Unless the Chiefs beat the Colts or Broncos in the final two weeks, the Jaguars are very likely to pick second in the 2013 NFL Draft.
The Jaguars have just two games remaining in their season and unless they win each of those games, including a huge upset against the Patriots in Week 16, they'll be picking in the top two with the Kansas City Chiefs. Nine games behind the Chiefs in the strength of schedule tiebreaker, the maximum amount of games the Jaguars will be able to make up in the final two weeks is nine and that would require 15 different games in the next two weeks to finish correctly.
Therefore, the only realistic way that the Jaguars earn the first overall selection is if the Chiefs were to upset either the Colts in Week 16 or the Broncos in Week 17. That would, of course, have to be coupled with back-to-back losses by the Jaguars against the Patriots and Titans.
With just two games left to play in the season, here is the current order for the 2013 NFL Draft:
|#||Team||Record||Opp. Record||SoS %|
|1||Kansas City Chiefs||2-12||112-112-0||0.500|
|6||San Diego Chargers||5-9||103-121-0||0.460|
|12||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||6-8||110-113-1||0.493|
|T13||New York Jets||6-8||112-110-2||0.505|
|15||New Orleans Saints||6-8||116-107-1||0.520|
|16||St. Louis Rams||6-7-1||119-103-2||0.536|
*The Redskins' selection belongs to the Rams after a trade prior to the 2012 NFL Draft.
**Picks 21-32 are decided by the playoffs.
***Picks would be decided by a coin flip in the event of a record and strength of schedule tie.