FanPost

2023 Jaguars 9 Week Review


Jaguars LB Devin Lloyd sees "night and day" difference between last year  and 2023
Now that we are past the halfway point of the season, I've decided to take a look at how the team is doing in several stats.

Statement Plays Per Snap

Leading up to the trade deadline, many were eager for the Jaguars to make a move for a second edge rusher. A measure of front seven play I looked at this offseason was to see how many Ints, Pass Deflections, Tackles for Loss, QB Hits, and Sacks a player made per snap played. Here is how the defensive line has done so far this season:

Player Age Pos G GS Statement Plays Snaps Statement Plays/ Snap
Josh Allen 26 OLB 8 8 35 422 0.083
Travon Walker 23 OLB 8 8 16.5 438 0.038
K'Lavon Chaisson 24 OLB 8 0 10 158 0.063
Roy Robertson-Harris 30 DL 8 8 7.5 349 0.021
Adam Gotsis 31 DL 8 3 7 201 0.035
Dawuane Smoot 28 OLB 3 0 4 116 0.034
Folorunso Fatukasi 28 DL 8 8 3 228 0.013
Jeremiah Ledbetter 29 DL 8 2 1 181 0.006
Yasir Abdullah 23 LB 5 0 1 45 0.022

Travon Walker continues to struggle to be the team's second best edge rusher despite being deemed the best player in his draft by Trent Baalke (Note: Travon Walker is the only first rounder from his draftclass currently below a Statement Plays per Snap of 0.055, 8 players drafted in the first two rounds have noticeably more stat production per snap than he does in year two).

When Targeted (Offense)

Given Trevor Lawrence's average passer rating of 93.6 this season we can not only look at the players above that mark when targeted, but we can also look at how players accrue yardage when targeted compared to their Average Depth of Target (ADOT).

Name Pass Rating When Targeted Yards/Tgt Over Expected
Calvin Ridley 86.2 -8.1
Travis Etienne 107.6 45.5
Tank Bigsby 2.8 -88.8
Zay Jones 94.2 -57.8
Christian Kirk 107.6 18.8
Tim Jones 77.7 -50.2
Evan Engram 96.3 16.9
Jamycal Hasty 39.6 -200.0
D'Ernest Johnson 87.5 -5.3
Jamal Agnew 61.1 2.5
Brenton Strange 120.8 -21.3
Luke Farrell 95.8 25.6

Travis Etienne, Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, and Luke Farrell have been notably good when targeted through the air in 2023.

When Targeted (Defense)

Given the league's (weighted) average passer rating of 89.0 through 9 weeks we can not only look at players who are below that mark in coverage, but we can also look at how players accrue yardage when targeted compared to their Average Depth of Target on Defense (DADOT).

Name Pass Rating When Targeted Yards/Tgt Over Expected
Darious Williams 60.4 -8.4
Foyesade Oluokun 82.8 -2.0
Tre Herndon 102.9 9.1
Tyson Campbell 108.8 -7.9
Rayshawn Jenkins 59.8 -3.9
Devin Lloyd 75.5 -46.8
Andre Cisco 66.5 13.6
Montaric Brown 120.4 9.2
Andrew Wingard 28.2 -41.4
Travon Walker 86.3 -18.2
Chad Muma 107.6 39.8
Josh Allen 90.6 13.7

Darious Williams, Foye Oluokun, Rayshawn Jenkins, Devin Lloyd, Dewey Wingard, and Travon Walker have had noteworthy (in the positive sense) results in coverage so far this season. Huge leap from Devin Lloyd compared to last season.

Ball Security

Another important aspect to consider is a player's ball security, so here is an update on the offense's career ball security as Jaguars.

Name Rushes Targets Pass Attempts Touches Fumbles Interceptions Rate of Ball Insecurity
Tank Bigsby 23 3 26 2 7.69
Luke Farrell 20 20 1 5.00
CJ Beathard 8 13 21 0 1 4.76
Trevor Lawrence 177 1457 1634 27 29 3.43
Jamal Agnew 23 81 104 2 1.92
Calvin Ridley 4 58 62 1 1.61
Travis Etienne 371 80 451 5 1.11
Christian Kirk 6 193 2 201 2 0 1.00
Evan Engram 2 159 161 1 0.62
Zay Jones 4 139 143 0 0.00
Jamycal Hasty 46 28 74 0 0.00
D'Ernest Johnson 9 3 12 0 0.00
Tim Jones 11 11 0 0.00
Brenton Strange 6 6 0 0.00

Tank Bigsby, Luke Farrell, Trevor Lawrence, Jamal Agnew, and Calvin Ridley need to work on their issues with giving the defense a chance to get the ball back for opposing offenses.

PFF Cumulative Grades (Offense)

Sometimes stats don't tell the whole story, and some prefer to fall back on the "eye test". One of the more controversial examples of an "eye test" are Pro Football Focus grades. So let's see if any players have graded better than their statistical output.

Name Week 9 Cumulative Grade
Calvin Ridley 63.6
Travis Etienne 71.5
CJ Beathard 56.8
Tank Bigsby 46.2
Zay Jones 61.3
Parker Washington 60.0
Christian Kirk 70.7
Elijah Cooks 57.4
Tim Jones 48.9
Trevor Lawrence 84.9
Evan Engram 71.2
JaMycal Hasty 58.9
D'Ernest Johnson 64.3
Jamal Agnew 54.3
Brandon Sherff 67.6
Tyler Shatley 46.5
Cole Van Lanen 63.6
Walker Little 76.0
Blake Hance 57.2
Cam Robinson 66.1
Anton Harrison 56.9
Ben Bartch 55.5
Luke Fortner 49.8
Jacob Harris 45.9
Brenton Strange 46.5
Luke Farrell 47.2

On offense PFF has graded Travis Etienne, Christian Kirk, Trevor Lawrence, Evan Engram, and Walker Little as above average players.

PFF Cumulative Grades (Defense)

Now let's do the same for the defense.

Name Week 9 Cumulative Grade
Rayshawn Jenkins 56.8
Andre Cisco 78.1
Daniel Thomas 61.9
Foyesade Oluokun 81.5
Antonio Johnson 76.7
Tevaughn Campbell 60.3
Montaric Brown 54.5
Darious Williams 85.5
Tyson Campbell 73.9
Devin Lloyd 75.8
Tre Herndon 70.1
Josh Allen 89.2
Andrew Wingard 86.6
Travon Walker 57.4
K'Lavon Chaisson 48.4
Chad Muma 35.7
Shaquille Quarterman 61.8
DaVon Hamilton 58.6
Yasir Abdullah 30.7
Angelo Blackson 47.8
Dawuane Smoot 41.4
Tyler Lacy 53.8
Folorunso Fatukasi 60.2
Roy Robertson-Harris 68.7
Adam Gotsis 57.0
Jeremiah Ledbetter 43.1

PFF seems to think Andre Cisco, Foye, Antonio Johnson, Darious Williams, Tyson Campbell, Devin Lloyd, Tre Herndon, Josh Allen, and Dewey are having above average reps so far this season.

FanPosts do not necessarily reflect the views of the authors of Big Cat Country or SB Nation.