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2012 NFL Free Agency: Stevie Johnson, Bills "Far Apart", Tag Unlikely

If you follow me on Twitter or have read my comments, I have Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stevie Johnson as my top rated free agent wide receiver and should be the primary target for the Jacksonville Jaguars at the receiver position. Johnson is coming off back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons and has been the Bills leading receiver the past two seasons. According to a report by the Associated Press, the two sides are still far apart in terms of contract. It's also unlikely the Bills will franchise Johnson, which would pay the wide receiver close to $10 million guaranteed for the 2012 season.

I asked Brian Galliford of Buffalo Rumblings about Stevie Johnson. Click the jump to see his scouting report on the potential free agent wide receiver.

Star-divide

Pros: He's not a top athlete, so he's developed a fairly unique way of running routes, which makes him very difficult to prepare for and cover one-on-one. This same skill also makes him a dangerous runner after the catch. In a lot of ways, his style resembles that of a basketball player: his movements are off-the-cuff, much like trying to beat a defender with the dribble.

Cons: He's not a top athlete, particularly in the speed department, so though he can beat defenders deep, he's not exactly going to be the type of guy that can put up six in a heartbeat the way a DeSean Jackson does. He'll go through dry spells where his hands appear to be made of stone. Everyone knows about his tendency to draw penalties when he gets too creative with his touchdown celebrations. I really believe he's a system guy; Chan Gailey designed his passing attack around getting receivers to spots, and not necessarily route concepts, to accommodate Johnson's style. That may be a problem if a coordinator is set in his ways.

I also asked Galliford if he thought there was a risk about giving Johnson a big contract in free agency, given some people's worry about his attitude and antics.

No, there's no worry about giving him a big deal - unless you're paying for the type of player Johnson clearly is not. He's young, he's talented and he's productive, and his youthful shortcomings will likely fade away as he grows up. Johnson is a marketable personality, is married with children, and is great off the field, with the fans and in the community. He's a really safe investment.

All indications right now point to Johnson not getting franchised by the Bills, regardless of the outcome of current ongoing negotiations. That obviously is subject to change.

What makes Johnson the number one free agent wide receiver more is his overall skill set and his age. It's not often a 25-year old wide receiver with his type of potential hits the open market. He's put up nearly identical numbers the past two seasons, proving he's not just a one year wonder type of player like the worry would be with someone like Laurent Robinson.

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The closer we get to free agency

The more we really start to get an in-depth idea about the free agents. The less appealing they all start to sound.

Respect My Authoritah

So I'm an exaggerated screaming psychopath who clearly doesn't exist. That's High Praise.

by duuuvaaalll on Feb 21, 2012 10:06 AM EST reply actions  

It’s just over analysis and looking for negatives. Happens with the draft every year. It’s where the “wait until next year, the X crop is better”. Once you get close to pulling the trigger, that fear of failure creeps in.

by Alfie Crow on Feb 21, 2012 10:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Do you think the team

will ask Poz about him ? What he’s like in the locker room etc… ?

by pksiv on Feb 21, 2012 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m sure. By all accounts though, his antics/attitude aren’t a problem from people I’ve asked.

by Alfie Crow on Feb 21, 2012 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I’ve always been hopeful for Bowe and Johnson – and draft a receiver in the first 3 rounds.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 10:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Unfortunately I think Bowe will be Franchised

I just don’t see the Chiefs letting him go

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 11:00 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Yeah, you’re probably right. The Routt signing yesterday was a punch to the gut, I was just hopeful for that combo.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 11:27 AM EST up reply actions  

+ 1000

Both could actually equal or go fairly above the price of V Jax or D Jax. Sounds like a plan.

by DeeMoe on Feb 21, 2012 1:25 PM EST up reply actions  

GREAT news

One thing with Stevie is he hasn’t always had the best supporting cast or consistent QB play so I think what he’s done is impressive.

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 10:36 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

I think Johnson is a realistic target in FA

We won’t have to break the bank for him but still would be a great young WR to add. Most people are expecting the Jaguars to nab Colston, Bowe or Vincent Jackson but I think they might be tough targets to get and I think they might be overvalued, though obviously I would embrace any of them if they joined the team. To be honest I would really like the pairing of Johnson and Kendall Wright.

by kterr on Feb 21, 2012 10:40 AM EST reply actions  

Will he be much cheaper than other top targets?

I’m not sure I care about the cost if we think he is the answer.

by CheapSeat on Feb 21, 2012 11:08 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think he is going to be any cheaper than Colston or Vincent Jackson. As for Bowe, I have to think he is franchised.

by Fivus Viener on Feb 21, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

I am 100% not concerned with his "character issues."

Not even sure how two excessive celebration penalties becomes a character concern. As a matter of fact, I think he is exactly the type of “character” we need on our team – a bit of excitement without getting arrested in the offseason.

by CheapSeat on Feb 21, 2012 11:11 AM EST reply actions  

It's never been his antics that concerned me

It’s the lack of legit deep speed, I want a number one WR that can break the top off a defense.

Respect My Authoritah

So I'm an exaggerated screaming psychopath who clearly doesn't exist. That's High Praise.

by duuuvaaalll on Feb 21, 2012 11:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Who do you have in mind then?

VJax? Wayne?

"I don't know what we're yelling about. "

by kterr on Feb 21, 2012 11:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Wayne def doesn't have deep speed

That’s one of the problems with this WR class, the few true number ones out there will either be franchised or have some kind baggage with them. I’m not against Stevie, I’m just expressing my pessimism.

Respect My Authoritah

So I'm an exaggerated screaming psychopath who clearly doesn't exist. That's High Praise.

by duuuvaaalll on Feb 21, 2012 1:00 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Who’s available with “legit” deep speed?

by Alfie Crow on Feb 21, 2012 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Robert Meachem, Laurent Robinson, and Mike Wallace are the only three available

All are 4.42 and under in their 40 yard dashes from my google search of available NFL WR FAs…Meachem and Robinson would be pretty questionable #1s but great #2s. So it would be Wallace or bust…and we’re not gonna give away a #7 pick for him.

But what about us trading out #7 pick for a late #1 and early #2, then using that late #1 to pick up Wallace? (I know that’s asking a lot, but it’s absolutely doable)

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Instead of late 1 and early 2, maybe late 1 and that team’s 1 for the following year. Just an idea. I’d have no problem with accumulating future higher picks.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 12:47 PM EST up reply actions  

New England (R1-31st, R2-15th) or maybe the NY Jets? (R1-15th, R2-16th)

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 1:43 PM EST up reply actions  

What makes you say Laurent Robinson would be a “great #2”?

He was cut by three different teams last year before the Cowboys brought him back for the second half of the season.

by Fivus Viener on Feb 21, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

And he played well enough to warrant consideration for a new contract in that 1/2 of a season. Even getting playing time after Miles Austin came back from injury.

That’s impressive.

Also I wouldn’t say that he necessarily was a bad player deserving of getting cut with his other three teams looking at the situations. He got cut in ATL after having hamstring injury problems (and they had enough WRs in Douglas and Jenkins to let him go). He had a down year after fracturing his fibula with the Rams. Can’t really count that against him. When he did get hurt the year before he was their leading WR at the time. He then got cut by San Diego at the end of the pre-season despite having a 120 yrd game in the final game which simply could have just been a numbers game with their multitude of WRs.

It’s one thing to say that he’s injury prone. Valid point. But another thing to write it off as him not having good potential to be a good #2. I don’t see him much different than Juilo Jones (same height, vertical leap, and 40 time). Probably why ATL drafted him in the first place (both Jones and Robinson). If he stays healthy, I believe he has the potential to be what Jones is to Atlanta.

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Laurent Robinson is awful.

He had a halfway decent handful of games for Cowboys, doesn’t change anything. Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Fidelis Ad Mortem

by JPQ! on Feb 21, 2012 4:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Really? Awful? Lol...ok.

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

He's just as injury prone as Jones. and if he's on a team that has a legit #1 WR, I think he can succeed just fine.

Think about it…Jones was consistenly injured this year too…and he had the luxury of playing with Gonzalez, a great running game, and Roddy White getting all the attention on the other side. On a team like St. Louis even Jones would be a 500-700 yd WR at best.

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Agree to disagree...

Heck, if we did sign Robinson, Id wish for nothing but his success. I just don’t see it happening. My brother is a huge Rams fan, and constantly makes me watch their games and updates me on the team, and he was never a fan.
Like I say though, if we get him, I will get on the Robinson bandwagon!

Fidelis Ad Mortem

by JPQ! on Feb 21, 2012 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Lol...cool.

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 5:24 PM EST up reply actions  

40-time =/= deep threat.

I have a hard time calling Robinson a great anything, other than having a nice season on his third team in fill-in duty.

As far as your later question, Wallace will be signed somewhere before the draft.

by Alfie Crow on Feb 21, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Good thought here

Alfie, I was wondering if you have any DE’s in mind besides the ones who seem to either be resigned or franchised? (C. Campbell, Avril, Mario Williams?)

by DeeMoe on Feb 21, 2012 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

We can't make that picks trade now? Or must we wait til the draft?

I’m not really up on the rules involving trading draft picks…

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 1:36 PM EST up reply actions  

You can, but why would a team make that trade now?

by Alfie Crow on Feb 21, 2012 3:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Good question. Only if the team making the trade let them know it had to be made now. Idk...just throwing it out there...

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Just figured there's definitely a deal to be made there...

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I know what you mean, but the tape says he's fast

Look what appended to Revis in the first match-up this season, one of 3 catches for 84 yards. Revis lost it on the early move then couldn’t close to make the play. DB’s remember it when they can’t close on a guy.
http://www.nfl.com/videos/buffalo-bills/09000d5d823d75b1/QB-Fitzpatrick-to-WR-Johnson-52-yd-pass

In their 2nd match-up the Jet’s left Revis with zero help. Revis can’t play Steve tight in that scheme because of that speed, so he gave him a cushion and got beat for 8 short/quick catches and 75 yards. That may not seem like much but what the stats don’t show is how many time Steve was open deep. Here’s video of two:
#1-late in the game Revis played him tight, with help over the top, and Steve shook them both going to the middle… but dropped a 30y pass – Revis had NO excuse for being absent on that play
#2-later in the game he burned Revis on a double move in the endzone, where he accelerates late to get WIDE open, but the QB missed him by a mile

Watch from 2:50 on to see both those plays:
http://www.nfl.com/videos/buffalo-bills/09000d5d8248345c/Bills-vs-Jets-highlights

by alsonot on Feb 21, 2012 9:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Last year’s claim of us being ‘fine’ at WR has tarnished my faith in WR development – as an across the board generalization. They can develop as WR #s 4,5,6 all they want, I’m not counting on them as 1,2,3 – that burned us hard last year.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 12:49 PM EST up reply actions  

With Todd Monken as coach

the receivers were bad but not exposed as much, because they were held accountable by a good coach. This past season, the coaching sucked so they sucked. This year it appears that it will be a better year. We will finally address the position in free agency and the draft (Rounds 1-3 instead of the lower end); the coach should be tons better than we have had in a long time. I’m still kinda skeptical that we will get a big-time name receiver, but we will upgrade. I also think that between West, Price and Robiskie we will keep one of them. West showed a bit of a physical style I like in receivers. Dillard is our possession guy. Do you guys think Mike Thomas may be a casualty?

by DeeMoe on Feb 21, 2012 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Thomas flourishes going forward as he can play the slot, like he should be. I think Dilliard’s new pay increase makes him the more likely casualty.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes. He achieved one of his "unlikely to be attained" contract bonuses last year which resulted in his salary essentially doubling from around $600K to over 1 million. Not sure of the exact numbers but it's like literally double.

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Thomas is going to have to have a few of those sell himself out plays

Had too much quit in him last year.

You are banned from Stampede Blue.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

I don't think you took me seriously. If you want it unbanned, email an admin. But, for now, your Stampede Blue privileges are done.

by Joe Fisher on Feb 21, 2012 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

They could develop or they could turn out to be as productive as last seasons group of receivers

And that’s a risk i’m not willing to take! We need to get a proven guy or two. That doesn’t mean who ever we bring in won’t bust but its a far better chance that our receiving group will fair better with a proven guy or two then with out them (or the guys we currently have on the roster)

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 1:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

for a while I've had concerns about his character

I think u finally sold me that he might just be a good guy. just tell him to leave the end zone dances in buffalo.

by Mr.Awesome on Feb 21, 2012 12:52 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

Do as many endzone dances as you want….

AFTER we’ve qualified for the playoffs.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Or

Greg Jones gets to throw you on the ground every time you’re about to excessively celebrate.

by CheapSeat on Feb 21, 2012 1:08 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I’ll take all the endzone dances he wants to do. Endzone dances usually come after 6 points.

by Alfie Crow on Feb 21, 2012 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Johnson's not a bad guy

Just immature. He’d be a welcomed addition to the jags. Laurent Robinson would be a nice pick up too. Then sign guys Like Carr and nicks.

by JAGNUG on Feb 21, 2012 1:05 PM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

..then wake up from your dream or turn off your PS3.

by Fivus Viener on Feb 21, 2012 1:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm not so sure the Robinson and Johnson signings would be to far out of reason....

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 1:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Um…and Carr and Nicks??

by Fivus Viener on Feb 21, 2012 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Nicks as in the Offensive Guard from N.O.?

I definitely don’t see that happening. Offensive Line isn’t as big of need as a lot of people perceive it to be. RT is up in the air, sure bc of Britton’s health and at Guard bc Rackley didn’t have a strong rookie outing but I think he’ll do much better in his second year and I think we have talented OT’s on the roster that with more playing time and experience can take over for Britton if he’s not the answer

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 2:50 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Nicks would actually be great. You could then transition Rackley inside to C to eventually take over for Meester.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 4:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Estes has been groomed the past 2-3 years to take over Center

I just think there are other areas on this team that need be addressed before you go and throw a lot of money at a guard when its not really a pressing need compared to WR, DE, CB

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 4:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Protecting Gabbert

Is a pressing need.

by JAGNUG on Feb 21, 2012 4:18 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

People forget that Rackley was not only a Rookie but played injured for almost half the year

Why are people giving up on him already? He wasn’t even suppose to start his rookie year. Gabbert needs to be protected, I agree, but Gabbert walked into sacks also. Plus, Britton should be back healthy, we shouldn’t have Whimper starting again. Rackley should be much, much better thus upcoming Season

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 4:26 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

The Offensive line just needs to stay healthy And consistent

Once they are playing in sync and unison they should Gel and play very well

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 4:27 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Not giving up on him

But he along with britton are unknowns. I’d like to have nicks he’s proven. Plus you can never have enough good lineman.

by JAGNUG on Feb 21, 2012 4:29 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

Exactly how is moving him to C considered ‘giving up on him’?? When he was drafted Gene Smith said they took him to play G/C.

And +1 on JAGNUG’s comment. Protecting Gabbert is a pressing need.

by Sourwine on Feb 21, 2012 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Well if you don't think he's good enough to play guard then Why In The World do you want him playing Center?!

And going out and paying Another guard Big money to play Rackley’s position is not exactly a Thumbs up from the organization. Jax has already said Estes is being groomed to play center. I’m not against bringing in offensive line depth but I think we need to spend the bigger bucks on our more pressing needs as in areas where there are Currently Holes on this team, again like WR , DE, and CB

by Jags85 on Feb 21, 2012 4:44 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

He said "guys like" Nicks and Carr. I interpreted that as a secondary request, not neccesarily them...but I could be wrong

"Sad fact about our generation: Most ppl would rather hear "you look good" than "you are good". We spend thousands a year on cars, clothes, & cosmetics; Forget that. I can give you a Bible for free. Save money, save your soul. Get right with the Savior, Jesus Christ."- Travis D. Holmes

by T.Holmes on Feb 21, 2012 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

“Guys like” Nicks and Carr are top tier free agents. Nicks will likely become the highest paid guard in the league. Carr will get Johnathan Joseph type money.

by Fivus Viener on Feb 22, 2012 9:16 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't own a ps3

Sorry guys like Nicks OR Carr.

by JAGNUG on Feb 21, 2012 3:54 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

Even still

We have around 45 mil in cap space. So signing both Carr and Nicks along with johnson and Robinson is not out of the question.

by JAGNUG on Feb 21, 2012 4:00 PM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

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