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The Jacksonville Jaguars are at the end of a two-week stretch where they suffered humiliating back-to-back defeats to the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts.
And yet, even after what I've seen the last two games, I still think they win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday.
Why? Because the Jaguars have a strong running game (finally!) and the Buccaneers have a weak run defense. It's as basic as it can get for an offense that's struggling to put up points and a new offensive coordinator in Greg Olson who calls games well, and can get yards in bunches, but can't seem to find the end zone.
Yes, I'm calling a victory on Sunday. A big victory, in fact. One where the Jaguars offense rewards all of you homers who drafted Jaguars players on your fantasy roster or who want to stockpile your FanDuel team with Blake Bortles, Allen Hurns, and T.J. Yeldon.
Start 'em
Blake Bortles is below average this week with a $6,900 salary on FanDuel, yet there are only nine quarterbacks putting up more points per game than him. What he doesn't get in touchdowns, he makes up for in yards and limited mistakes.
Allen Hurns is averaging 13.1 points per game in FanDuel (comparable to Amari Cooper, Emmanuel Sanders, and Odell Beckham, Jr.) yet he's only priced at $6,100. Get him too.
T.J. Yeldon is going to go off against a Buccaneers run defense that's 30th in the league and giving up 136.8 yards per game. And at only $6,600 in FanDuel, he's below-average for running backs.
Get any combination of these guys to save a little bit and find yourself with some extra cash to spend on a top-tier quarterback or receiver.
Sit 'em
I said the Jaguars would get Marcedes Lewis involved more last week and they did, giving him eight targets. But he only hauled in five of them for 40 yards and zero scores. He'll have a similar stat line this week, so I wouldn't touch him.
The Jaguars D/ST hasn't been bad in actual football, but in fantasy they're not putting up a lot of points. They had two turnovers last week, but those have been rare this year and with little hope of sacks, they aren't worth even a a second-lowest salary of $4,300.