A first time head coach will likely be who's hired by the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars fired head coach Mike Mularkey last Thursday, which officially kicked their head coaching search into high gear. Some of the Jaguars rumored targets for the job are currently on playoff rosters and can't be interviewed until the bye week of the Super Bowl, unless they want to hire someone who's available.
When David Caldwell was hired as the Jaguars general manager, I thought someone like Lovie Smith could be a fit if Caldwell wanted to go with a re-tread head coach. Caldwell came up under Bill Polian and Thomas Dimitroff, who had Tony Dungy and Mike Smith as their head coaches, respectively. Lovie Smith fits right in the mold of both Dungy and Smith, so it would seem like a nice fit.
The problem with Lovie Smith however, is he' looking for his second head coaching job. Smith's not likely going to be looking for a team in the middle of starting a rebuild, especially on a team without a quarterback. As a matter of fact, not many coaches will want that all. Smith will be looking for a head coaching job that's the right fit, because guys usually don't get a third shot as a head coach if it doesn't work out.
The Jaguars situation leans to the time hiring a head coach who may not quite yet be ready to take the reigns, but are in a position to where the team can grow with the coach. So look for the next Jaguars head coach to be a first time NFL head coach and likely of the younger variety. He'll need to be able to work hand-in-hand with David Caldwell.