There has been a lot of talk lately about the possibility of the Kansas City Chiefs not drafting a quarterback with the No. 1 overall pick, which I personally think is bullshit. If that winds up being the case however, the Jaguars should definitely pull the trigger on Geno Smith or Tyler Wilson, or whoever they have graded out as the top quarterback if they feel they're a franchise player.
The thing with the 2013 NFL Draft is that it's not really filled with elite players at the top. It's kind of flat, as far as dispersion of talent. The defensive end you draft at No. 2 overall isn't going to be all that different that the defensive end you'd be able to get with the No. 15 overall pick. There are a couple of positions that are top heavy, but again it's looking like they will be those good-not-great type players.
If the Jaguars draft a quarterback with the second-overall pick, what are they really missing out on? Are the defensive ends and tackles available at the No. 2 pick really more of a "value" than the quarterback? You have to remember quarterback value is always inflated, because it's the most important position in the game.
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The biggest argument against drafting someone like Smith or Wilson No. 2 overall is that there is no "elite" quarterback in the 2013 NFL Draft class. There is no Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin III, but so what? How often is there? You can approach drafts like that. You have to grade them on their own merit, where you project them to be in the NFL, where they rank in the class. Not with what happened in the draft prior. That's irrelevant.
Here's an excerpt from a USA Today article just days before the 2008 NFL Draft:
Even PLAYER has some warts. By most accounts, his pro day was ordinary, lacking the "wow" element scouts hoped to see. While he completed 388 of 654 throws (59.3%) and amassed 4,507 yards and 31 touchdowns last season in leading COLLEGE to an 11-3 record that marked its winningest season since 1940, one statistic reared its ugly head: 19 interceptions.
It is a number that will surely create doubt for some NFL front offices. It undoubtedly does not sit well with GENERAL MANAGER, who owns the top pick as the new head of football operations for the NFL FRANCHISE.
Can you guess who it was?
The notion of how strong a class is at a position is in the eye of who holds the draft picks, not the media consensus leading up to the draft. When it all boils down to it, quarterback is the most important position in the draft
"Maybe one identifies himself for us. It's too early," Jaguars general manager David Caldwell told The Sporting News. "Sometimes it may not look like there's a quarterback now and you go through the process and you find a guy."
If Caldwell and his staff feel like they find a guy and he's graded out as a first round pick, he should be the pick at No. 2 overall. Caldwell made mention that they're going to be a needs based drafting team in the first four rounds, and quarterback is always a team's biggest need if you don't have one.
The caliber of players the Jaguars would forgo by drafting a quarterback No. 2 overall won't be all that different than what should be available at pick No. 33. At the quarterback position however, the same can't be said.