing requires Manning being hurt, not going to happen. Colts made the playoffs the most injured team in the NFL and were half a team with their 5th string safety starting. Unless Manning gets hurt or injuries royaly screw the Colts we’ll probably win it this year again.

"Ha, I'd swear Monty you're the devil himself..." " WHAT, WHO TOLD YOU I mean oh yes... yes..."- The Simpsons

I don't know who bacon is. - Indyshockwave

by Candlebox on Aug 3, 2011 3:40 PM EDT reply actions

And

We’ve been shuffling LBs for a years, and have been fine. We had replacements ready who are better than Session, we’ll be fine at LB this year and pretty much every other position besides back up safety.

"Ha, I'd swear Monty you're the devil himself..." " WHAT, WHO TOLD YOU I mean oh yes... yes..."- The Simpsons

I don't know who bacon is. - Indyshockwave

by Candlebox on Aug 3, 2011 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions

Are you in Candlebox?

Or just a huge fan?

Fidelis Ad Mortem

by JPQ! on Aug 3, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions

Psh

I wish, just a fan. You too?

"Ha, I'd swear Monty you're the devil himself..." " WHAT, WHO TOLD YOU I mean oh yes... yes..."- The Simpsons

I don't know who bacon is. - Indyshockwave

by Candlebox on Aug 4, 2011 12:53 AM EDT up reply actions

I am a fan.

I used to wear their CD out when I was in college. Good times.

Fidelis Ad Mortem

by JPQ! on Aug 4, 2011 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions

Your under me..You will feel the pain I wanna bring you...

You never change, Ya you never changed. ….A fu@#ing thing… won’t you cover me…..And give me shelter from the storm………….

"SALTWATERJAG"

by SALTWATERJAG on Aug 5, 2011 12:23 AM EDT up reply actions

I think the Packers had way more injuries than the Colts

by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Aug 3, 2011 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions

Nope

Look it up, Colts were most injured team. Packers still had their main guys when they played, most of their injuries (Fred Davis, Ryan Grant, Brunnett) were all guys who were replaceable to an extent. I’ll tell you all the Colts injuries right now… Number by their name is order on depth chart,

RB 1st Addai, missed over 10 games, 2nd Brown, missed +4 games, 3rd Mike Hart, missed most of season, 4th RB, Devin Moore, missed +12 games

WR 2nd Garcon, 2 games, 3rd Collie, missed about 8-10 games, huge loss, 4th Gonzo, missed almost all season, 5th White, 1 or 2 games

TE Dallas Clark- 1st 10+games, Tom Santi 2nd or 3rd, all season, Eldridge (blocking TE), 8 games

OL wasn’t badly injured, they just couldn’t get a rhythem…

DTs Muir 2nd, 6+, Johnson 2nd/3rd about 9 +,

LBs Brackett 1st (huge, huge loss) 4-5 games, 1st Session, 12 games, 2nd Conner, 6+,

Now onto secondary, keep in mind that these were largely at the same time…

CBs, 1st, Hayden, 8+, Powers 2nd, 10+, Tryon, 3rd 6+, Lacey 4th, about 2, Kevin Thomas ? (3rd rounder who was put on IR before season started, never saw a snap from him),

SS, Bob Sanders, 16 games (he played one drive the first game), 2nd Bullitt, 12 games (went out against the first time we played Jags), Jamie Silva 3rd ,16, Brandon King 4th, 15.5 games, which left us at safety with Aaron Fransisco, the worst tackler known to man…

And don’t get me started on little players that the Packers had loads off, all those players were pretty valuable. I’d be glad to look up a bunch of UDFA who got hurt in preseason, pretty sure there’s like 5-6 of those.

Colts injuries last year was unprecidented, I’ve never seen anything like it before. A team completely decimated at WR, S, LB, and CBs. And those are just off the top of my head, I’m sure I missed a few.

Sorry if sounded forceful there, just you go through that many injuries when it should’ve been a super bowl year just pisses you off.

"Ha, I'd swear Monty you're the devil himself..." " WHAT, WHO TOLD YOU I mean oh yes... yes..."- The Simpsons

I don't know who bacon is. - Indyshockwave

by Candlebox on Aug 4, 2011 12:52 AM EDT up reply actions