NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 28: A general view of the draft stage during the 2011 NFL Draft at Radio City Music Hall on April 28, 2011 in New York City. (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
Here's my final shot at this. Picks 1-38 with some trades.
1. Indianapolis Colts - Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
2. Washington Redskins - Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
3. Minnesota Vikings - Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
Quinton Coples takes all kinds of heat for his lack of work ethic or "motor," although that's not really the right word for it. Nobody makes the same complaint about Matt Kalil, though, who definitely coasted through parts of his senior season at less than 100%. Maybe that's why so many have reported that the Vikings are considering going elsewhere with the third pick if they can't trade out.
4. Cleveland Browns - Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
Step one of the rebuild of an offense that has been anemic for way too long.
5. TRADE: Buffalo Bills (from Tampa Bay) - Matt Kalil, OT, USC
The Bills have reportedly shown interest in possibly trading up to the third overall selection to take Kalil. By calling Minnesota's bluff and waiting two more picks, they save a lot of value on their trade and move up for much less to secure their left tackle for the future.
6. St. Louis Rams - Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
I'm not a fan of taking Justin Blackmon this earlier, but it's clear that several teams think otherwise. The Rams take their shot at the Biletnikoff winner after he gets past picks 3-5.
7. TRADE: Philadelphia Eagles (from Jacksonville) - Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
I know Alfie already had this exact trade in his mock draft, so I lose on originality points. But with sources telling me that this trade has been discussed between the two teams, coupled with a report that this trade is possible from Todd McShay, I'm also going to go with this scenarip.
8. Miami Dolphins - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
Everyone in the league knows the Dolphins are taking Ryan Tannehill, right Terry McDonough?
9. Carolina Panthers - Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College
Vegas has Luke Kuechly as the second most likely pick for the Panthers after Fletcher Cox. Cox is gone so that works for me.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Buffalo) - Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina
Most mocks have the Buccaneers shoring up their secondary with Morris Claiborne at 5th overall. Is the drop off to Stephon Gilmore worth trading down? I say absolutely.
11. Kansas City Chiefs - Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis
Good nose tackles make everything about a defense better. The Chiefs have plenty of young pieces in place, they just need that big guy in the middle to make it all work.
12. TRADE: Green Bay Packers (from Seattle) - Melvin Ingram, OLB, South Carolina
The Packers have 12 selections in this draft. Does anybody really think there are 12 rookies that can make a roster as good as the Green Bay Packers? They need a pass rusher and they have the ammunition necessary to trade up to ensure they get the one they perceive as the best in the class. Vic thinks it makes sense too.
13. Arizona Cardinals - Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
David DeCastro makes sense for the Cardinals here, but Riley Reiff has been forgotten about recently. The Cardinals have a bigger hole at tackle than guard and addresses a higher value position. Even if Reiff doesn't work out as a tackle, he can kick inside and fill the same role DeCastro would have.
14. Dallas Cowboys - Mark Barron, S, Alabama
There's a lot of talk lately about interest in Barron skyrocketing, but considering how often late smokescreens try to push player values up, I'm not really buying it. There's no way in mind, though, that Barron falls past the Cowboys at 14.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars (from Philadelphia) - Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse
Smells a lot like Gene Smith, doesn't it? The Jaguars have shown some interest in Jones already and, while he's risky, a guy like Quinton Coples would be even more risky. It's also worth noting that Mike Mayock and Michael Lombardi both believe Chandler Jones is going to be the best defensive player to come out of this draft.
16. TRADE: Tennessee Titans (from New York Jets) - Quinton Coples, DE, UNC
With Chandler Jones going off the board to the Jaguars at 15, the Titans take no chances at letting the Bengals get a sniff at Coples. They trade up with the Jets who are more than willing to move down now that Ingram and Barron are off the board.
17. Cincinnati Bengals - David DeCastro, G, Stanford
The Bengals get great value and shore up their line with DeCastro at 17. Perfect match of need and value.
18. San Diego Chargers - Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
The Chargers don't really have any need that is a dire fix at this point so they go ahead and pull the trigger on a player that can help shore up a secondary that features Quentin Jammer who is set to turn 33 in June.
19. Chicago Bears - Michael Brockers, DT, LSU
I definitely like Fletcher Cox more than Michael Brockers, but is the difference between the two 12 first round picks? No, I don't think so. The Bears get a solid pass rushing defensive tackle to help bolster their front seven.
20. New York Jets (from Tennessee) - Shea McClellin, OLB, Boise State
McClellin has become a hot commodity among the pass rush needy 3-4 teams in the back half of the draft like the Patriots, Packers and Ravens. 20 is a little early, but the Jets recouped a little value from their 16th pick and get a good outside linebacker before other teams get a chance.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - Courtney Upshaw, DE, Alabama
Tony Pauline says that the Bengals will take Courtney Upshaw with one of their picks. They took their chances by taking DeCastro at 17, but that was too good to pass up and still got their guy at 21.
22. Cleveland Browns - Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
Step two of the rebuild, take the best available wide receiver.
23. Detroit Lions - Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama
Jenkins name has been dragged through the mud these last few weeks and that says to me that teams like him. They like him and are trying to make sure he falls to where they can pick him. Possibly the best man corner in this draft, the Lions get a heck of a cornerback at 23.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Amini Silatolu, G, Midwestern State
Josh Buchanan rejoices with two straight small school players going in the first round. It's hard for me to imagine Silatolu not going in the first round, especially considering how much the 49ers reportedly like him. If you want him, now's the time to take him.
25. Denver Broncos - Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State
The Broncos passed on Marcel Dareus last year to shore up their line and instead took a pass rusher in Von Miller. It worked out well for them, but there's still a need for a big, run stopping DT. Jerel Worthy fills that need.
26. Houston Texans - Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford
Coby Fleener is quite the athlete and he's been constantly connected to the Texans. Where there's this much smoke, there has to be a little fire, right?
27. New England Patriots - Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois
The Patriots run an interesting hybrid defense that switches between 3-4 and 4-3 looks. Mercilus is the perfect kind of guy that can make that transition between the two looks very well while still providing a pass rush in both.
28. Seattle Seahawks (from Green Bay) - Dont'a Hightower, LB, Alabama
The Seahawks get a very good linebacker here at 28 and pick up a ton of value from their trade with the Packers.
29. Baltimore Ravens - Cordy Glenn, G, Georgia
With Shea McClellin off the board, I'd expect the Ravens to look interior offensive line at 29. While Peter Konz is on the board, Cordy Glenn is a versatile, mammoth of a lineman that is the best interior guy on the board.
30. San Francisco 49ers - Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech
The 49ers got a good receiver a few years ago in Michael Crabtree. Not a great receiver, just a good one. Stephen Hill is certainly a boom or bust selection, but he has the potential to be a great receiver that would add an extra dimension to a team that already has a fantastic, hard hitting defense.
31. New England Patriots - Casey Hayward, CB, Vanderbilt
Casey Hayward is the top of the second tier of cornerbacks after the first group of guys (Claiborne, Gilmore, Kirkpatrick) are off the board. He's the second of what will likely be a slew of defensive players selected by the Patriots.
32. New York Giants - Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi
Tony Pauline says the Giants are very interested in Massie and have been for the last two months. Works for me.
33. St. Louis Rams - Kendall Reyes, DT, UConn
34. Indianapolis Colts - Alameda Ta'Amu, DT, Washington
35. Minnesota Vikings - Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Doug Martin, RB, Boise State
37. Cleveland Browns - Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State
38. Jacksonville Jaguars - Reuben Randle, WR, LSU