2012 NFL Mock Draft: Valentine's Day Edition
by Adam Stites on Feb 14, 2012 5:20 PM EST
in 2012 NFL Mock Draft
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The 2012 NFL Combine is just one week away and well after a month since the 2011 regular season ended we're starting to get a good feel for the draft stock of most prospects.
So now feels like a good time to debut my second mock draft of the year, this time featuring trades. The average first round of the NFL Draft has about four to eight trades so it seems unrealistic to ignore them, although it's borderline impossible to actually accurately predict them. Click beyond the jump to see the mock and who I pick for the Jaguars.
2012 NFL Mock Draft (2-14-12) |
|||||
Pick |
Team |
Player |
Pos. |
School |
|
1 |
 |
Indianapolis Colts
|
Andrew Luck
|
QB |
Stanford |
2 |
 |
St. Louis Rams
|
Matt Kalil
|
OT |
USC |
TRADE: Seahawks trade 1st round (12th overall), 3rd round, 7th round picks and 2013 1st round
|
|||||
3 |
 |
Seattle Seahawks (from Minnesota) |
Robert Griffin III
|
QB |
Baylor |
4 |
 |
Cleveland Browns |
Riley Reiff
|
OT |
Iowa |
5 |
 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Morris Claiborne |
CB |
LSU |
6 |
 |
Washington Redskins |
Ryan Tannehill |
QB |
Texas A&M |
TRADE: Bills trade 1st round (10th overall) and 2nd round picks to Jaguars for their 1st round
|
|||||
7 |
 |
Buffalo Bills (from Jacksonville)
|
Quinton Coples |
DE |
North Carolina |
8 |
 |
Carolina Panthers |
Devon Still |
DT |
Penn State |
9 |
 |
Miami Dolphins |
Trent Richardson |
RB |
Alabama |
10 |
 |
Jacksonville Jaguars (from Buffalo)
|
Kendall Wright |
WR |
Baylor |
TRADE: 49ers trade 1st round (30th overall), 3rd round picks and 2013 1st round and 6th round
|
|||||
11 |
 |
San Francisco 49ers (from Kansas City)
|
Justin Blackmon |
WR |
Oklahoma State |
12 |
 |
Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle) |
Jonathan Martin |
OT |
Stanford |
13 |
 |
Arizona Cardinals |
David DeCastro
|
G |
Stanford |
14 |
 |
Dallas Cowboys |
Dre Kirkpatrick
|
CB |
Alabama |
15 |
 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
Luke Kuechly |
LB |
Boston College |
16 |
 |
New York Jets |
Courtney Upshaw |
OLB |
Alabama |
17 |
 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
Janoris Jenkins |
CB |
North Alabama |
18 |
 |
San Diego Chargers |
Michael Floyd
|
WR |
Notre Dame |
19 |
 |
Chicago Bears |
Whitney Mercilus |
DE |
Illinois |
20 |
 |
Tennessee Titans |
Peter Konz |
C |
Wisconsin |
21 |
|
Cincinnati Bengals |
Cordy Glenn |
G |
Georgia |
TRADE: Packers trade 1st round (28th overall) and 2013 2nd round picks to Browns for their 1st
|
|||||
22 |
 |
Green Bay Packers (from Cleveland) |
Nick Perry |
OLB |
USC |
23 |
 |
Detroit Lions |
Mike Adams |
OT |
Ohio State |
24 |
 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
Michael Brockers |
DE |
LSU |
25 |
 |
Denver Broncos |
Melvin Ingram |
OLB |
South Carolina |
26 |
 |
Houston Texans |
Alameda Ta'amu |
DT |
Washington |
27 |
 |
New England Patriots |
Fletcher Cox |
DE |
Mississippi State |
28 |
|
Cleveland Browns (from Green Bay) |
Mark Barron |
S |
Alabama |
29 |
 |
Baltimore Ravens |
Kelechi Osemele |
G |
Iowa State |
30 |
 |
Kansas City Chiefs (from San Francisco) |
Dontari Poe |
DT |
Memphis |
31 |
|
New England Patriots |
Alshon Jeffery |
WR |
South Carolina
|
32 |
 |
New York Giants |
Dwayne Allen
|
TE |
Clemson |
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Comments
I would look at Curry, Gilmore, or Sanu.
It’s starting to look like(to me at least) we may only come out of FA with one WR, which means we may have to use two of our higher picks on a WR.
Depends...
on who they get in FA at the WR position. If they get one of the top tier guys, then we should only need a guy who can grow into a legit #2. Unless the plan is to really get rid of Thomas, then we’ll need another slot receiver and that shouldn’t require another high draft pick to fill. Now if we don’t get one of the top tier guys in FA and it’ll be another committee type effort, then two high round selections don’t sound like such a bad idea.
Shorts might be able to play in that slot
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 14, 2012 5:49 PM EST up reply actions
Never considered that.
Sounds very possible.
That would be...
an excellent deal to make. It really doesn’t seem to be a player that is “lock” to be the 7th pick (barring someone falling), so to pick up an additional 2nd rounder would be nice. It also makes a lot of sense with Buffalo switching to a 4-3 (I bet they’re going to miss Poz now). That could be used to nab two second round talents or potentially trade back up late into the first. I much prefer the idea of having both, overall pick #39 and #42 than having one player between pick 25-32 though.
I like Coples
But out of all the receivers, Wright is by far the most talented, IMO. Everyone is talking Blackmon, but Wright has elite speed, and excellent hands, as well as superb vision (he was virtually a scat back half the time at Baylor). I like him a lot more—glad to see someone else does, as well.
If we grab a Defensive end in Free agency, I’d expect us to make a move down for someone like Wright. However, if we do not get a defensive end in free agency, I would expect us to stay put, and pick up Coples.
Either way, we are going to have some nice options available, and the choices (I know its early) seem to be in favor of our positions of need.
I don’t think we could go wrong with either situation.
The last time we traded out of a spot that team got on hell of a player (Washington Redskins picking up Ryan Kerrigan)
Hope we can make that same kind of move lol…
"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes
Give me Jon Martin at 10 please
Janoris Jenkins or Dre Kirkpatrick could be in play there.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
WR @10 is a reach plain and simple
Jeffey running a 4.88 as of latest report suggests he will not be near 4.5 when it counts. Blackmon is the top WR o doubt but he still s not worth the 10 pick.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
Can we get a link to this report?
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 14, 2012 6:19 PM EST up reply actions
holy crap thats slow
to me it doesnt matter if the forty was today or a month ago but the fact that he ran a 4.9 is inexcusable for a receiver. i betchya 30% of the people on this site could run that. pathetic
Cold Blooded
by Jaggaholic82 on Feb 14, 2012 7:17 PM EST up reply actions
Betcha they couldn’t.
You guys need to be reeeeeeeeeeeeeal careful with pre-draft 40 time rumors. I’d bet money Jeffrey’s agent put that out there so he looks great at the combine by blowing away that number.
idk 4.9 is slow
i ran a 4.9 in middleschool and im slow as crap. anybody that played football outside of the lines could probably run that
Cold Blooded
by Jaggaholic82 on Feb 14, 2012 8:13 PM EST up reply actions
4.9
is faster than you think. I doubt you ran a 4.9 40 in middle school. I’ve worked with a lot athletes around that age, and 95% can’t run 4.9
I am REALLY slow
and i run a 5.00
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
I am not sure it is going to matter a 4.75 is a 4.75 whether he ran 4.88 previously or a 4.75 previously.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
Controversy?
Yea I’d say so, the article says he was actually in an entirely different state..lol
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 14, 2012 9:01 PM EST up reply actions
The bad the about twitter..
anyone can say anything, no facts needed..lol
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 14, 2012 9:11 PM EST up reply actions
I think that would be a great trade and pick
but I’m also wondering who they would pick with the 2nd rounders
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 14, 2012 5:50 PM EST reply actions
i was saying in the two second round scenario
youd grab curry then criner or gilmore
Cold Blooded
by Jaggaholic82 on Feb 14, 2012 8:11 PM EST up reply actions
I think people get too wrapped up in supposed "value" and where a guy gets picked.
Personally, I don’t give a rats fart where we pick a guy, as long as he turns out to be a good player. 7, 10, 32…who cares??? If the guy produces, he was a good pick.
Fidelis Ad Mortem
by JPQ! on Feb 14, 2012 6:02 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
what do you think value is all about
it is about ranking how productive you think players will be. I think that Vinny Curry is going to be a productive player in the NFL. No way do I draft him at 7 because the level of production I envision him having is not enough to warrant that high of a selection.
Value is a very important thing and is VERY important when it comes to drafting players.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
Personally, I disagree.
All this allegers “value” is speculative. The whole draft is speculative. If you could GUARANTEE me that Vinny Curry was going to be a productive player, I would take him whenever my pick came up, because we cannot guarantee any other player is going to be productive at all. Andrew Luck may be a huge bust. Claiborne may suck in the NFL, or have a career ending injury. My point is who knows?
So, since the whole thing is a huge crapshoot, my opinion is I don’t care about these hypothetical “values”. Just one mans opinion.
Fidelis Ad Mortem
for whatever it's worth
I love vinny curry and think he will be the best pash rushing de in this draft.This guy was at a bigger school would be a lock top ten pick. I wouldn’t mind if we got him in the first round at all cause I seriously doubt he lasts into the second.
by JAGNUG on Feb 14, 2012 6:28 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions
Whoa..
Andrew Luck may be a huge bust.
Quiet down, that kinda talk will get you in trouble on SB Nation..lol
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 14, 2012 6:32 PM EST up reply actions
so you just hate the concept of valuing players more than others? I am not quite sure how you expect draft picks to be made. I mean I feel like along the same logic, you are opposed to having goods and services having different prices based upon people’s preferences and desires. You need to have some sort of value system or else nothing could exist.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
I just thought about it some more and I am really quite perplexed. If I were to tell you right here and right now that Marvin Jones and Jordan White will both be successful in the NFL which guy do you take? It all comes down to evaluating them and placing a value on each one. I see no way around establishing value for every player and making draft decisions based on the values assigned.
To return and expand on my economics example, say you have $80 to spend and can either get an MJD Jersey or a Derek Jeter(I thought I remembered you are a Yankee fan and see by your profile I am correct) jersey. Which one do you get? You must place greater value on one over the other one.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
Hahahaha...agreed. You must rank them according to each teams criteria.
My point is that even the most highly valued are possible busts. Teams obviously need to get what they think is going to be maximum value. But the “value” changes from team to team based on circumstances. Derrick Harvey had more value than Calais Campbell – according to Jags. ThT turned out to be a reall crappy application of value.
I guess, more specifically, my problem is with people saying you can’t take a WR or RB or whatever in Top 10, or you shouldn’t trade this pick for that pick…who cares? As long as you pick a player who is going to be a contributor to the team, I don’t give a hoot if he goes 2nd, 3rd, or 10th.
Fidelis Ad Mortem
Also, as for the jerseys...
I would not have to even think about it. The Yankees are my first and deepest sports love, and baseball is my favorite sport, nothing else comes close. Although, I wouldn’t go with Jetes, I would go with Cano or Mariano, or old school Mattingly or Pagliarulo.
Fidelis Ad Mortem
I would love this but
I doubt the bills would trade 2 second rounders to move up 3 spots.
by JAGNUG on Feb 14, 2012 6:03 PM EST via iPhone app reply actions
Just one 2nd rounder
I might’ve worded that weird, but I meant they’d trade their 1st rounder and 2nd rounder.
Follow me on Twitter
Even 1 second rounder
to move up 3 spots is kind of unlikely. We moved 6 spots in a QB heavy draft with a second round pick just last year, and that was unlikely/controversial.
Historically the difference between 7 and 10 has been about the same as the difference between 10 and 16
So I used last year’s trade as a template. I get the feeling the new CBA with a rookie wage scale is going to make trades like that more the par. Bills would move up to get the top 4-3 DE with a definite drop-off before the next one would be available.
I think you're right
and we’ll see more trading at the top then in the past. Now that top-10 salary’s aren’t ridiculous like they were before.
I think that trade is highly unrealistic,
no way Tannehill is a top 10 pick, he’s a 2nd rounder, who may be able to get him self into the late first.
Contributor at BCC.
"thanks for hating"
"Give it up now before its too late!…. CJ will be shut down? Nevermind, its already too late." AZ TiTan10
Which trade is unrealistic?
I’ll give you the Tannehill opinion even though I’ve seen some people guarantee he doesn’t fall out of the top 12, but that wasn’t a trade.
woops....
….thought the team traded up to grab Tannehill, so the trade is realistic, but Tannehill just isn’t that good if you compare him to Luck or Griffin, or Barkley. Well he is good, and should be a solid QB one day, but he’s too raw to be a top 10 pick. He has only started 16 games in his career. He can’t just come in and start, like most top 10 QBs can. He’ll need to be developed, and I know Gabbert was a top 10 pick, but Gabbert started 26/30 games he played in. 16 is an extremely low number, and I think Washington is going to be the #1 team after Matt Flynn, which is why I havn’t mocked them a QB.
Contributor at BCC.
"thanks for hating"
"Give it up now before its too late!…. CJ will be shut down? Nevermind, its already too late." AZ TiTan10
by rhettchrystal on Feb 14, 2012 6:28 PM EST up reply actions
and also...
…I think Buffalo trading up for Coples wouldn’t be a smart move. Because they are giving up their second round pick. Their defense needs a lot of work. And Buffallorumbliongs has their top 3 needs at…DE(pass rusher), 43SLB, WR…
Coples does have some pass rushing moves, but is not an elite pass rusher, and not a great pass rusher. But they can grab Blackmon, and replace Johnson or start him across from Johnson. If I was the front office, I’d resign Johnson and sign Mincey. Then draft Blackmon, and Travis Lewis in the 2nd. Both can start from day 1.
Contributor at BCC.
"thanks for hating"
"Give it up now before its too late!…. CJ will be shut down? Nevermind, its already too late." AZ TiTan10
by rhettchrystal on Feb 14, 2012 6:37 PM EST up reply actions
The Bills are in the process of transitioning to a 4-3
Pass rusher or not (even though, I definitely think he is), an every downs defensive end has to be priority number one.
Yes,
but I don’t think Coples is worth 2 picks.
Contributor at BCC.
"thanks for hating"
"Give it up now before its too late!…. CJ will be shut down? Nevermind, its already too late." AZ TiTan10
by rhettchrystal on Feb 14, 2012 7:56 PM EST up reply actions
Never count Washington out of doing something surprising...or stupid lol
Depends on how much they Really covet Coples and how many picks they have in This draft
by Jags85 on Feb 15, 2012 9:20 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
run on QBs could happen
and Tannehill can find his way into the first. I agree top 10 is high, but I would not be shocked to see him or Foles find their way into the bottom of the first.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
Foles
dropped himself into the 4th and beyond with his performance at the senior bowl.
Contributor at BCC.
"thanks for hating"
"Give it up now before its too late!…. CJ will be shut down? Nevermind, its already too late." AZ TiTan10
by rhettchrystal on Feb 14, 2012 6:38 PM EST up reply actions
he will need a lot of developing...
and its more like 3rd-4th round, because he’s not going to slide too far, with teams in need of QBs, and he has the physical skill set. I can really see Washington signing Matt Flynn, and if he’s there, in the 4th, take Foles, to develop.
Contributor at BCC.
"thanks for hating"
"Give it up now before its too late!…. CJ will be shut down? Nevermind, its already too late." AZ TiTan10
by rhettchrystal on Feb 14, 2012 6:43 PM EST up reply actions
IDK
I know he is not in charge of much, but Trent DIlfer absolutely loves Foles after watching a ton of game tape Could very well be teams will view Foles in a similar light and take him in the late first or second.
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
He didn't really drop himself into the 4th.
It was more like confirming what most who’ve watched him play beforehand already thought of him.
There are three players...
that intrigue me the most since I’ve been reading around about some of these prospects. They are Illinois DE Whitney Mercilus, South Carolina OLB/DE Melvin Ingram and North Carolina WR Dwight Jones. Not sure why but they stood out to me.
Without knowing the results from free agency...
I don’t what to think about a WR in the first round. I’d forget the trade and just take Coples.
i like the draft alot
looks very plausible, but i could see panthers wanting miami’s pick and vise versa.
all nit-picking aside Nice draft, i really hope we can move down if free agency goes right.
While I love trading down and getting Wright...
I just hate the idea of going wr in the first round when the draft is so deep this year for WRs. Conflicted.
@troycarson
It's amazing
how common this sentiment is amongst Jags fans. I feel like the team with the worst WR corps in the league should really want to make a play at a receiver in the 1st. However, it seems like the majority of us are reluctant to hope for that. I don’t know much about Wright, but I know that I would rather not take a 1st round WR this year.
'Twould be nice
but I’m not very confident. I do think we will go all out, because Blaine’s development is on the line. We’ll see soon enough.
I like the Wright pick though I'm still a fan of Coples
Wright is a speedster who can run great routes and catch the ball. The only knock on him is his size. If we add an elite receiver in FA then I would like this a lot more.
where's Blackmon??
No way he doesn’t get drafted in first round
by jaguars32 on Feb 14, 2012 8:51 PM EST via iPhone app reply actions
sorry meant drops past Jacksonville
by jaguars32 on Feb 14, 2012 8:52 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions
Wright very well could end up higher on Gene's board
"The dictionary is the only place that success comes before work. Hard work is the price we must pay for success. I think you can accomplish anything if you're willing to pay the price." -Vince Lombardi
Twitter: @JWGreenbaum
I love this!!
If Coples is a hot commodity and we resign Mincey and bring in another starting FA DE, lets use this pick to trade back, grab a 2nd rounder.
Gene can draft best WR he has rated, whether its Blackmon or Wright or Jeffery or Floyd.
2nd round we can grab both a DE (curry), CB(a bunch of quality corners second round), OL or another WR(jones, mcnutt, Jeffery may fall, ect.).
Sign Mario, Mincey, Colston, and Mathis and let focus on WR, CB, OL depth, DE depth in draft!!
Gonna be hard
to beat that 09 draft. Monroe, Knighton, Derek, and Jennings with guys like Miller and Eben with the ability t turn their career’s around.
I think this will be a sexier draft..
Meaning more skill positions and not as many Linemen, if any.
by Sylvester.The.Jaguar.fan on Feb 16, 2012 11:47 AM EST up reply actions
Seems like a waste of time
Until we see who the Jags and other teams pick up in free agency, there really isn’t any way to speculate on how the draft will turn out. It does provide some fun during the off season! What is really exciting for me is what our new owner is doing to build a winner in Jacksonville.
i would love
to see us trade down and recoup more picks. I think we would do a lot better value wise getting out of the 10 spot and picking up a few extra picks considering all the talent between picks 20-60
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