Everybody always talks about how Gene Smith always selects the BAP player. The BAP on his board is taken. His board is usually different than most other GMs as he has small school prospect further up the board, along with high character blue collar type players. He doesn't care what position they play or what college they are from, he chooses the BAP. Now if the the BAP player is a position that we are best at, he'll likely skip over that player on his board. For example, if available Trent Richardson is likely not going to be the pick.
He took Eugene Monroe at #8 in 2009, Monroe was supposed to be the #2 overall pick, and Gene got very lucky that he slid so far. Nobody expected him to be the pick. The Rams were supposed to select him. The Jaguars were supposed to select Mark Sanchez or Heyward-Bey. Well Monroe was the Best Available Player, so Gene Smith snagged him.
He took Tyson Alualu at #10 in 2010, Alualu was supposed to be a late first rounder to early second rounder. The Jaguars were supposed to select Derrick Morgan, C.J. Spiller, or Tim Tebow. Nobody expected that to happen at all. I'm not lying, back then I didn't follow the draft as much, and only knew the top 25 prospects, and when I heard his name, I had to run to my computer to look him up.
In 2011, many people mocked Ryan Kerrigan to the Jaguars at #16. The Redskins went on the clock, and Gene Smith saw the Best Available Player falling. I'm not sure if Gene had him as his #1 QB, but I did. I liked him better than Cam Newton, and some teams felt the same way. Many thought he was going to be taken at #8, but the Titans to Jake Locker, and we all remember Gabbert's dumbfounded face after that selection.
So as we can see from Gene's last 3 seasons as GM. The consensus mock draft selections, have all been way off. Nobody expected Monroe to slide to #8, or Gene to "reach" for Alualu, or trade up for Gabbert.
Now we know that the first two picks in the draft are going to be Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III, with likely Luck to the Colts and Griffin to the Redskins, but neither are set in stone yet.
The names not striken through, are the players I think that will be selected by these respected teams
1. Indianapolis Colts - Andrew Luck
/Robert Griffin III
2. Washington Redskins - Robert Griffin III
3. Minnesota Vikings - Matt Kalil
/Morris Claiborne/Justin Blackmon
4. Cleveland Browns - Ryan Tannehill
/Justin Blackmon/Riley Rieff
5. Tampa Bay Bucaneers - Morris Claiborne
/Riley Rieff/Justin Blackmon
6. St. Louis Rams - Justin Blackmon
The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the clock.
The Jaguars have two major needs at Wide Receiver and Defensive End.
They can take Michael Floyd to fill the WR need.
They can take Quinton Coples or Melvin Ingram to fill the
WR DE need.
That is what most mock drafters think the Jaguars will do, is select a wide receiver or defensive end. I believe they will go another route. And it has to do with the offensive line. Now you are thinking Jonathan Martin and Riley Rieff. Well I'm thinking about somebody else. Who am I thinking of? And here's a hint, it's not a position drafted in the top 10, and the last one to be selected in the top 10, was at #10 in 1997.
What position am I talking about?
What player am I talking about?
7. David DeCastro
The two arguments I'm going to receive for this pick are:
1. Don't select guards in the top 10.
2. We don't need a guard.
In my defense:
1. I don't think Gene cares when other people think players should be selected.
2. Rackley can be upgraded, and can be taught to play Center, or DeCastro can be taught to play Center.
Why draft him?
Impression: The best offensive line prospect I've evaluated since Maurkice Pouncey in 2010. He showcases the ability to get a push in-line and is a dominant move player as well. He's fluid/natural in pass protection and with a little more power in his base he's got the skill set to become on of the leagues best guards early in his NFL career.
Rackley's ceiling is a good starter. DeCastro has the potential "to become one of the leagues best guards early in his NFL career." Blaine needs better protection, and DeCastro can help seal the line up the middle, and can provide better run blocking up the middle, something Maurice Jones-Drew has missed since Vince Manuwai left.
So the chance to finally solidify the Jaguars O-Line has arisen, and people think the Jaguars should take Melvin Ingram a guy who may not translate well to the NFL at DE, or Quinton Coples who has questions regarding his commitment and his pass rushing ability, or Michael Floyd who has multiple DUIs. If Guard was considered a premier position, DeCastro would be considered a top 3 player by every one.
With the 7th pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, the Jacksonville Jaguars select David DeCastro, Offensive Guard, Stanford.
Mayock: This is a great pick...
Kiper: This is a horrible pick, Gene Smith what's wrong with you?
I know some of you are going to say, "Why doesn't he just trade back and take DeCastro", well he might be gone, and you need two teams to trade, and Gene might not be able to trade back, if there is no team willing to trade up.