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Here are this week’s best bets -- odds via DraftKings -- as the Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5) take on the Indianapolis Colts (-1.5).
Last week: 1-2
Season: 5-5
Trevor Lawrence over 21.5 pass completions (-115)
I’m expecting the Jaguars to heavily target the middle and short areas of the field on Sunday. Colts DC Gus Bradley runs a mostly static, single-high safety scheme (lots of Cover 1 man and Cover 3 zone) that can be picked apart with high-percentage throws.
As we saw in Week 2, Trevor Lawrence has all the answers to the test.
— Burner #261 (@notgus_logue) October 16, 2022
Lawrence has 24 or more completions in each game this season not played in hurricane conditions.
Travis Etienne over 59.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115)
Indy’s run defense is legit, but we also know Etienne can break a few. The sophomore ranks 14th among 49 running backs in breakaway run percentage, per Pro Football Focus.
I love this bet because it can survive any game script. Etienne is averaging 2.2 receptions per game and 11.3 yards per reception this season. He’s obviously a threat on screens and swings, but we also saw him get heavy two-minute drill usage last week.
Jamal Agnew to score a TD (+380)
Agnew caught two touchdowns in the sole game he played at least 20% of offensive snaps this season (Week 4). He should get a decent amount of looks with Marvin Jones (hamstring) out and Zay Jones (ankle) questionable against the Colts.
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