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numberFire gives the Jaguars a 28.7 percent chance of beating Texans

NFL: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Logan Bowles-USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 28.7 percent chance of beating the Houston Texans, according to numberFire, which sounds like way too high of a probability for a team on the road playing a division game against the first-place club.

Like I said, I don’t blame numberFire for giving us a one-in-four shot at winning the game. Frankly, it could be even lower and I’d get it. The Texans are 7-6, playing at home, and playing for every win they can get what with being tied for first place.

What do you think? Is 28.7 percent too much of a chance for the Jaguars to win? Is it too little? Let us know in the comments below.