Yesterday I told you about the 26-27-60 rule for looking at quarterbacks entering the draft as kind of a "science" to look at them. Well, there is another method of projecting quarterbacks in the draft, the Bill Parcells Principle. Chris Gates over at DailyNorseman.com covered this over the weekend, but I also wanted to share it here as we're one of the teams likely to pick a quarterback early in the 2011 NFL draft.
While the 26-27-60 method seemed to look at on field performance, Parcells methodology seemingly focused on a players maturity and if he feels they can handle the stress of the position at the NFL level.
His rules are as follows:
- The quarterback must be a senior. . .because you need time and maturity to develop into a good professional quarterback
- He must be a graduate. . .because you want somebody that takes their responsibilities seriously.
- He must be a three-year starter. . .because you want to make sure his success wasn't a fluke and to know that he has been "the guy" for a significant period of time.
- He must have 23 wins. . .because big numbers don't mean a whole lot if you don't win.
Yesterday I showed you how each of the top prospects stacked up to the 26-27-60 rule, but let's see how they stack up to the Parcells Principle.
Blaine Gabbert - FAIL (Junior)
Cam Newton - FAIL (Junior)
Ryan Mallett - FAIL (Junior)
Jake Locker - FAIL (Less than 23 victories)
Ricky Stanzi - PASS
Colin Kaepernick - PASS
Andy Dalton - PASS
Christian Ponder- PASS (Only 22 victories, but I'm assuming he'd hit 23 if not for injury)
Greg McElroy - FAIL (Not a 3-year starter)
Now, if we try and find the quarterbacks who passed both "scientific" tests we can widdle down who will be successful in the NFL, correct? Maybe.
There really is only one quarterback who literally passed both tests, and that's TCU's Andy Dalton. I'm going to say FSU's Christian Ponder passed it as well, because I'm fairly confident he would have won at least 1 more game had it not been for his injuries. So, two of the quarterbacks Jaguars fans seemingly like the most both pass these tests. Currently, both of these quarterbacks are slated to go in the 2nd or 3rd round, but I have a feeling at least one of them might climb into the back of the first round.