2013 NFL Draft: How far down is too far in a trade down?

Steve Mitchell-US PRESSWIRE

If the Dolphins wanted to swap first round selections with the Jaguars, would it be worth it to move all the way out of the top 10?

With the second pick in the 2013 NFL Draft, the Jaguars can settle into the idea that one of two players that they like will be available, regardless of the action that happens in front of them with the first pick. There's also the chance that a team below them could offer enough to persuade the Jaguars to trade down, but would it be worth it if it meant dropping out of the top 10 altogether?

If the Miami Dolphins were looking to move up 10 spots to secure a left tackle, would that be too far and jeopardize the Jaguars getting one of the elite prospects in this year's draft class?

On Thursday, Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald wrote about the Dolphins draft strategy and doubted that Lane Johnson would be the target if a trade were to occur:

...if the Dolphins do try to trade up, I can almost guarantee it won't be for Johnson. Yes, he is a legitimate first-round selection. Yes, he plays a position of need. But the Fins like Joekel and Fisher much, much, much more than Johnson and have some concerns about Johnson as a left tackle...

Oh? It would almost certainly require a top five selection for the Dolphins to select Luke Joeckel or Eric Fisher. While that sounds like a long way for the Dolphins to go, the team has been very aggressive during the 2013 offseason.

After dishing out over $70 million in guaranteed money to secure Mike Wallace, Dannell Ellerbe, Philip Wheeler and Brian Hartline, among others, the Dolphins addressed all positions of need, except left tackle after losing Jake Long.

The Dolphins also have two picks in each the second and third rounds, meaning they have the ammunition to address that void with a move to go get Joeckel or Fisher.

If Jeff Ireland were to call though, would it be wise for Dave Caldwell to move down 10 spots and pass on one of the top two prospects in the draft class? Sure, but the value received from the Dolphins better be worth it.

The haul that the Rams received from the Redskins for the second pick in the 2012 NFL Draft was due to Robert Griffin III, but that was to move down just four selections. To move down another six, the Jaguars may be able to demand something similar.

Those extra second day picks for the Dolphins are nice, but not enough if they hope to pry the Jaguars out of the second selection, it would almost certainly require a future pick. If it did, then it would be worth it. So how far down is too far in a trade? As long as the value justifies the move, there is no too far.

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