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NFL fantasy football: 15 over/under scenarios for 2015 Jacksonville Jaguars

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We're taking a look at 15 over/under scenarios on the Jaguars this season as we approach the start of your fantasy football league.

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The Jacksonville Jaguars will be kicking off their season in a little more than a month against the Carolina Panthers.

Before we get to Week 1, let's take a look at 15 over/under scenarios and gauge how well (or not so well) the Jaguars and their players will do this coming season. Take a look at what we came up with and feel free to offer your opinion in the comments below:

Blake Bortles: 3,600 passing yards, 18 touchdowns — An improved running game (albeit, still not a good one, in my opinion), a stronger offensive line, and an offensive scheme with Greg Olson that looks to play up Bortles' strengths better than Jedd Fisch's all give him the potential to have the best single-season yardage for the Jaguars since 2008, but will he do it? Yes. 
Our take: Over on yards, under on touchdowns

Allen Robinson: 75 catches — Allen Robinson is the best hope the Jaguars have at reclaiming the receiving corps dynasty they had in the latter half of the 1990's. He had just one drop in 76 targets last year and averaged 4.8 catches per game through 10 games. Take that average out over the season and it's 76 receptions.
Our take: Over

Marqise Lee: 5 games missed due to injury — The second-round pick in 2014 struggled through injury in his first training camp and sat out of OTA practices with a hurt knee. He's an explosive player with great speed, but there's something up with his fitness and conditioning.
Our take: Over

Julius Thomas: 5.5 touchdown catches — While I think Thomas greatly improves upon his yardage totals (489 yards in 2014) his touchdowns will take a nose dive. As Blake Bortles goes, so goes Thomas.
Our take: Under

T.J. Yeldon: 1,000 yards — The second-round running back out of Alabama will be the feature back in Jacksonville, but Toby Gerhart and Denard Robinson figure to steal some carries from him. Even if not, it's hard to imagine a running back not named Fred Taylor or Maurice Jones-Drew getting 1,000 yards.
Our take: Under

Toby Gerhart: 30 rush attempts — The Toby Gerhart Experiment lasted all of a few games last year before coaches finally figured out he's just not that good. He'll have an even more diminished role in the running game than people realize. H-back could be in his future.
Our take: Under

Allen Hurns: 400 yards, 4 touchdowns — The arrival of Rashad Greene and the improved play of Allen Robinson means Hurns will have less opportunities in 2015.
Our take: Under on both

Marcedes Lewis: 2 touchdownsJulius Thomas is the beginning of the end for Lewis. He'll see 1-2 receptions per game (maybe) but he'll rarely see the end zone.
Our take: Under

Jaguars defense: 45 sacks — Will they do better or worse than they did last year? I have to imagine that with Michael Bennett being the only upgrade and an ACL injury to the best defensive line means the unit struggles. Not by much, but it still struggles.
Our take: Under

Jaguars defense: 6 interceptions — Again, will they do better or worse than they did last year? They'll collect a few less sacks, but I think they get at least 2-3 more interceptions than last year. Another year for Demetrius McCray and Aaron Colvin will do wonders.
Our take: Over

Points per game given up: 25.5 — The Jaguars gave up over 25 points per game last year? Jesus. Well, I don't think that gets any better. In fact, I think it gets worse. With an improved offense, teams won't be letting off the gas as quickly. We'll have more wins and closer losses, but they'll be higher-scoring.
Our take: Over

Points per game scored: 15.5 — Higher scores, closer losses, more wins. That's going to be 2015. I suspect a much higher points per game average. 
Our take: Over

Josh Scobee: 84 percent on field goal attempts — In the three seasons prior to 2014, Scobee was accurate on at least 89 percent of his kicks. In the three seasons prior to that, he was never better than 79 percent. Will he get back to being more accurate?
Our take: Over

Punt/kick returns for touchdown: 0.5 — Quick! When was the last time the Jaguars returned a punt or a kick for a touchdown? Give up? 2010, with Mike Thomas. That's four full seasons with nothing. I don't expect it to change in 2015.
Our take: Under

Regular-season wins: 5.5 — Despite the fact that the Jaguars have gotten better across a lot of positions, they're still not a very good football team. Even in a weak AFC South, I don't see six wins on the schedule.
Our take: Under