Stephen Hill-The next Brandon Marshall...or Troy Williamson?

Feb 24, 2012; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets wide receiver Stephen Hill speaks at a press conference during the NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-US PRESSWIRE

It seems ever since this year's NFL Draft that the masses have fallen in love with Stephen Hill. And when combing through the postings I have seen a few people share the thought that they would love if we could grab him in the middle/late first round of the draft. While Hill has a few glaring weaknesses (IE: lack of gametape, full grasp of the route tree, drops balls at big times, etc) some could argue that he has the potential to be better than a great amount of WRs in the NFL.

As Jaguar fans it seems as if the majority of us have some sort of bummy receiver phobia since picking the likes of first round greats R.J. Soward, Reggie Williams, and Matt Jones(to add the AWESOME free agent acquisitions in Jerry Porter, Troy Williamson, andJason Hill). It seems that the default response by Jaguars fans is "he could be the next ____ _____!" (fill in the terrible past Jaguars WR) So I figured I'd do a statistical comparison..... Playing with B. Marshall for 3 years I feel I have a little insight as to how he was in college and how he grew as an NFL player. So what's say we look at a statistical comparison of the two and add in a former Jaguar never was?

Brandon Marshall

Games

Rec

Yds

TD

Yds/Rec

Yds/gm

Rec/gm

2002

1

2

18

0

9.0

18

2

2003

8

27

363

2

13.4

45.4

3.3

2004

Played defensive back for 2004 season

2005

13

74

1195

11

16.1

91.9

5.7

Overall (3 years)

22

103

1576

13 tds

15.3y/r

71.6/gm

4.7/gm



Troy Williamson

Games

Rec

Yds

TD

Yds/Rec

Yds/gm

Rec/gm

2002

12

17

491

4

28.9

40.1

1.4

2003

12

31

428

2

13.8

40.9

2.6

2004

11

43

835

7

19.4

75.9

3.9

Overall (3 years)

35

91

1754

13 tds

19.3y/r

50.1/gm

2.6/gm



Stephen Hill

Games

Rec

Yds

TD

Yds/Rec

Yds/gm

Rec/gm

2009

8

6

137

1

22.8

17.1

.75

2010

10

15

291

3

19.4

29.1

1.5

2011

13

28

820

5

29.3

63.1

2.2

Overall (3 years)

31

49

1248

9 tds

25.5y/r

40.3/gm

1.6/gm



SUMMARY:

Name

Games

Rec

Yds

TD

Yds/Rec

Yds/gm

Rec/gm

Stephen Hill

31

49

1248

9 tds

25.5/r

40.3/gm

1.6/gm

Troy Williamson

35

91

1754

13 tds

19.3/r

50.1/g

2.6/gm

B. Marshall

22

103

1576

13 tds

15.3/r

71.6 /g

4.7/gm

So who is he? Stephen Hill absolutely could be the next hyped up Troy Williamson but he just as equally could be Brandon Marshall 2.0. Many people seem to forget that Marshall was pretty much a "nobody" in college until his senior season. He only receivedthe opportunity to be the #1 target in college due to Mike Sims Walker ending up getting hurt. This opened up the door for Marshall's only significant collegiate season. If not for that season Marshall likely only gets drafted in the late 5th to 7th round of the draft based on only his measurables and his knack for being physical (just like Stephen Hill). Chew on that for a few moments though....Brandon Marshall was one non-injury of our own Mike Sims-Walker away from likely being a 6th/7th round pick. If he wasn't fortunate enough play for a pass happy UCF football team with very a suspect defense that forced throwing the ball 40+ times per game Marshall doesn't get the targets he needs that season. With only one true WR on their roster you put Hill on that team (or Marshall on GT) and we could just as easily be saying Stephen Hill > Brandon Marshall. #IJS.

A per reception "leveling the playing field" comparison:

Receptions Adjusted (for Hill)

103 rec

2496yds

26 tds

4.7 rec/gm

Stephen Hill

49

1248

9 tds

1.6/gm

B. Marshall

103

1576

13 tds

4.7/gm

(***Disclaimer: Not to say that Hill would achieve those numbers specifically, but in an offense that throws as often as UCF did for Marshall it'd be easy to say that he surpasses those numbers. The above example is adjusted on a per reception basis***)

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