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Jaguars in a tough spot to draft a quarterback

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The Jacksonville Jaguars likely won't pick a quarterback with the No. 3 overall pick, but they're in a tough spot waiting for one to fall to them at pick 39 in the second round.

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars are likely to pick a quarterback in the 2014 NFL Draft. The big question is going to be where the team picks a quarterback, though the general feeling is that the team isn't going to pick a quarterback with the third overall pick and will look for their signal caller in the second round.

But should the Jaguars wait until the third round or later, instead?

The biggest issue is the Jaguars are kind of in no-man's land in the second round. If the Jaguars are passing on a quarterback with the third overall pick, where realistically only one team in front of them could pick a quarterback, they have to hope that a handful of teams pass on quarterbacks so one falls to them in the second round.

Twice.

Quite a few teams who pick in the Top 10 after the Jaguars also need quarterbacks, which means if/when the Jaguars pass there could be 2-3 quarterbacks picked by the time the Top 10 has finished. Not only that, but there are some teams like the Cleveland Browns who pick three times between the Jaguars first two picks. This means if the Jaguars are hoping one of the top tier 2 quarterbacks slides, a quarterback needy team like Cleveland will have to decide to pass on them three times.

It's not just hoping the Browns pass, however, but because of how the picks are ordered with so many teams with a 4-12 record, the Browns, Raiders and Buccaneers all pick before the Jaguars in the second round. So again, the Jaguars will be sitting at 39 hoping that all these quarterback needy teams pass on a quarterback, twice, and one falls in their lap.

Another option are the Jaguars trading up before the Browns pick with the 26th overall pick, but even then depending on what you're giving up to move up that high, you might be better served picking one at No. 3 or just standing pat.

If the team doesn't decide to move up they can potentially over-draft someone with the No. 39 overall pick, in fear of that quarterback not making it to their third round pick, or they can simply pick another player that could potentially start as a rookie for them and figure that since the other teams passed multiple times, the player will make it to their third round pick.

Once again, this is not to say the Jaguars should pick a quarterback with the No. 3 overall pick regardless, but more-so that the dangers in waiting around to pick a quarterback are much more risky in a draft where the picks flip-flop round to round like they will for the Jaguars. Their best-bet is more likely to pick one at No. 3 overall or wait until the third round.

If the quarterback makes it to the Jaguars No. 39 overall pick, they'll likely make it to their third round pick as well.