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Will the Jaguars “over draft” a tight end?

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The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the clock. Man, does it feel good to say that!

The Jacksonville Jaguars have spent this offseason plugging a lot of holes on offense...

Quarterback is crossed off the list by the end of this month.Offensive line was solidified with the Cam Robinson fifth-year option.Running back looks set with James Robinson kickstarting his second season.Wide receiver got deeper with the signing of Marvin Jones.

But there’s one gaping hole on this roster and... it’s not going to be an easy fix.

The tight ends room is looking thin. No matter how diehard your Jacksonville fandom, you take one look and realize the cupboards are as bare as they’ve ever been.

Tyler Davis, Ben Ellefson, Chris Manhertz, and James O’Shaughnessy are far from what Urban Meyer likely wants out of that group. And the team has one more chance to upgrade.

The 2021 NFL Draft.

Pat Freiermuth is the only other true No. 1 starter. He’s not a top-tier athlete, but he’s very football smart and his ability to excel in both the run and pass phases gives him a leg up.

This is not a position that can be fixed with a late Day 2 or Day 3 pick. ESPN’s Michael DiRocco took a look at the tight end position historically and... it doesn’t look kind to teams who didn’t pick one quickly.

In looking at the highest-producing tight ends over the past 20 years, 13 of the top 20 in terms of receptions were first- or second-round picks. Tony Gonzalez, the NFL’s all-time receptions leader among tight ends (and third overall), was a first-round pick. Rob Gronkowski, who has the third-most TD catches among tight ends since 2001 with 86, was a second-round pick. Zach Ertz, who holds the single-season record for most receptions by a tight end (116 in 2018), was a second-round pick.

The tight end position is incredibly thin in this year’s NFL Draft—Kyle Pitts and Pat Freiermuth are the only true TE1’s at the top of the board, with Brevin Jordan being a solid athlete but not a starting-caliber player right away.

Jacksonville has four picks in the first two rounds. The No. 1 overall pick is (obviously) Trevor Lawrence. Do they reach for Pat Freiermuth at the bottom of the first round? Is the No. 33 overall pick still too high? Or will Urban Meyer bite the bullet and secure a playmaker a little higher than we might expect?