The Jacksonville Jaguars are the worst team in the worst division of football. It’s Week 10 and if you’re looking towards prospects for the 2017 NFL Draft, you’re probably not alone.
A lot of names are popping up for the Jaguars — Jabrill Peppers, Jamal Adams, and Quincy Wilson headline potential first-round picks who could be plug-and-play defenders next year, much like Jalen Ramsey was this year.
But I’ve also seen people hoping for DeShaun Watson and DeShone Kizer.
Unfortunately, that’s just not how it works.
Dave Caldwell’s job with the Jaguars most likely depends on how Blake Bortles does. General managers in the NFL don’t get more than one chance, which is why you see so many passing on guys in the first few rounds. If you pick that guy, he’s your guy, and you won’t get another roll of the dice.
Look around the league. How many current general managers (who aren’t owners of the team like Jerry Jones and Paul Brown) have drafted more than one quarterback in the first two rounds?
One. Ozzie Newsome. He got to flame out on Kyle Boller to grab Joe Flacco because he built some really good teams years ago, especially on the defensive side of the ball.
That leaves 14 current general managers who have gotten to pick their guy and 15 who still haven’t picked one, either because they’re like San Diego Chargers general manager Tom Telesco and they inherited someone like Philip Rivers or because they’re like New Orleans Saints general manager Mickey Loomis and traded for Drew Brees.
Can Dave Caldwell buck the trend? Shad Khan is a patient owner — more patient than most other owners in the NFL. But Khan would literally have to do what no other team except for the Baltimore Ravens have done and keep a general manager through two franchise quarterback picks.
It won’t happen. If Bortles fails, Caldwell will have been fired long before.